It feels like just yesterday the college football season was kicking off, yet here we are—over three-quarters of the way through the regular season, with only a handful of ranked matchups left on the schedule. Last week, two of the three marquee games lived up to the hype, and this week brings us another trio of top 25 showdowns.
We’ll kick things off in Lubbock, Texas, where the BYU Cougars face the Texas Tech Red Raiders at noon ET. Things move quickly from there, as both of the remaining ranked matchups kick off at 3:30 PM ET. In the SEC, Texas A&M will hit the road to take on Missouri, while in the Big Ten, Oregon travels to Iowa City to face the Hawkeyes.
These games might not be the flashiest on paper, but each carries major implications for this year’s playoff picture. As always, the spotlight will shine brightest on the quarterbacks—so let’s take a look at how the sportsbooks are viewing them this week.
(7) BYU vs. (8) Texas Tech
Bear Bachmeier:
- Props
- Passing Yards: 192.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over +188; under -260)
- Rushing Yards: 38.5 (over -114; under -114)
Bear Bachmeier has been as steady and efficient as they come this season when it comes to decision-making. He’s averaging 211.6 passing yards and 1.3 passing touchdowns per game, while also adding 51 yards per game on the ground. This week, however, he faces a tough challenge against a stout Texas Tech defense that allows just 205.4 passing yards per game (40th in FBS) and an FBS-best 77.3 rushing yards per game. While facing the nation’s top rushing defense might sound intimidating, Bachmeier’s consistent workload on the ground provides a solid case for taking the over on his rushing yards. His passing yard projection, on the other hand, feels a bit more uncertain making that one best to avoid.
Behren Morton:
Embed from Getty Images- Props
- Passing Yards: 256.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over -180; under +134)
The Texas Tech Red Raiders have played nine games this season, though Behren Morton hasn’t been available for all of them and has missed portions of others due to injury. When he’s been on the field, however, he’s been highly effective averaging 250 passing yards and 2.1 passing touchdowns per game. BYU’s defense has held up reasonably well against the pass, allowing 207.9 yards per game (44th in FBS). Given Morton’s status as a true pocket passer and how heavily Texas Tech leans on him when healthy, I’d feel confident backing the over on both of his current passing props.
(3) Texas A&M vs. (22) Missouri
Marcel Reed:
- Props
- Passing Yards: 227.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over -106; under -125)
- Rushing Yards: 35.5 (over -114; under -114)
After a bye week, the Aggies hit the road once again—this time to face a Missouri team that’s starting to look like a wounded animal. Marcel Reed has been electric this season, averaging 246.5 passing yards, 2.1 passing touchdowns, and 43.6 rushing yards per game. Missouri’s defense, however, has been among the best in the country, allowing just 167.5 passing yards per game (9th in FBS) and 81.6 rushing yards per game (6th in FBS). Given those numbers, both of Reed’s yardage props look a bit inflated this week. Still, his passing touchdown line offers some value on the over, especially considering how efficient he’s been in the red zone.
Matt Zollers:
- Props
- Passing Yards: 177.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over +194; under -270)
The Missouri Tigers are also coming off a bye week, but they’ll have a new face leading the offense with Matt Zollers taking over for the injured Beau Pribula. When Zollers stepped in against Vanderbilt, he held his own, completing 14 of 23 passes for 138 yards and a touchdown. Betting on a completely untested quarterback always carries some uncertainty, especially against a solid Texas A&M defense that allows just 203 passing yards per game (37th in FBS). Given the circumstances, the only prop that offers any real value here is Zollers’ passing touchdowns over. It’s a cautious play, but the upside makes it worth considering.
(9) Oregon vs. (20) Iowa
Dante Moore:
Embed from Getty Images- Props
- Passing Yards: 211.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over -106; under -125)
We haven’t seen Dante Moore featured in one of these top 25 matchups for a few weeks, but this is a crucial opportunity for him and the Ducks to lock in. It’s been an up-and-down season for the young quarterback, as he’s averaging 221.5 passing yards and 2.3 passing touchdowns per game. He’ll be facing one of the best defenses in the country in Iowa, which allows just 153.4 passing yards per game. And it’s worth noting — the Hawkeyes haven’t built that stat line against weak competition; they’ve faced some really solid teams including Indiana this season. Given that, the under on Moore’s passing yards feels like the right play here, while his passing touchdown prop is one to avoid.
Mark Gronkowski:
- Props
- Passing Yards: 132.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Passing TD’s: 0.5 (over -106; under -125)
- Rushing Yards: 26.5 (over -114; under -114)
For the first time this season, we’ll see Mark Gronkowski and the Iowa Hawkeyes featured in a top 25 matchup. While Iowa’s offense is far from explosive, this team has made a habit of grinding out close wins. Gronkowski has averaged 118.2 passing yards, 0.5 passing touchdowns, and 39.1 rushing yards per game. Oregon’s defense has been elite against the pass, allowing just 114.1 yards per game — the best mark in the country. However, they’ve been a bit more vulnerable against the run, giving up 124.6 yards per game (32nd in FBS). The best approach here seems to be taking the under on Gronkowski’s passing yards and the over on his rushing yards. The passing touchdown prop doesn’t offer much value either way.

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