Super Bowl week is finally here, and as expected, there’s no shortage of betting opportunities. Even with two strong defenses on display, the quarterback matchup will always take center stage on the sport’s biggest stage. This season, we get a fresh Super Bowl pairing at quarterback with two first-time participants in Drake Maye and Sam Darnold—both of whom exceeded expectations and played key roles in leading their teams to this point.
Let’s break down the Super Bowl player props available for these quarterbacks, starting with Sam Darnold, while also taking a look at how each prop aligns with his regular-season and postseason performance.
Embed from Getty ImagesSam Darnold (from FanDuel)
Passing Yards 228.5 (over/under -110): Darnold followed up a strong season in Minnesota with arguably an even better one in Seattle, despite finishing with slightly fewer total passing yards. He threw for 4,048 yards during the regular season—his second-highest total—averaging 238.1 passing yards per game. That average alone clears this line, and he would have surpassed 228.5 yards in 10 of 17 regular-season games.
In the playoffs, Darnold has averaged 235 passing yards per game, including a massive 346-yard outing in the NFC Championship. Seattle simply didn’t need him to throw much in the Divisional Round against San Francisco, which helps explain the variance.
Passing TDs 1.5 (over -108; under -122): Much like his yardage totals, Darnold posted his second-best passing touchdown season, finishing with 25 passing scores—an average of 1.47 per game. He threw two or more touchdown passes in eight regular-season games.
So far in the postseason, he has four passing touchdowns, three of which came in the NFC Championship against the Rams. If Seattle is forced to lean on the passing game at all, the over becomes very much in play here.
Pass Completions 19.5 (over -122; under -108): One defining trait of Seattle’s offense is balance, and that extends to how they deploy Darnold. Over 17 regular-season games, he completed 323 passes, averaging exactly 19 completions per game. He reached 20 or more completions in just eight of those contests.
Through two playoff games, Darnold has totaled 37 completions—12 in the Divisional Round and 25 in the NFC Championship—showing how game script has dictated his usage.
Pass Attempts 29.5 (over -102; under -128): The Seahawks were similarly selective with Darnold’s pass volume. He attempted just 477 passes during the regular season, an average of 28.1 attempts per game. Darnold eclipsed 30 pass attempts in only seven games all season.
The postseason has shown both extremes: just 17 attempts in one game, followed by 36 in the next. This prop will likely come down to whether Seattle plays from ahead or is forced into a more aggressive game plan.
Longest Pass 35.5 (over -112; under -118): Longest-completion props are always volatile, as they often hinge on one broken coverage or perfectly timed shot play. That said, Darnold has shown consistency in this area, recording a completion of 36 yards or more in 11 of 17 regular-season games. He also connected on a 51-yard pass in the NFC Championship.
Given Seattle’s willingness to take occasional deep shots, the over remains very much in play if just one of those connects on Super Bowl Sunday.
Drake Maye (from FanDuel)
Passing Yards 220.5 (over/under -110): Drake Maye took a massive step forward in his sophomore season, especially considering he appeared in just 13 games as a rookie. This year, he eclipsed the 4,000-yard mark in emphatic fashion, throwing for 4,394 passing yards—an average of 258.4 yards per game. Maye cleared 221 passing yards in 14 of 17 regular-season games.
That said, this will likely be one of the toughest defenses he’s faced all season. In the postseason, Maye has thrown for 268 yards against the Chargers, 179 against the Texans, and just 86 against the Broncos. The encouraging sign here is that weather conditions won’t be nearly as problematic as they were in Houston or Denver, which should allow New England to be more aggressive through the air.
Passing TDs 1.5 (over +130; under -174): Maye was equally productive in the touchdown department, finishing the regular season with 31 passing touchdowns—an average of 1.8 per game. He threw two or more touchdown passes in 11 of 17 regular-season contests.
In the playoffs, his most impressive passing touchdown performance came against arguably the best defense he’s faced in the Texans, where he tossed three scores. He threw just one against the Chargers and none against the Broncos, though again, weather played a significant role in limiting the passing attack in that Denver matchup.
Pass Completions 20.5 (over +106; under -140): Maye completed 354 passes during the regular season, averaging 20.8 completions per game. Despite that average, he reached 21 or more completions in only eight games.
So far in the postseason, his completion totals have dipped to 17, 16, and 10, respectively. Facing a Seattle secondary that ranks among the league’s best, it will be interesting to see how the Patriots structure their offensive approach around their young quarterback.
Pass Attempts 29.5 (over -102; under -128): Pass-attempt volume has been inconsistent for Maye throughout the season, ranging from as few as 17 attempts to as many as 46. During the regular season, he reached 30 or more pass attempts in eight of 17 games, finishing with 492 total attempts—an average of 28.9 per game.
In the playoffs, Maye has logged 29 attempts in the opening round, followed by 27 and 21 in the next two games. Once again, the game script will likely dictate how close he comes to this number.
Longest Pass 32.5 (over -112; under -118): Maye’s deep ball has been one of the most exciting elements of New England’s offense this season. During the regular season, his shortest “longest completion” in a game was 23 yards, while his longest went for 72 yards. He recorded a completion of 33 yards or more in 11 regular-season games, along with one such play in the postseason.
With the Patriots expected to open up the playbook and play aggressively on the sport’s biggest stage, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Maye connect on at least one deep shot in this matchup.

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