Last week, I started a series of putting together makeshift Analytics Reports for the huge Saturday college basketball betting boards. The goal was to both save time for bettors handicapping on their own and to share the qualifying data for a handful of different college basketball analytics pieces I’ve put together over the last month or so.
If you haven’t utilized this type of thing before, this is exactly what we do for readers in NBA, MLB, NFL, and CFB on a daily or weekly basis, and we call those pieces our VSiN Analytics Reports. With that in mind, here is the Analytics Report for the huge Saturday board. You’ll notice that in addition to everything I covered last week, I’ve added the popular “Handicapping the last two weeks in the power conferences” piece from this past Monday to the mix. Hopefully, this whole thing saves you time and brings you profits.
Betting the Last Two Weeks in College Basketball’s Power Conferences
Embed from Getty Images1) Home teams in the Power 5 conferences are 743-427 SU and 618-530 ATS for 53.8% in the final two weeks of the regular season.
2) The other concept is that late-season games in the power leagues have leaned Over on totals, 629-530 (54.3%) over the last eight years, and 343-255 (57.4%) over the last four seasons.
3) Power conference teams looking to avenge an earlier season loss and playing as home favorites of 6 points or more in the last two weeks of the regular season have gone 96-12 SU and 64-38 ATS (62.7%) since 2018.
Top Teams
There have been 11 Power 5 conference teams that have won 70% or more of their games outright in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years. They have combined to go 143-94 against the spread (60.3%) as well. They are:
HOUSTON (Big 12): 8-0 SU & 2-6 ATS
CONNECTICUT (Big East): 18-1 SU & 14-4 ATS
BYU (Big 12): 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS
NORTH CAROLINA (ACC): 23-4 SU & 17-10 ATS
OREGON (Big Ten): 21-6 SU & 15-12 ATS
KENTUCKY (SEC): 20-7 SU & 13-14 ATS
PURDUE (Big Ten): 16-6 SU & 11-11 ATS
CLEMSON (ACC): 20-8 SU & 16-11 ATS
GEORGIA TECH (ACC): 19-8 SU & 23-4 ATS
TENNESSEE (SEC): 19-8 SU & 12-14 ATS
ILLINOIS (Big Ten): 21-9 SU & 13-17 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, BYU is at W Virginia, CLEMSON hosts Louisville, CONNECTICUT hosts Seton Hall, GEORGIA TECH hosts Florida State, HOUSTON hosts Colorado, KENTUCKY hosts Vanderbilt, NORTH CAROLINA hosts Virginia Tech, OREGON is at Northwestern, TENNESSEE hosts Alabama.
There have been 11 different teams that have gone 60% or better ATS in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years, and they have combined to go 148-69 ATS, good for 68.2%. They are:
BYU (Big 12): 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS
GEORGIA TECH (ACC): 19-8 SU & 23-4 ATS
CONNECTICUT (Big East): 18-1 SU & 14-4 ATS
TEXAS A&M (SEC): 15-11 SU & 17-8 ATS
COLORADO (Big 12): 14-9 SU & 15-8 ATS
UCF (Big 12): 4-4 SU & 5-3 ATS
CREIGHTON (Big East): 17-8 SU & 15-9 ATS
NORTH CAROLINA (ACC): 23-4 SU & 17-10 ATS
MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten): 20-9 SU & 18-11 ATS
ARKANSAS (SEC): 17-11 SU & 17-11 ATS
PENN STATE (Big Ten): 13-14 SU & 15-10 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, ARKANSAS is at Florida, BYU is at W Virginia, COLORADO is at Houston, CONNECTICUT hosts Seton Hall, CREIGHTON hosts Providence, GEORGIA TECH hosts Florida St, NORTH CAROLINA hosts Virginia Tech, PENN STATE hosts Iowa, TEXAS A&M hosts Texas, UCF hosts Baylor
Bottom Teams
There have been 13 Power 5 conference teams that have won 33% or less of their games in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years, and their combined ATS record is an ugly 145-187 (43.7%). Those teams are:
MINNESOTA (Big Ten): 6-22 SU & 10-17 ATS
GEORGETOWN (Big East): 6-21 SU & 13-14 ATS
CALIFORNIA (ACC): 7-16 SU & 11-12 ATS
GEORGIA (SEC): 8-19 SU & 13-14 ATS
DEPAUL (Big East): 8-18 SU & 12-14 ATS
BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC): 8-18 SU & 10-14 ATS
LOUISVILLE (ACC): 8-17 SU & 11-14 ATS
TCU (Big 12): 10-21 SU & 13-17 ATS
PITTSBURGH (ACC): 8-17 SU & 10-14 ATS
NC STATE (ACC): 8-17 SU & 9-16 ATS
STANFORD (ACC): 8-16 SU & 13-11 ATS
UTAH (Big 12): 8-16 SU & 10-13 ATS
WAKE FOREST (ACC): 9-18 SU & 10-17 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, BOSTON COLLEGE is at Miami (FL), CALIFORNIA hosts Pittsburgh, GEORGETOWN is at Xavier, GEORGIA hosts South Carolina, LOUISVILLE is at Clemson, MINNESOTA hosts UCLA, NC STATE is at Notre Dame, PITTSBURGH is at California, STANFORD hosts SMU, TCU is at Kansas State, UTAH is at Arizona St, WAKE FOREST hosts Syracuse
There have been 13 teams that have gone 38% or worse ATS in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years, they are:
SMU (ACC): 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS
HOUSTON (Big 12): 8-0 SU & 2-6 ATS
ALABAMA (SEC): 14-14 SU & 9-19 ATS
NC STATE (ACC): 8-17 SU & 9-16 ATS
MINNESOTA (Big Ten): 6-22 SU & 10-17 ATS
WAKE FOREST (ACC): 9-18 SU & 10-17 ATS
IOWA STATE (Big 12): 10-19 SU & 10-17 ATS
MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC): 11-17 SU & 10-16 ATS
SETON HALL (Big East): 10-14 SU & 9-15 ATS
MARQUETTE (Big East): 13-13 SU & 10-16 ATS
XAVIER (Big East): 14-12 SU & 10-16 ATS
KANSAS (Big 12): 17-10 SU & 10-16 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, ALABAMA is at Tennessee, HOUSTON hosts Colorado, IOWA STATE hosts Texas Tech, KANSAS is at Arizona, MINNESOTA hosts UCLA, MISSISSIPPI STATE hosts Missouri, NC STATE is at Notre Dame, SETON HALL is at Connecticut, SMU is at Stanford, WAKE FOREST hosts Syracuse, XAVIER hosts Georgetown
Best Home Teams
There have been 11 teams that have gone 86% or better outright at home in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years, and four teams that have gone undefeated at home in that span. These teams have combined to go a remarkable 92-40 against the spread (69.7%) as hosts! They are:
HOUSTON (Big 12): 4-0 SU & 1-3 ATS
MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten): 15-0 SU & 12-3 ATS
CONNECTICUT (Big East): 10-0 SU & 7-2 ATS
BYU (Big 12): 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
GEORGIA TECH (ACC): 11-1 SU & 12-0 ATS
OREGON (Big Ten): 14-2 SU & 11-5 ATS
CLEMSON (ACC): 13-2 SU & 11-3 ATS
ARKANSAS (SEC): 13-2 SU & 8-7 ATS
NORTH CAROLINA (ACC): 13-2 SU & 9-6 ATS
KANSAS (Big 12): 12-2 SU & 7-7 ATS
CREIGHTON (Big East): 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, CLEMSON hosts Louisville, CONNECTICUT hosts Seton Hall, CREIGHTON hosts Providence, GEORGIA TECH hosts Florida State, HOUSTON hosts Colorado, NORTH CAROLINA hosts Virginia Tech
Worst Home Teams
Most of the teams on the “Bottom” list above have enjoyed little to no home-court advantage late in the season. Here are the 12 Power 5 conference teams that have won 46% or fewer of their home games outright in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years. Their combined ATS record is a fade-able 68-90 (43.0%).
BOSTON COLLEGE (ACC): 4-10 SU & 6-8 ATS
GEORGETOWN (Big East): 4-10 SU & 8-6 ATS
MINNESOTA (Big Ten): 4-9 SU & 5-7 ATS
GEORGIA (SEC): 5-10 SU & 7-8 ATS
NEBRASKA (Big Ten): 5-8 SU & 7-6 ATS
TCU (Big 12): 6-9 SU & 6-9 ATS
WASHINGTON (Big Ten): 5-7 SU & 5-7 ATS
IOWA ST (Big 12): 6-8 SU & 4-9 ATS
MISSOURI (SEC): 6-8 SU & 4-10 ATS
VANDERBILT (SEC): 6-8 SU & 7-6 ATS
MIAMI (FL) (ACC): 5-6 SU & 4-6 ATS
FLORIDA (SEC): 6-7 SU & 5-8 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, FLORIDA hosts Arkansas, GEORGIA hosts South Carolina, IOWA STATE hosts Texas Tech, MIAMI (FL) hosts Boston College, MINNESOTA hosts UCLA, WASHINGTON hosts Wisconsin
Best Road Teams
Ability to win on the road late in the season is typically a strong trait for the best teams across all sports. Same goes for college basketball. Here are the 10 power conference teams to win at least 55% of their road games in the final two weeks of the regular season since 2018:
HOUSTON (Big 12): 4-0 SU & 1-3 ATS
CONNECTICUT (Big East): 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS
NORTH CAROLINA (ACC): 10-2 SU & 8-4 ATS
KENTUCKY (SEC): 10-3 SU & 9-4 ATS
BYU (Big 12): 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS
VIRGINIA (ACC): 7-4 SU & 6-5 ATS
OREGON (Big Ten): 7-4 SU & 4-7 ATS
ILLINOIS (Big Ten): 8-6 SU & 9-5 ATS
TENNESSEE (SEC): 8-6 SU & 4-9 ATS
PURDUE (Big Ten): 5-4 SU & 4-5 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, BYU is at West Virginia, OREGON is at Northwestern, VIRGINIA is at Duke
Worst Road Teams
There have been 12 teams that have won 15% or less of their road games outright in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years. That is an ugly number. The combined ATS record of these teams is arguably worse, 45-96 (31.9%)! There is no reason to discontinue fading these teams on the road in 2026 over the next couple of weeks.
UTAH (Big 12): 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS
WAKE FOREST (ACC): 0-11 SU & 1-10 ATS
CINCINNATI (Big 12): 0-4 SU & 3-1 ATS
NOTRE DAME (ACC): 1-13 SU & 3-11 ATS
CALIFORNIA (ACC): 1-11 SU & 4-8 ATS
PITTSBURGH (ACC): 1-12 SU & 4-8 ATS
STANFORD (ACC): 1-11 SU & 4-8 ATS
MINNESOTA (Big Ten): 2-13 SU & 5-10 ATS
DEPAUL (Big East): 2-12 SU & 6-8 ATS
MISSISSIPPI STATE (SEC): 2-12 SU & 3-10 ATS
GEORGETOWN (Big East): 2-11 SU & 5-8 ATS
LOUISVILLE (ACC): 2-11 SU & 5-8 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, GEORGETOWN is at Xavier, LOUISVILLE is at Clemson, PITTSBURGH is at California, UTAH is at Arizona State
Best Revenge Teams
An angle that produces some definitive results is that of revenge, or when a team lost the initial game versus a conference opponent earlier in the season, and how they responded. The following is a list of the teams that performed best in the final two weeks of the regular season since 2019 when playing with revenge motivation:
FLORIDA STATE (ACC): 2-0 SU & ATS
VIRGINIA (ACC): 1-0 SU & ATS
BYU (Big 12): 2-0 SU & 1-1 ATS
KENTUCKY (SEC): 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
HOUSTON (Big 12): 2-0 SU & ATS
NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten): 7-1 SU & ATS
MICHIGAN STATE (Big Ten): 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS
CONNECTICUT (Big East): 6-1 SU & 5-1 ATS
TENNESSEE (SEC): 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS
OREGON (Big Ten): 8-2 SU & 6-4 ATS
KANSAS (Big 12): 7-2 SU & 7-1 ATS
VILLANOVA (Big East): 6-2 SU & ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, KENTUCKY hosts Vanderbilt, VILLANOVA is at St. John’s
Worst Revenge Teams
Alternatively, revenge hasn’t proven to be a good motivating factor for these teams:
LOUISVILLE (ACC): 0-9 SU & 3-6 ATS
ARIZONA (Big 12): 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS
GEORGETOWN (Big East): 2-17 SU & 9-10 ATS
NC STATE (ACC): 1-7 SU & 2-6 ATS
PITTSBURGH (ACC): 1-6 SU & 2-4 ATS
MINNESOTA (Big Ten): 2-11 SU & 5-8 ATS
DEPAUL (Big East): 4-14 SU & 8-10 ATS
MIAMI (FL) (ACC): 2-7 SU & 2-6 ATS
GEORGIA (SEC): 3-9 SU & 6-6 ATS
MARYLAND (Big Ten): 2-6 SU & 2-6 ATS
INDIANA (Big Ten): 2-6 SU & 2-6 ATS
ALABAMA (SEC): 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS
PURDUE (Big Ten): 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, ARIZONA is at Kansas, GEORGETOWN is at Xavier, and ALABAMA is at Tennessee
On Totals – OVER & UNDER Teams
There have been 12 Power 5 conference teams that have gone Over the total in 65% of their games or more in the final two weeks of the regular season over the last seven years, they are:
ARKANSAS (SEC): 21-7 OVER the total
AUBURN (SEC): 20-8 OVER the total
UCLA (Big Ten): 18-8 OVER the total
MINNESOTA (Big Ten): 18-8 OVER the total
WEST VIRGINIA (Big 12): 19-9 OVER the total
WASHINGTON (Big Ten): 17-8 OVER the total
OLE MISS (SEC): 19-9 OVER the total
MISSOURI (SEC): 18-9 OVER the total
SOUTH CAROLINA (SEC): 18-9 OVER the total
UTAH (Big 12): 16-8 OVER the total
NEBRASKA (Big Ten): 19-10 OVER the total
For 2/28. ARKANSAS is at Florida, AUBURN hosts OLE MISS, MINNESOTA hosts UCLA, MISSOURI is at Mississippi State, NEBRASKA is at USC, OREGON is at Northwestern, SOUTH CAROLINA is at Georgia, UTAH is at Arizona State, WEST VIRGINIA hosts BYU, WASHINGTON hosts Wisconsin
Well, accordingly, going 12 deep again, the percentage for Under on totals is at 57%:
SMU (ACC): 3-1 Under the total
HOUSTON (Big 12): 6-2 Under the total
NORTHWESTERN (Big Ten): 16-10 Under the total
CLEMSON (ACC): 17-11 Under the total
STANFORD (ACC): 14-9 Under the total
VILLANOVA (Big East): 15-10 Under the total
VIRGINIA TECH (ACC): 15-10 Under the total
PENN STATE (Big Ten): 16-11 Under the total
IOWA STATE (Big 12): 17-12 Under the total
RUTGERS (Big Ten): 14-10 Under the total
LOUISVILLE (ACC): 14-10 Under the total
BUTLER (Big East): 13-10 Under the total
For Saturday 2/28, CLEMSON hosts LOUISVILLE, HOUSTON hosts Colorado, IOWA STATE hosts Texas Tech, NORTHWESTERN hosts Oregon, PENN STATE hosts Iowa, SMU is at STANFORD, VILLANOVA is at St. Johns, VIRGINIA TECH is at North Carolina
Home Court Advantage & Totals results by Conference
ACC: 136-68 SU & 119-82 ATS (59.2%), Overs 107-95 (52.9%)
Big 12: 104-59 SU & 81-78 ATS (50.9%), Overs 83-78 (51.6%)
Big East: 83-51 SU & 74-58 ATS (56.1%), Overs 67-65 (50.8%)
Big Ten: 124-74 SU & 102-93 ATS (52.3%), Overs 106-90 (54.1%)
SEC: 119-78 SU & 94-100 ATS (48.5%), Overs 119-77 (60.7%)
For Saturday, 2/28, the ACC home teams are NOTRE DAME, DUKE, GEORGIA TECH, MIAMI (FL), CLEMSON, CALIFORNIA, WAKE FOREST, STANFORD, NORTH CAROLINAFor Saturday, 2/28, the Big Ten home teams are PENN STATE, MINNESOTA, NORTHWESTERN, USC, WASHINGTON
For Saturday, 2/28, the SEC games are MISSOURI-MISSISSIPPI STATE, VANDERBILT-KENTUCKY, SOUTH CAROLINA-GEORGIA, TEXAS-TEXAS A&M, OKLAHOMA-LSU, ALABAMA-TENNESSEE, OLE MISS-AUBURN, ARKANSAS-FLORIDA
Trends by Line Range
There have been some trends that have developed in the various conferences specific to line range. Take a look.
* There has been a definitive line point in ACC home favorite betting, and that has been 10 points. ACC home teams in the -1 to -10 range are on an 82-21 SU & 65-35-3 ATS (65%) run, a sign that home court advantage can be the deciding factor in expectedly tighter games. At the same time, ACC home underdogs of +6 or more are just 10-16 ATS (38.5%) in their last 26 tries.
For Saturday, 2/28, the expected single-digit favored ACC home teams are DUKE, CALIFORNIA, WAKE FOREST, NORTH CAROLINA. The expected +6 or more home dogs are NOTRE DAME, GEORGIA TECH
* There are some very interesting trends in Big East games with lofty totals of 150 or higher posted since 2018. In these games in the last two weeks of the regular season, hosts are 37-16 SU and 36-17 ATS (67.9%), while totals are 32-21 Over (60.4%).
For Saturday, 2/28, the expected high totaled Big East games are Georgetown-XAVIER, Providence-CREIGHTON
* Big 12 home underdogs in late-season games have thrived, going 12-21 SU but 22-10-1 ATS (68.8%) in their last 33.
For Saturday, 2/28, the expected Big 12 home underdogs are WEST VIRGINIA and KANSAS STATE
* Contrary to popular belief, laying a lot of points with hosts in the Big Ten has been a rewarding strategy, as those favored by double-digits are on a 31-5 SU and 23-13 ATS (63.9%) run since 2018.
For Saturday, 2/28, the expected double-digit Big Ten home favorites are IOWA
* Big Ten home underdogs of more than 3-points have been very dangerous, going 15-21 SU and 25-11 ATS (69.4%) since 2018.
For Saturday, 2/28, the expected bigger Big Ten home underdogs are PENN STATE and MINNESOTA
* SEC home teams have really dragged the numbers down overall for the Power 5 collective in recent years, going just 49-67 ATS (42.2%) over the last four seasons. Of note, too, Over the total is a spectacular 82-33 (71.3%) in the SEC in that time frame.
For Saturday, 2/28, these are the SEC games, with the hosts in caps: Missouri-MISSISSIPPI STATE, Vanderbilt-KENTUCKY, South Carolina-GEORGIA, Texas-TEXAS A&M, Oklahoma-LSU, Alabama-TENNESSEE, Ole Miss-AUBURN, Arkansas-FLORIDA
* Small SEC home dogs have really struggled in the final two weeks of the regular season, as those at +4.5 points or less are just 10-26 SU and 12-24 ATS (33.3%) since 2018.
For 2/28, the expected smaller SEC home underdogs are MISSISSIPPI STATE, KENTUCKY
* Lofty totaled SEC games in the final two weeks of the regular season since 2018 have been explosive, as games with totals of 150 or higher have gone 46-19 Over (70.8%), producing 164.2 PPG on totals averaging 158.4.
For Saturday, 2/28, the SEC games with expected totals of 150+ are MISSOURI-MISSISSIPPI STATE, VANDERBILT-KENTUCKY, SOUTH CAROLINA-GEORGIA, TEXAS-TEXAS A&M, OKLAHOMA-LSU, ALABAMA-TENNESSEE, OLE MISS-AUBURN, ARKANSAS-FLORIDA
College Basketball Rematch/Revenge Betting Strategies
As we head into another huge weekend of college basketball games, this is a great time to look more closely at the rematch/revenge stats, systems, and trends that have formed in recent years in order to immediately take advantage. Read on as I show you some of the best and worst teams in rematches, unveil some interesting systems, and find some actionable spots that might help you for games that are rematches on Saturday. There are 14 such games in the power conferences set for Saturday, 2/28.
Best CBB POWER CONFERENCE rematch teams lately1. NORTHWESTERN: 14-11 SU & 17-7 ATS
2. WASHINGTON: 16-15 SU & 21-10 ATS
3. ARKANSAS: 12-6 SU & ATS
4. BOSTON COLLEGE: 10-11 SU but 14-7 ATS
5. CLEMSON: 15-7 SU & 14-7 ATS
6. GEORGIA TECH: 7-14 SU but 14-7 ATS
7. TEXAS A&M: 12-6 SU & 11-6 ATS
8. NEBRASKA: 11-14 SU but 16-9 ATS
9. ARIZONA: 27-7 SU & 21-12 ATS
10. SOUTH CAROLINA: 9-10 SU but 12-7 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, ARIZONA hosts Kansas, BOSTON COLLEGE is at Miami, S CAROLINA is at Georgia, TEXAS A&M hosts Texas
Worst CBB POWER CONFERENCE rematch teams lately1. OREGON: 17-14 SU but 8-23 ATS
2. UTAH: 7-26 SU & 9-23 ATS
3. RUTGERS: 7-17 SU & ATS
4. LOUISVILLE: 4-18 SU & 7-15 ATS
5. OLE MISS: 3-15 SU & 6-12 ATS
6. XAVIER: 22-20 SU but 15-26 ATS
7. LSU: 5-14 SU & 7-12 ATS
8. OKLAHOMA STATE: 9-20 SU & 11-18 ATS
9. NOTRE DAME: 9-12 SU & 8-13 ATS
10. NORTH CAROLINA: 14-7 SU but 8-13 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, OLE MISS is at Auburn, UTAH is at Arizona St, XAVIER hosts Georgetown
Best CBB POWER CONFERENCE HOME rematch teams lately1. GEORGIA TECH: 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS
2. BOSTON COLLEGE: 4-4 SU & 6-2 ATS
3. NORTHWESTERN: 9-3 SU & 8-3 ATS
4. NEBRASKA: 6-7 SU but 9-4 ATS
5. PENN STATE: 10-3 SU & 9-4 ATS
6. MARYLAND: 8-4 SU & ATS
7. WASHINGTON: 10-8 SU & 12-6 ATS
8. VILLANOVA: 18-4 SU & 14-7 ATS
9. ARKANSAS: 10-1 SU & 7-4 ATS
10. CALIFORNIA: 4-8 SU but 7-4 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, NO GAMES APPLY
Worst CBB POWER CONFERENCE HOME rematch teams lately1. OLE MISS: 0-7 SU & ATS
2. LSU: 2-7 SU & ATS
3. BUTLER: 6-13 SU & 4-14 ATS
4. NORTH CAROLINA: 8-4 SU but 3-9 ATS
5. MIAMI: 5-7 SU & 3-9 ATS
6. SETON HALL: 11-12 SU & 6-17 ATS
7. UTAH: 4-12 SU & 4-11 ATS
8. NOTRE DAME: 6-5 SU but 3-8 ATS
9. LOUISVILLE: 4-7 SU & 3-8 ATS
10. DEPAUL: 4-13 SU & 5-12 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, NO GAMES APPLY
Best CBB POWER CONFERENCE ROAD rematch teams lately1. TEXAS A&M: 7-3 SU & 8-1 ATS
2. SOUTH CAROLINA: 5-4 SU & 7-2 ATS
3. MIAMI (FL): 4-5 SU but 7-2 ATS
4. CLEMSON: 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS
5. ARIZONA: 15-4 SU & 13-5 ATS
6. COLORADO: 8-6 SU & 10-4 ATS
7. ARKANSAS: 2-5 SU but 5-2 ATS
8. ARIZONA ST: 8-10 SU but 12-5 ATS
9. WASHINGTON: 6-7 SU but 9-4 ATS
10. NORTHWESTERN: 5-8 SU but 9-4 ATS
11. GEORGETOWN: 2-18 SU but 13-6 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, GEORGETOWN is at Xavier, SOUTH CAROLINA is at Georgia
Worst CBB POWER CONFERENCE ROAD rematch teams lately1. OREGON: 6-9 SU & 3-12 ATS
2. RUTGERS: 2-12 SU & 3-11 ATS
3. UTAH: 3-14 SU & 5-12 ATS
4. OHIO STATE: 1-9 SU & 3-7 ATS
5. UCF: 0-6 SU & 2-4 ATS
6. MICHIGAN STATE: 4-8 SU & 4-8 ATS
7. TEXAS: 4-7 SU & 4-7 ATS
8. LOUISVILLE: 0-11 SU & 4-7 ATS
9. ALABAMA: 3-5 SU & 3-5 ATS
10. OKLAHOMA STATE: 4-12 SU & 6-10 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, ALABAMA is at Tennessee, TEXAS is at Texas A&M, UTAH is at Arizona State
Best CBB POWER CONFERENCE REVENGE teams lately1. AUBURN: 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS
2. VIRGINIA: 5-2 SU & 4-1 ATS
3. ARKANSAS: 7-2 SU & ATS
4. KANSAS: 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS
5. KANSAS STATE: 10-3 SU & ATS
6. NORTHWESTERN: 9-5 SU & 10-3 ATS
7. BYU: 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
8. WISCONSIN: 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS
9. TCU: 8-4 SU & 8-3 ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, KANSAS STATE hosts TCU
Worst CBB POWER CONFERENCE REVENGE teams lately1. PURDUE: 3-2 SU but 0-5 ATS
2. ALABAMA: 3-3 SU & 1-5 ATS
3. OREGON: 6-6 SU & 2-10 ATS
4. NOTRE DAME: 2-8 SU & ATS
5. UTAH: 2-15 SU & 4-12 ATS
6. DUKE: 6-1 SU but 2-5 ATS
7. NC STATE: 4-10 SU & ATS
8. MIAMI (FL): 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS
9. BUTLER: 5-21 SU & 8-17 ATS
10. MICHIGAN STATE: 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS
11. NORTH CAROLINA: 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS
12. ST JOHN’S: 4-12 SU & 5-10 ATS
13. XAVIER: 9-10 SU & 6-12 ATS
For Saturday 2/28, ALABAMA is at Tennessee, UTAH is at Arizona State
Best CBB POWER CONFERENCE teams in rematches after winning the last game lately1. BOSTON COLLEGE: 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS
2. PURDUE: 15-4 SU & 13-5 ATS
3. CLEMSON: 10-5 SU & 10-4 ATS
4. NC STATE: 4-4 SU & 5-2 ATS
5. SOUTH CAROLINA: 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS
6. GEORGETOWN: 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS
7. GEORGIA TECH: 1-5 SU but 4-2 ATS
8. TEXAS A&M: 9-4 SU & 8-4 ATS
9. VILLANOVA: 19-6 SU & 14-7 ATS
10. MIAMI (FL): 7-4 SU & ATS
11. NORTHWESTERN: 5-6 SU but 7-4 ATS
12. PITTSBURGH: 7-4 SU & ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, TEXAS A&M hosts Texas
Worst CBB POWER CONFERENCE teams in rematches after winning last game lately1. MINNESOTA: 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS
2. OREGON STATE: 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS
3. UCF: 0-4 SU & ATS
4. LOUISVILLE: 3-4 SU & 1-6 ATS
5. OHIO STATE: 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS
6. RUTGERS: 3-11 SU & ATS
7. MICHIGAN: 6-5 SU & 3-8 ATS
8. OLE MISS: 2-5 SU & ATS
9. OKLAHOMA: 4-6 SU & 3-7 ATS
10. UTAH: 5-11 SU & ATS
For Saturday, 2/28, NO GAMES APPLY
High-scoring rematch teams1. AUBURN: 14-4 Over the total
2. MISSOURI: 14-4 Over the total
3. OLE MISS: 14-4 Over the total
4. BYU: 8-3 Over the total
5. ALABAMA: 13-5 Over the total
6. ARKANSAS: 13-5 Over the total
7. WAKE FOREST: 15-7 Over the total
8. WASHINGTON: 21-10 Over the total
9. FLORIDA: 12-6 Over the total
10. GEORGIA: 12-6 Over the total
11. INDIANA: 16-8 Over the total
12. SYRACUSE: 14-7 Over the total
13. UTAH: 22-11 Over the total
For Saturday, 2/28, ALABAMA is at Tennessee, AUBURN hosts OLE MISS, GEORGIA hosts South Carolina, MISSOURI is at Mississippi State, UTAH is at Arizona State
Low-scoring rematch teams1. NORTHWESTERN: 18-6 Under the total
2. IOWA STATE: 21-10 Under the total
3. HOUSTON: 8-4 Under the total
4. RUTGERS: 16-8 Under the total
5. SMU: 2-1 Under the total
6. TENNESSEE: 12-6 Under the total
7. BAYLOR: 18-12 Under the total
8. KANSAS: 16-11 Under the total
9. ARIZONA STATE: 20-14 Under the total For Saturday, 2/28, ARIZONA STATE hosts Utah, KANSAS is at Arizona, TENNESSEE hosts Alabama
All of the trends above have been team-specific betting angles. The remaining five are POWER CONFERECE WIDE SYSTEMS that you’ll need to fit teams into.
1) CBB POWER CONFERENCE TEAMS THAT LOST at home in the opening game between teams and are now on the road and maintain a winning record are on a 127-91 ATS (58.3%) run.This is an ideal spot for backing a team in revenge mode, and they are still seemingly a quality team, as judged by their record and have the motivation of paying a team back from a home loss. Plus, on the road, they are granted a few extra points to play with by oddsmakers.
For Saturday, 2/28, ALABAMA is at Tennessee, SETON HALL is at Connecticut, TEXAS is at Texas A&M, VILLANOVA is at St Johns
2) CBB POWER CONFERENCE TEAMS THAT LOST the opening game between teams and are now favorites of 7 points or greater are on a 79-11 SU and 52-37 ATS (58.4%) run.This is another spot where we have a highly motivated revenge seeker. Surely these teams are believing the recent loss to the opponent was a fluke, and the coaching staffs probably bombard them with the reminder all week up until game time.
For Saturday, 2/28, ARIZONA hosts Kansas
3) CBB POWER CONFERENCE TEAMS THAT LOST the opening game between teams and are now double-digit road underdogs have gone just 14-155 SU but are on a 96-72 ATS (57.1%) run.Consider this a spot where the better team may be taking a late-season matchup against a lesser conference rival too lightly. These games are typically overpriced, and we all know that most conference matchups aren’t easy, regardless of the circumstances with each team.
For Saturday, 2/28, SETON HALL is at Connecticut, BOSTON COLLEGE is at Miami (FL), OLE MISS is at Auburn, SOUTH CAROLINA is at Georgia
4) CBB POWER CONFERENCE TEAMS THAT LOST the opening game between teams at home but are scoring more than 78 PPG have been solid revenge teams, going 31-29 and 38-20 ATS (65.5%) since 2021.The better a team is offensively, perhaps the more fluky the team’s home loss was. This team has the offensive potency as well as the motivation to bounce back well in the road revenge scenario. For Saturday, 2/28, ALABAMA is at Tennessee, and TEXAS is at Texas A&M
5) On totals, any CBB POWER CONFERENCE REMATCH game that includes a team winning less than 42% of its games has gone Over the total at a 144-103 (58.3%) rate over the last 4-1/2 seasons.This angle could be reasoned with the losing teams not being great defensively, and the opponent, having seen them already, fattening up on a second chance to put together some big offensive numbers.
For Saturday, 2/28, BOSTON COLLEGE is at Miami (FL), OLE MISS is at Auburn, UTAH is at Arizona St, KANSAS ST hosts TCU
Eight College Basketball Power Conference Betting Systems to Utilize
About a month ago, I took some time to dig into my college basketball database to develop some strong betting systems that have emerged in the power conferences over the last decade or so. These focus only on CONFERENCE GAMES and look at a number of variables, including previous game stats, line ranges, days rest, and a few other factors.
You will see that I have qualified the plays for the Saturday, 2/28 games.
CBB Power Conference Betting System #1:College basketball power conference teams coming off an upset conference loss as a double-digit favorite are currently on a 52-22 SU and 47-26 ATS (64.4%) run in the follow-up game.
For Saturday, 2/28, BYU is at West Virginia
CBB Power Conference Betting System #2:College basketball power conference teams in the +8.5 to -8.5 line range hosting a Sunday game and coming off a conference win in their prior game have been wildly successful of late, going 126-47 SU and 111-58 ATS (65.7%) since ’16.
For Sunday, 3/1, MARQUETTE hosts DePaul
CBB Power Conference Betting System #3:College basketball power conference teams coming off a double-digit conference loss and having to wait at least five days for the next game are on a 32-109 SU and 55-84 ATS (39.6%) skid in that follow-up game since 2017.
For Saturday, 2/28, HOUSTON hosts Colorado
CBB Power Conference Betting System #4:College basketball power conference teams coming off a conference game holding an opponent below 31% field goal shooting have been great betting options in the follow-up game, 135-94 SU and 128-93 ATS (57.9%) since 2017. and having to wait at least five days for the next game are on a 32-109 SU and 55-84 ATS (39.6%) skid in that follow-up game since 2017.
For Saturday 2/28, CONNECTICUT hosts Seton Hall, VIRGINIA is at Duke
CBB Power Conference Betting System #6:College basketball power conference teams coming off a conference game, making 16 or more 3-point field goals have gone 122-56 SU and 103-72 ATS (58.9%) in the follow-up game since 2016.
For Saturday 2/28, NO GAMES APPLY
CBB Power Conference Betting System #7:College basketball power conference teams coming off a conference game shooting 60% or better from the floor have gone 117-98 SU but just 90-123 ATS (42.3%) in the follow-up game since 2017.
For Saturday 2/28, NO GAMES APPLY
CBB Power Conference Betting System #8:College basketball power conference teams coming off a conference win of 20+ points while scoring 93 or more are 221-158 SU but 163-200 ATS (44.9%) in the next game since 2017.
For Saturday 2/28, ALABAMA is at Tennessee, DUKE hosts Virginia
Top Head-to-Head Series Trends for College Basketball Games of Saturday, 2/28
Saturday’s college basketball betting board looks like a big one for bettors who love head-to-head series trends. There are a lot of rivalries to be renewed, which in itself typically leads to enhanced opportunities. Here is a list of the notable head-to-head trends for the Saturday, 2/28 games. Take a look at these and discern whether or not conditions are right for these trends to continue:
(601) NC STATE at (602) NOTRE DAME
* NOTRE DAME has won the last five ATS vs. NC State
(607) SETON HALL at (608) CONNECTICUT
* Home teams have won the last five ATS in the SHU-Uconn series
(609) FLORIDA STATE at (610) GEORGIA TECH
* Home teams have won the last eight in the FSU-GTU series
(611) ST JOSEPH’S at (612) RHODE ISLAND
* Home teams have won the last five ATS in the SJU-URI series
(617) MISSOURI at (618) MISSISSIPPI STATE
* Under the total is 10-2 in the last 12 of the Missouri-MSU series
(621) CLEVELAND STATE at (622) ROBERT MORRIS
* Road teams have won the last seven ATS in the CSU-RMU rivalry
(623) GEORGETOWN at (624) XAVIER
* Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the GEO-XAV rivalry
(633) PURDUE FT WAYNE at (634) IUPUI
* Road teams have won the last six ATS in the IPFW-IU Indy series
(641) CENTRAL MICHIGAN at (642) BUFFALO
* Under the total is 9-2 in the last 11 of the CMU-BUF series, including 5-0 at Buffalo
(643) BOSTON COLLEGE at (644) MIAMI (FL)
* BOSTON COLLEGE is 14-3-1 ATS vs. Miami (FL) since 2015
(647) SAN DIEGO STATE at (648) NEW MEXICO
* Over the total is 8-2 in the last 10 of the SDSU-New Mexico series
(649) YOUNGSTOWN STATE at (650) UW-GREEN BAY
* Over the total is 13-2-2 in the last 17 of the YSU-UWGB series
(651) ST BONAVENTURE at (652) GEORGE MASON
* Favorties are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 of the STB-GMU rivalry
(653) VMI at (654) CHATTANOOGA
* Over the total is 10-1 in the last 11 of the VMI-Chattanooga series
(657) LOUISVILLE at (658) CLEMSON
* LOUISVILLE has won the last six ATS vs. Clemson
(667) UTEP at (668) WESTERN KENTUCKY
* WESTERN KENTUCKY is on an 11-1 ATS run vs. UTEP
(669) SOUTH CAROLINA at (670) GEORGIA
* SOUTH CAROLINA is 8-1 in the last nine visits to Georgia
(675) TEXAS TECH at (676) IOWA STATE
* Favorites are on 10-2 ATS surge in the TTU-ISU rivalry
(677) N COLORADO at (678) IDAHO
* N COLORADO is on a 13-4 ATS run vs. Idaho
(685) TOLEDO at (686) OHIO U
* TOLEDO is on a 23-5 ATS run vs. Ohio U since 2010
(687) NEBRASKA at (688) USC
* Underdogs have won the last five ATS in the NEB-USC series
(689) KANSAS at (690) ARIZONA
* The last five games of the Kansas-Arizona series went Over the total
(691) VALPARAISO at (692) EVANSVILLE
* Underdogs have won the last five ATS in the Valparaiso-Evansville series
(697) NORTHERN ARIZONA at (698) EASTERN WASHINGTON
* NORTHERN ARIZONA is on a 9-2 ATS run vs. Eastern Washington
(701) TEXAS at (702) TEXAS A&M
* TEXAS A&M is on a 6-1-1 ATS run vs. Texas
(707) AIR FORCE at (708) WYOMING
* Over the total is 5-0-1 in the last six of the AF-WYO series at Wyoming
(709) TENNESSEE ST at (710) TENN-MARTIN
* The last five games of the TSU-UTM series went Over the total
(715) EAST TENNESSEE STATE at (716) MERCER
* Under the total is 11-2 in the last 13 of the ETSU-MER series
(717) TENNESSEE TECH at (718) SE MISSOURI STATE
* Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the TTU-SEMO series
(719) COLORADO STATE at (720) SAN JOSE STATE
* Under the total is 10-1 in the last 11 of the CSU-SJSU series
(725) PROVIDENCE at (726) CREIGHTON
* The last five games of the Providence-Creighton series went Over the total
(733) SYRACUSE at (734) WAKE FOREST
* Favorites are on a 9-2-1 ATS run in the Syracuse-Wake Forest set
(753) WEBER STATE at (754) IDAHO STATE
* The last five games of the Weber State-Idaho State series at ISU went Over the total
(755) ALABAMA at (756) TENNESSEE
* Underdogs are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the ALA-TEN rivalry
(757) TCU at (758) KANSAS STATE
* Road teams are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 of the TCU-KSU set
(759) WRIGHT STATE at (760) NORTHERN KENTUCKY
* The last 10 games of the Wright State-Northern Kentucky series went Over the total
(763) STONY BROOK at (764) HOFSTRA
* STONY BROOK is on an 8-2 ATS run vs. Hofstra
(771) NEBRASKA-OMAHA at (772) ST THOMAS-MN
* OVER the total is 8-1-1 in L10 of UNO-STM h2h set
(781) DUQUESNE at (782) SAINT LOUIS
* DUQUESNE is on a 9-2 ATS run vs. Saint Louis
(785) ARKANSAS at (786) FLORIDA
* Favorites are on a 12-1 ATS surge in the Arkansas-Florida series
(791) TARLETON STATE at (792) CALIFORNIA BAPTIST
* Home teams are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 of the TSU-CBU series
(805) GONZAGA at (806) ST MARY’S (CA)
* The last eight games in the Gonzaga-St. Mary’s rivalry went Under the total
(306545) ARMY at (306546) LAFAYETTE
* Favorites have won the last six ATS in the Army-Lafayette series
(306553) AUSTIN PEAY at (306554) BELLARMINE
* The last five games of the Austin Peay-Bellarmine series went Over the total
(306555) BOSTON U at (306556) AMERICAN
* BOSTON U is 8-1 ATS in the last nine vs. American, incl 5-0 ATS on the road
(306557) CHARLESTON SO at (306558) UNC-ASHEVILLE
* Under the total is 9-1 in the last 10 of the Charleston So-UNC-Asheville series
(306559) MD-BALT COUNTY at (306560) UMASS-LOWELL
* The last five games of the UMBC-UML rivalry series at Lowell went Over the total
(306561) FLA GULF COAST at (306562) STETSON
* Underdogs are on 11-3 ATS run in the FGCU-Stetson set
(306575) GARDNER WEBB at (306576) SC-UPSTATE
* GARDNER WEBB has won the last five ATS vs. USC-Upstate
(306581) NEW JERSEY TECH at (306582) BRYANT
* Favorites have won the last five ATS in the NJIT-Bryant series
(306583) COLGATE at (306584) NAVY
* Over the total is on 8-1 run in Colgate-Navy series
(306589) LIPSCOMB at (306590) E KENTUCKY
* Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the LIP-EKU series
(306595) SOUTH CAROLINA STATE at (306596) MD-EAST SHORE
* Under the total is 11-1 in the last 12 of the SCSU-UMES series
(306603) LAMAR at (306604) INCARNATE WORD
* The last nine games of the Lamar-Incarnate Word series went Under the total
(306605) ALABAMA STATE at (306606) ALABAMA A&M
* Under the total is 14-1 in the last 15 of the ASU-Alabama A&M series
(306607) JACKSON STATE at (306608) TEXAS SOUTHERN
* Favorites have won the last six ATS in the JSU-TSU series
(306609) ALCORN STATE at (306610) PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
* ALCORN STATE is on 9-2-1 ATS run vs. PVSU
(306613) MCNEESE STATE at (306614) NEW ORLEANS
* Home teams are on a 7-1 ATS run in McNeese State-New Orleans set
(306617) MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE at (306618) ARK-PINE BLUFF
* Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the MVSU-UAPB rivalry
DK Betting Splits Systems for the Saturday, 2/28 Games
About a month ago, I shared the updated betting splits data and systems that I have been tracking for college basketball, using the DraftKings data offered on VSiN.com. These are the systems and the qualifying games for the 15 contests offered early by DK as of 2:00 p.m. ET on Friday afternoon. Obviously, the full board should be available on Friday evening. The 15 contests with lines offered early were the biggest ones, or those expected to draw the most betting activity.
DK CBB Betting Splits system #1: DraftKings majority bettors have been generally more successful when opting for money line wagering on sides as opposed to point spreads this past season and a half. Here are the updated results on the handle metrics.
– 2024-mid 25-26 CBB season majority handle on point spreads: 4447-4749 ATS (48.4%), -776.9 units – ROI: -8.4%
Majority ATS handles shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET were: Duke, Seton Hall, Houston, Kentucky, Louisville, Iowa State, USC, Kansas, BYU, Tennessee, St. John’s, Duquesne, Arkansas, Virginia Tech, Gonzaga
DK CBB Betting Splits system #2: DraftKings majority bettors were terrible in the early part of the 2024-25 & 2025-26 college basketball season (November through January) but much better in the latter part (February through April) in all metrics. Here are the numbers for handle. Note that the number of bets results were very similar. The ROI category is the one to really consider most.
– February and later majority handle on money lines: 1473-686 (68.2%), +40.47 units – ROI: +1.9%
Majority ML handles shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET were: FLORIDA was the only Money Line split available. Please stay current with the DK Betting Splits page on VSiN.com for updates
– February and later majority handle on totals: 1,113-1,023 (52.1%), -12.3 units – ROI: -0.6%
Majority totals handles shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET were: ALL OVERS except for these three UNDERS: COLORADO-HOUSTON, DUQUESNE-SAINT LOUIS, ST. MARY’S-GONZAGA
DK CBB Betting Splits system #5: In a somewhat rare situation, when there has been a majority number of bets backing a double-digit road underdog in the last 1-1/2 seasons, that group has produced a profit in a 119-97 ATS (55.1%) performance, good for +12.3 units and a ROI of 5.7%. This lot of 216 games was only around 2% of the total sample size.
60%+ majority ATS handles shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET on double-digit road underdogs were: SETON HALL and DUQUESNE
DK CBB Betting Splits system #6: The number 60% or higher has been a key super-majority number for home teams over the last season and a half in college basketball, with number of bets groups of that magnitude struggling to a 1839-2034 ATS record, good for just 47.5%. This has produced a loss of -398.4 units and an ROI of -10.3%, well below the overall majority figures.
60%+ majority home ATS bets shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET were: play AGAINST DUKE, CONNECTICUT, HOUSTON, IOWA STATE, ST. JOHN’S, NORTH CAROLINA
DK CBB Betting Splits system #7: The number 57% or higher has been a key super-majority number for true road teams last season and a half in college basketball, with the number of bets groups of that magnitude thriving with a 1,026-991 ATS record, good for just 50.9%. This produced a minimal loss of -64.1 units and an ROI of -3.1%, still losing data but well above the overall majority figures.
60%+ majority road ATS bets shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET were: play ON LOUISVILLE, NEBRASKA, KANSAS, BYU, ALABAMA, ARKANSAS, GONZAGA
DK CBB Betting Splits system #10: In college basketball games over the last season and a half with “low” totals, or those less than 130, majority handle bettors have gone a respectable 153-139 (52.4%), while majority number of bets groups were a bit better at 159-135 (54.1%). Both groups were proven incredibly profitable regardless of which side of the total they chose.
Majority totals handles & bets shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET were: Play OVER 127.5 in SETON HALL-CONNECTICUT game
DK CBB Betting Splits system #11: When a super majority (>=54%) of number of bets groups were backing the Under in a CBB game over the last 1-1/2 seasons, that group has gone just 1127-1189 (48.7%), for a loss of -180.9 units and ROI of -7.8%. This result is well below the common majority records. Be aware of when too many bettors are expecting Unders in games, as they have lost big.
54% majority totals bets UNDER shown for the 2/28 games on the DK betting splits as of 2:00 p.m. ET were: Play OVER in COLORADO-HOUSTON, DUQUESNE-SAINT LOUIS, and GONZAGA-ST. MARY’S
Good luck with your weekend college basketball wagering! We are quickly approaching March. Look for my first conference tournament wagering trends piece on Monday morning!
The post Steve Makinen’s College Basketball Betting Trends and Best Bets for Saturday, February 28 appeared first on VSiN.
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