Today we have a loaded midweek slate of College Basketball on tap with 38 Conference Tournament games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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6 p.m. ET: Delaware State vs Morgan State (-3.5, 142.5)

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This is the MEAC Tournament quarterfinal.

Delaware State (7-22) is the 7-seed and just snapped a seven-game losing skid with a 57-56 win over Maryland Eastern Shore in their regular season finale, winning outright as 6-point road dogs. On the other hand, Morgan State (14-15) is the 2-seed, has won four of their last five and just took down Coppin State 70-66 in their regular season finale but failed to cover as 6.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Morgan State listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite.

Sharps have gotten down hard on the chalk, steaming Morgan State up from -2.5 to -3.5.

At DraftKings, Morgan State is receiving 91% of spread bets and a whopping 98% of spread dollars, a massive one-way bet “low bets, higher dollars” split in favor of the Bears.

This line movement and bet split is especially significant considering this is a tiny added/extra game with a 6-digit rotation number (306509-306510). In other words, it’s one of the the least popular games of the day with the smallest amount of public interest. However, based on the market reaction, we can infer that sharps have targeted this matchup and sided with Morgan State.

Ken Pom has Morgan State winning by four points (73-69).

With this in mind, many pros have looked to protect themselves by targeting the Bears on the moneyline at -165.

At DraftKings, Morgan State is taking in 89% of moneyline bets and 90% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, Morgan State is receiving 75% of moneyline bets and over 90% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy sharp action banking on a straight up Bears victory.

Morgan State has the better offensive efficiency (324th vs 365th), offensive rebound percentage (175th vs 292nd), three-point shooting (260th vs 357th) and free-throw shooting (116th vs 292nd).

8:30 p.m. ET: Tarleton State (-2.5, 135.5) vs Abilene Christian

This is the first round of the WAC Tournament.

Tarleton State (14-17) is the 7-seed and has dropped four straight, falling to UT Arlington 65-60 in their regular season finale and losing outright as 1.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Abilene Christian (13-18) is the 6-seed, has also lost four in a row and just fell to UT Arlington 65-57 in their regular season finale, losing outright as 1-point home favorites.

This line opened with Tarleton State listed as a 1.5-point neutral site favorite.

Sharps have jumped on Tarleton State laying short chalk, driving the Texans up from -1.5 to -2.5.

At DraftKings, Tarleton State is receiving 58% of spread bets and a hefty 89% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split indicating slight public support but also heavy sharp action in their favor.

Ken Pom has Tarleton State winning by two points (71-69). He also has the Texans ranked higher (217th vs 246th).

As a result, many bettors have elected to mitigate some risk by playing Tarleton State on the moneyline at -135.

At DraftKings, Tarleton State is taking 44% of moneyline bets and 64% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of big sharp money banking on a straight up victory for the Texans.

Tarleton State has the better offensive efficiency (267th vs 318th), effective field goal percentage (305th vs 335th), three-point shooting (266th vs 318th), free-throw shooting (112th vs 260th) and hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (282nd vs 354th).

Tarleton State also enjoys a two-day rest advantage, having last played on March 5th while Abilene Christian last played on March 7th.

11:30 p.m. ET: Idaho (-2.5, 145.5) vs Montana

This is the Big Sky Tournament championship game.

Idaho (20-14) is the 7-seed and just took down Eastern Washington 81-68 in yesterday’s semifinal, covering as 2.5-point neutral site favorites. On the other hand, Montana (18-15) is the 4-seed and just upset Portland State 75-72 in yesterday’s semifinal, winning outright as 3.5-point neutral site dogs.

This line opened with Idaho listed as a 1.5-point neutral site favorite.

The public sees two good teams facing off and can’t decide whether to take the points or lay them.

However, despite this roughly 50/50 ticket split at DraftKings, we’ve seen Idaho creep up from -1.5 to -2.5.

Normally, in a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the bets are even because, theoretically, the oddsmakers have balanced action and no need to adjust the spread one way or the other. So, based on the line movement we can infer that the bigger, sharper wagers have sided with the Vandals.

At DraftKings, Idaho is taking in 48% of spread bets and 69% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet discrepancy indicating an undecided public but also heavy sharp action in their favor.

Ken Pom has Idaho winning by one point (75-74). He also has the Vandals ranked higher (152nd vs 181st).

With this in mind, bettors may prefer to gain some added cushion by playing Idaho on the moneyline at -145.

Idaho has the better offensive efficiency (176th vs 208th), offensive rebound percentage (244th vs 361st), defensive efficiency (141st vs 157th), allow fewer offensive rebounds to their opponents (6th vs 137th) and commit fewer turnovers on offense (72nd vs 338th).

Idaho enjoys a slight rest advantage, as the Vandals are playing their second game in three days while the Grizzlies are playing a back-to-back-to-back third game in three days.

The Vandals will also enjoy a friendly crowd, as this game is being played in their backyard at the Idaho Central Arena in Boise.

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