College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Saturday, March 28.
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6:09 PM Eastern
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
These teams are stylistic opposites. Iowa ranks 14th in turnovers per possession forced on defense, while Illinois ranks 365th in that category. However, Illinois dominates the offensive glass, rebounding 38.8% of its missed shots (3rd nationally), while Iowa ranks 175th in offensive rebound percentage. Illinois also minimizes its size advantage somewhat by taking 50.3% of its shots from 3-point range—the 15th-highest rate in the nation—which plays into an Iowa defense that ranks 280th in opponent 2-point shooting percentage and 166th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 33.7%.
Pick: Iowa +7 and Over 137.5
Greg’s Handicap: Iowa +5 and Total 139
8:49 PM Eastern
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats
Purdue leads the country in points per possession on offense in games played away from home, while Arizona ranks 6th. Arizona holds a notable defensive edge, ranking 6th overall in points per possession allowed, though that drops to 24th in games played away from home. Purdue ranks 171st in points per possession allowed overall but improves away from home, allowing 2.1 fewer points per 100 possessions and ranking 74th in those games. On the glass, Arizona ranks 48th in defensive rebound percentage away from home, while Purdue is 37th. If the game comes down to free throws, Purdue also holds an edge, shooting 75.1% away from home compared to Arizona’s 71.9%.
Pick: Purdue +6.5 and Under 153.5
Greg’s Handicap: Purdue +2 and Total 150
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