College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Wednesday, April 1.
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7:00 PM Eastern
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. New Mexico Lobos
Tulsa has been highly efficient offensively, ranking 13th in the nation in points per possession and 5th in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.9%. However, they now face a New Mexico defense that excels at defending the perimeter, ranking 7th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage away from home at 29.3%, while also ranking 45th in turnovers forced per possession. Both teams play at a similar tempo, with New Mexico ranking 107th in possessions per game and Tulsa 116th.
Pick: New Mexico -3.5 and Under 161
Greg’s Handicap: New Mexico -5 and Total 157
8:00 PM Eastern
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Embed from Getty ImagesUnlike many teams from last season’s Crown Tournament, Oklahoma is expected to have top scorers Nijel Pack and Xzayvier Brown available, which supports an offense that ranked 18th in points per possession. However, the Sooners have major defensive issues, ranking 264th in points per possession allowed. Colorado has its own defensive struggles, ranking 281st in that category and 346th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage away from home at 38.5%. The Buffaloes should find success inside, though, as Oklahoma ranks 282nd in defensive rebound percentage, allowing 30.6% of opponents’ missed shots to become offensive rebounds. The pace may also be moderate, with Oklahoma ranking 176th in possessions per game.
Pick: Colorado +9.5 and Under 166
Greg’s Handicap: Colorado +7.5 and Total 163.5
9:30 PM Eastern
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigers
Illinois State benefits from minimal travel among the final four NIT teams, with this game being played in Indiana, and plays a slow, defensive style, ranking 261st in possessions per game and 39th in points per possession allowed. Auburn’s defense has struggled, ranking 294th in points per possession allowed, and relies on offensive rebounding and free throws offensively—ranking 20th in offensive rebound percentage (34.6%) and 6th in free throws attempted per possession. Illinois State is well-equipped to counter that, ranking 11th in defensive rebound percentage (allowing just 23.2% of missed shots to become offensive rebounds) and 120th in free throws allowed per possession.
Pick: Illinois State +6.5 and Over 149
Greg’s Handicap: Illinois State +5.5 and Total 153.5
10:30 PM Eastern
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
Baylor slowed its pace during Big 12 play, finishing the season 129th in possessions per game, while Minnesota has played at a very slow tempo all season, ranking 361st. Minnesota will look to limit Baylor’s biggest strength—second-chance opportunities—as Baylor ranks 17th in offensive rebound percentage at 35.6%. Minnesota has been solid in that area, allowing 26.2% of opponents’ missed shots to become offensive rebounds (82nd nationally). While Minnesota is likely to rely on a short rotation of seven players or fewer, Baylor enters this game struggling, having lost seven of its last nine.
Pick: Minnesota +4 and Under 148.5
Greg’s Handicap: Minnesota +3.5 and Total 147.5
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