Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 6:40 PM ET

Washington Nationals Team Total Over 3.5 Runs (-140 per DraftKings)

Game 3 of 4 between the Nationals and the Pirates will begin this Wednesday evening. Each team has managed to win 1 game apiece in this series, and the Nationals have scored 5 runs in each game thus far. Over Washington’s last 5 games they’ve scored more than 3.5 in 4 of 5, as well as in 8 of their last 10 games. The Nationals lineup will be going up against a pitcher in Mason Montgomery to start the game, indicating the Pirates are rolling out a bullpen game today, as Montgomery is not traditionally a starter. This southpaw is not a guy the Nationals have a ton of at-bats against, but he comes into this one having pitched 7.1 innings and has a 6.14 ERA. As a whole, the Pirates relievers have a cumulative 3.91 ERA but considering they will have to rely on multiple arms in this one, I see the Nationals being able to put up a decent number of runs.

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies 6:40 PM ET

Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-103 per DraftKings)

Phillies lefty Jesus Luzardo is coming off one of his best seasons last year, where he posted a 3.92 ERA, and had a 10.58 K/9. This season hasn’t been quite as strong in the ERA department, as he currently holds a 6.23 ERA, but his K/9 is currently up at 13.50. Through 3 games, he should be in the rhythm of the season, and I expect his strikeout numbers to stay up. Luzardo pitched against this Cubs team twice last season, where he posted 5 Ks in the first meeting, and 10 Ks in the second meeting. Chicago’s lineup is in the top half of the league in terms of strikeouts with 152, which comes out to 8.9 per game. If Luzardo is able to get through 5–6 solid innings of pitching, he should have no issue surpassing the 6.5 strikeout mark this evening.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves 7:15 PM ET

Miami Marlins Over 3.5 Runs (-130 per DraftKings)

Through the first 2 games in the Marlins-Braves series, each team has won 1, and Miami has scored 10 runs and 5 runs respectively. Miami will be facing a familiar arm tonight in Bryce Elder, who many in the Marlins lineup have had great success against. Elder does come into this matchup with an impressive 1.02 ERA, but that isn’t something he will be able to keep up, considering his career ERA is 4.44. Through Elder’s career against the Marlins, he is 2-4 with a 3.88 ERA in 10 games. Looking at Miami’s last 5 games, they’ve scored over 3.5 runs twice, with the 3 unders coming in the Tigers series, where they played poorly. Looking out a little bit further, they’ve managed to score over 3.5 runs in 5 of their last 10. Even though Elder could present a tough matchup for this Marlins lineup, I think with the familiarity they have with him, and this Braves team as a whole, they will manage to score over that 3.5 run mark.

Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Singles (-105 per DraftKings)

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Ozzie Albies is a singles machine, as he has 15 through 18 games this season. Albies also has a solid track record against Chris Paddack, who will be Miami’s starting pitcher this evening, as he has a .333 batting average in 9 at-bats. His OPS is just .666 against Paddack, indicating he isn’t getting extra-base hits against him. Over his last 5 games, we’ve seen Albies hit 5 singles, 3 of which came in one game against the Guardians, and he has yet to hit a single in the Marlins series. With the combination of Albies’ great contact qualities and having familiarity with division rival Miami, I think there’s solid value at -105 for him to secure a single at some point throughout the game this evening.

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 10:10 PM ET

1st Inning Under 0.5 Runs (-135 per DraftKings)

We’ve got quite the pitcher’s duel tonight in the Mets-Dodgers game, as Clay Holmes faces off against Shohei Ohtani. Holmes enters with an impressive 1.50 ERA through 18 innings pitched and has only given up 1 run in the 1st inning, which came in his first start of the season against the St. Louis Cardinals. Ohtani, on the other end, while he hasn’t pitched quite as much as Holmes, has pitched 12 innings, and currently holds a 0.00 ERA, with the only run coming across on his watch being unearned. In the first inning, Ohtani also has yet to let up a run. Given the Mets struggles at the plate, and Holmes being as strong as he’s been, I think a no-runs first inning is a good play this evening.