St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins 6:40 PM ET

Marlins Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (+105 per DraftKings)

Miami is coming off 3 lost series in a row, and will now host a series against the St. Louis Cardinals. Miami’s losses haven’t necessarily been at the offense’s expense, as they’ve been able to produce runs, especially at home. In the Marlins’ last 10 games at home, they’ve managed to score more than 4.5 runs in 7, and in their most recent series against the Brewers, they scored 4.5+ in 2 of the 3 games. The Cardinals are also coming off an away series where they allowed 4.5+ runs in 2 of 3 games.

St. Louis will have Michael McGreevy on the mound, who the Marlins have gotten to before in a previous series, as 6 guys in the lineup recorded at least 1 hit, and they managed to score 4 runs against him in 6 innings. McGreevy also isn’t a big strikeout guy, as he has only recorded 12 Ks in 21.2 innings of work, allowing opportunities for the Marlins to put the ball in play, and produce more scoring opportunities.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals 6:45 PM ET

Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110 per DraftKings)

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Braves are coming off a series against their division rival Philadelphia, and are still on the road against another division rival in the Washington Nationals. Acuna had a decent series against the Phillies, as he recorded a hit in each of the 3 games, but didn’t have a huge impact in the total bases column. Looking at his last 10 games, however, he has managed 5 games with north of 1.5 total bases.

On the mound for the Nationals is Jake Irvin, who Acuna has seen some success against, batting .600 in 5 at-bats, along with a 1.600 OPS. April has already been a much better month for Acuna, as he has a .269 batting average, as opposed to his March average of .167, so it seems like he is doing all the right things. I look for him to continue his positive trajectory tonight, and with his success in the past against Irvin, I expect he will rack up a decent amount of total bases.

Bryce Elder Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-169 per DraftKings)

2026 has treated Bryce Elder very well thus far, as he currently holds a 0.77 ERA, with a 1.03 WHIP in 23.1 innings pitched. He has also been strong in the strikeout department with 23, though it may not be quite as easy this evening. This Nationals team is one of the least struck-out teams in the MLB at the moment, as they have 177 strikeouts at the plate this season, which is the 8th fewest in the MLB. Last year when Elder pitched against Washington in May, he only managed to record 3 Ks, which I expect to be the same story this evening.  

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs 7:40 PM ET

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Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hits (-154 per DraftKings)

The Mets aren’t the only team on a big losing streak in the NL East at the moment, as the Philadelphia Phillies have coughed up 5 straight. Brandon Marsh hasn’t been exactly great in those recent games in which he has played, as he has failed to record a hit in his last 3 games. So why take him to get a hit tonight, you ask? Well, he has really strong value in this category at -154, and he is facing a guy in Colin Rea, who he has gotten the better of in the past with a .667 batting average in 9 at-bats. You rarely see across Marsh’s career where he has gone for these long stretches of no hits, so with the combination of his contact abilities and his success against Rea in the past, I expect him to get on the board in the hit column this evening.