Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves 12:15 PM ET

Atlanta Braves Over 4.5 Runs (+100 per DraftKings)

Last night the Braves covered their run total by the skin of their teeth, as Matt Olson hit a walk-off home run in the bottom of the 9th to get the Braves the victory over the Tigers. Over the past week, the Braves have averaged 5.71 runs per game, and they will be facing a southpaw that they are very familiar with today in Framber Valdez.

Valdez has been pretty solid for the Tigers this year, as he has a 3.41 ERA, with a 1.31 WHIP, and 24 strikeouts through 34.1 innings pitched. The Braves order tends to do well against Valdez, as last season when he was still on the Astros, he allowed 6 hits, and 5 earned runs in 4.0 innings of work.

Atlanta has also been really impressive top to bottom, as you have 3 of the top 4 guys in the lineup batting over .300, and at the bottom of the lineup you have 3 guys that are batting over .270 at this point in the season. The Braves’ stadium is oriented facing southeast, which happens to be the same way the wind is blowing this afternoon. Expect a lot of runs this afternoon in the Battery.

San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies 12:35 PM ET (Game 1)

Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases (+122 per DraftKings)

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I’m still riding with the same prop as yesterday for this game, as the game was postponed, and the Giants will still have Logan Webb on the mound for Game 1 this afternoon. This makes things better for Schwarber, who already has a good track record against Webb, as he is batting .231 in day games, with a .590 slugging percentage.

The one thing that is a little concerning is the wind will be blowing slightly southeast, and the Phillies’ ballpark is oriented almost due north. That said, Citizens Bank Park is still on the hitter-friendly side, as it ranks 11th in the MLB this year, favoring hitters over pitchers.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets 1:10 PM ET

James Wood Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBI’s (-139 per DraftKings)

James Wood is seeing the ball well in the month of April, as he is batting .268 with a .598 slugging percentage this month. He is also coming off a really strong performance yesterday, where he went 2 for 5, but he surprisingly is worse in those early afternoon games, as he’s batting .180 with a .749 OPS in day games this year.

That same sentiment holds up looking at last season, where he had a .201 batting average with a .662 OPS in day games, versus a .302 batting average and a .960 OPS in games played at night. Wood has faced Mets pitcher Freddy Peralta once back in 2024, where he went 1 for 3, with a single, and 2 strikeouts.

Mets Over 4.5 Runs (+100 per DraftKings)

The Mets shockingly got steamrolled last night against the Nats, losing in embarrassing 14-2 fashion. This afternoon they will be facing the sporadic Miles Mikolas, who has shown flashes of good stuff, but has a lot of games where he loses control and allows a lot of runs.

He currently holds an 8.49 ERA with a 1.84 WHIP, which frankly is blown a little out of proportion, as he allowed 11 hits, and 11 runs at the beginning of the month against the Dodgers. Mikolas hasn’t gone very deep into games this month, as the most he has pitched is 4.1 innings, so the Nationals will need to rely on their bullpen for a decent portion of the game.

After the Mets’ poor performance last night, and having scored 8 runs earlier in this series, I think they will have a fire under them, which will lead to a lot of runs this afternoon.