Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for May 6. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.

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Wednesday Player Prop Best Bets

Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Wednesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. That’s also where you’ll find any late adds to my card. I go way lighter on these than I do NBA/NFL/CBB/CFB/Tennis. I also take a volume approach, as I’m working with a system I have found to be successful when it comes to shopping prices. My MLB units are 40% of what my normal units are.

Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110) vs. Mariners

Braves at Mariners – 4:10 pm ET

Very little handicapping is going into my Olson Overs at this point. I have taken this in three consecutive days, and I have gone to Olson nine times early in the 2026 season. He has been the best hitter in the National League to this point, and he is scorching hot lately. Olson has homered in four of his last five games, and the hits, runs, and RBIs (HRR) props haven’t even been fair. Olson has gone Over in 20 of the last 22 games, averaging 3.4 HRR per game in that span. Olson has also gone Over 1.5 HRR in his last 16 games against right-handed starters, averaging 3.8 HRR per game in those contests. Well, the Mariners will be sending Bryan Woo to the hill in this one, so that’s another right-handed starter. That said, I’m playing this again. Olson will eventually cool down, but he has done well enough for us. We’ll ride the hot hand and accept the outcome when the loss finally comes.

BONUS: Olson To Win NL MVP (12-1 – 0.5 units): It sure seems like Shohei Ohtani will win another one of these, but these odds don’t reflect what Olson has done so far — and what could be coming as summer conditions bring out the best in the league’s top hitters. Olson is batting .303 with 13 homers and 33 RBIs this season, plus his OPS is 1.077. The lefty slugger is pacing for 57 homers and 144 RBIs. For a half-unit, I’ll sprinkle the 12-1 at FanDuel.

JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+137) vs. Cubs

Reds at Cubs – 7:40 pm ET

Bleday has had at least three HRR in three of the last four games, so he’s seeing the ball rather well right now. Well, in a game that could end up being somewhat high in scoring, I’ll take my chances with Bleday to do some damage against Colin Rea. Bleday is actually 2 for 4 with a homer against Rea in his career, so he has enjoyed the matchup in a very short sample size. Realistically, a small sample is really all we have with Bleday here, but the +137 odds really stood out in this game. Bleday is a hitter that does his best work against righties, and Rea really isn’t the most intimidating matchup in the world.

Michael Lorenzen Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-102) vs. Mets

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Mets at Rockies – 9:20 pm ET

I was looking into some hitter props for this meeting with the Mets and Rockies, which has a total of 9.5 at Coors Field tonight. However, when looking into some of the numbers for this game, I ended up being drawn to Lorenzen to finish with at least four strikeouts. Lorenzen only had three strikeouts against the Mets on April 24, but he’s coming off a five-strikeout performance against the Reds. He has also had at least four strikeouts in three different starts this year. Well, with this being a mark he hasn’t exactly struggled to hit, I like him to right the ship in the K column against a Mets team that has a strikeout rate of 22.3% against righties since April 15.

Additional Best Bets

Ben Williamson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+110) vs. Blue Jays

Hyeseong Kim Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+125) vs. Astros

Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-153) vs. Giants

Walbert Urena Over 14.5 Outs Recorded (-149) vs. White Sox

Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110) vs. Tigers

Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+115) vs. Twins

Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-120) vs. Rangers

Paul Skenes Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-148) vs. Diamondbacks

Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges

Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.

Sonny Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120) vs. Tigers

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 6.06 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be -260 — a +26.8% edge to the Over.

Matt Waldron Over 3.5 Strikeouts (+118) vs. Giants

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.55 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be –200 — a +20.8% edge to the Over.

Zach Cole Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-136) vs. Dodgers

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.47 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -335 — a +19.4% edge to the Over.

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