Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds 6:40 PM ET

Washington Nationals Over 3.5 Runs Scored (-140 per DraftKings)

Yesterday, the Washington Nationals got back on track after dropping their weekend series against the Marlins. Washington exploded for 10 runs against the Cincinnati Reds in a game they controlled from start to finish.

The issue for the Nationals this season has not really been scoring runs — it has been preventing them. Washington has now scored over 3.5 runs in 3 of its last 5 games and continues to show flashes of a dangerous young lineup.

Tonight, the Nationals will face Nick Lodolo, who is still working his way into form this season as he makes just his second start. In his first outing, Lodolo went 5.1 innings while allowing 5 hits and 4 earned runs.

Several Nationals hitters have also had success against him in the past, with 4 players in the lineup batting over .250 against Lodolo. That group is highlighted by James Wood, who is batting .455 against him across 11 ABs.

With the current game total sitting at 9.5 runs and Washington continuing to generate offense consistently, this feels like another strong spot for the Nationals bats tonight.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox 6:45 PM ET

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Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110 per DraftKings)

The 2026 season has not gone according to plan for Trea Turner, and both he and the Philadelphia Phillies are expecting more production moving forward. Turner enters tonight batting just .234 with a .628 OPS, both well below his career norms.

We’ve also seen Turner go hitless in 4 of his last 5 games, so why back him to clear 1.5 total bases tonight? First, players with Turner’s talent level rarely stay in prolonged slumps. Second, this matchup sets up very well for him historically.

The Phillies will be facing Sonny Gray, whom Turner has hit very well throughout his career. In 26 career ABs against Gray, Turner owns a .385 batting average along with a .929 OPS.

This game will also be played at Fenway Park, one of the more hitter-friendly environments in baseball. Between the ballpark and Turner’s track record against Gray, this could be a great opportunity for him to break out offensively tonight.

Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets 7:10 PM ET

Juan Soto 1+ Walks (-103 per DraftKings)

This should be one of the more entertaining individual matchups on tonight’s slate, as Juan Soto squares off against veteran left-hander Framber Valdez.

Valdez has been one of the premier southpaws in baseball for several seasons, while Soto continues to have arguably the best eye at the plate in the league. Valdez relies heavily on his sinker, meaning he attacks the lower part of the strike zone consistently. Ironically, that is also an area where Soto tends to do a lot of damage offensively.

Because of that, pitchers like Valdez often try to avoid giving Soto anything too hittable and instead focus on painting the corners and working around him carefully.

In the 3 previous matchups between these two, Soto has drawn a walk in every game, giving him an OBP of .600 against Valdez. Given Soto’s elite plate discipline and Valdez’s tendency to nibble around dangerous hitters, backing Soto to draw another walk tonight feels like a strong value play.

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves 7:15 PM ET

JR Ritchie Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-158 per DraftKings)

After an impressive debut outing earlier this season, JR Ritchie has not gone quite as deep into games in his last two starts, logging outings of 5.1 innings and 5.0 innings after opening the year with a 7.0 inning performance. The Braves have not necessarily limited his workload either, as he is still averaging roughly 93 pitches thrown per game.

The strikeout numbers have also dipped recently, as Ritchie recorded 4 strikeouts in his second start and just 2 strikeouts in his third outing. Tonight’s matchup against the Chicago Cubs does not help matters either, as Chicago has done an excellent job limiting strikeouts this season. The Cubs currently rank 11th in MLB in fewest strikeouts with just 337 on the year.

Now that Ritchie has a few MLB starts under his belt, opposing teams also have more film available to study his tendencies and pitch sequencing. He still has tremendous upside long term, but this feels like a difficult spot for him to pile up strikeouts against a disciplined Cubs lineup.

Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins 7:40 PM ET

Max Meyer Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-161 per DraftKings)

Through 8 starts this season, Max Meyer has been one of the most reliable arms in the Miami Marlins rotation. Across 42.0 innings pitched, Meyer has already piled up 45 strikeouts while posting a 2.79 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP.

Remarkably, Meyer has recorded fewer than 5 strikeouts in only one start this season. Tonight’s matchup against the Minnesota Twins also sets up favorably from a strikeout perspective, as Minnesota currently ranks 9th in MLB in total strikeouts with 368 this season.

Another important factor working in Meyer’s favor is unfamiliarity. Nobody currently in the Twins lineup has faced him before at the MLB level, giving Meyer a potential advantage early in counts with his pitch mix.

The one area of concern is the environment at Target Field, which has played as one of the more hitter-friendly ballparks in baseball since 2024. Still, ballpark conditions generally have less impact on strikeout props, and Meyer’s swing-and-miss stuff has been consistent enough all season to feel confident backing him to reach 5 strikeouts tonight.