Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff: Miami Open odds, preview, and best bets

On Saturday, March 28, Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff clash in the Miami Open finals. This will be the first meeting between the two in 2026, and it’ll also be their first hard-court meeting since 2024. Well, distance makes the heart grow fonder, and tennis fans should be excited about seeing these two square off. It feels like we have seen nothing but Sabalenka vs. Elena Rybakina lately, which is exactly what went down in the semifinals — after a meeting in the Indian Wells finals. This will be a nice palate cleanser. Well, we’ll get into the tale of the tape below, so keep reading for our Sabalenka vs. Gauff pick.

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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook accurate as of Friday, March 27 at 4:00 pm ET. Shop around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Sabalenka -285, Gauff +225

Spread: Sabalenka -4.5 Games (-105), Gauff +4.5 Games (-140)

Total: Over 20.5 Games (-135), Under 20.5 Games (-110)

How To Watch Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff

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Where: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida

When: Saturday, March 28

Channel: Tennis Channel / Tennis Channel App

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff Prediction

Gauff just turned in one of the most shocking results of 2026. After a tournament filled with shaky performances, Gauff brought her A+ game to a meeting with Karolina Muchova in the semifinals. Sure, Gauff was 5-0 against Muchova heading into that match, but the Czech just played one of the best matches of the year in a 7-5, 7-6 (5) win over Victoria Mboko. So, thinking Muchova was going to turn the tides wasn’t crazy. Well, Gauff ended up earning a 6-1, 6-1 win, doing a better job on serve, blasting her forehand, and playing her usual brand of elite baseline defense. Now, there will be a lot of hope that Gauff is ready to post some big results the rest of the 2026 season — and I believe she will.

The issue is that Gauff still has some shaky moments, and this isn’t the opponent you want to have those against. Sabalenka has been too good throughout 2026. In fact, she’s 40-0 in sets against players not named Rybakina, and a straight-set win over the Kazakhstani in the semifinals only makes the year even scarier for the rest of the tour.

I just think that any poor service games from Gauff will quickly turn into breaks, as Sabalenka goes for her returns and breaks regularly. Also, while Gauff is an elite returner, Sabalenka’s serving was flawless against Rybakina last match. And overall, her hold percentage is a WTA-high 87.3%.

The only thing Gauff can really do to frustrate Sabalenka is put a lot of extra balls in play, giving the Belarusian some extra chances to rack up unforced errors. However, Sabalenka has gotten a lot stronger between the ears, and she doesn’t have as many on-court blow-ups as she used to. She should be able to keep her cool against Gauff — and that’s especially true against this version of the American.

Bet: Sabalenka -3.5 Games (-125 – 1.5 units)