College Basketball Picks Today:
Expert college basketball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top college basketball picks today for Wednesday, February 25.
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6:30 PM Eastern
Oakland Grizzlies vs. IU Indy Jaguars
Both teams play fast and have been lackluster on defense. IU Indy is 10th in total possessions per game and 354th in points per possession allowed. Oakland is 68th in possessions per game and 322nd in points per possession allowed. Oakland has been respectable at guarding the 3-point line, ranking 187th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 34%. IU Indy has generated tons of turnovers on defense, ranking 20th in turnovers per possession at home, but is just 253rd in points per possession on offense at home. They have done a good job of taking care of the ball, ranking 43rd in turnovers per possession.
Picks: Oakland -5.5 and Under 173.5 (Greg’s Handicap Oakland -9.5 and Total 167.5)
7:00 PM Eastern
North Texas Mean Green vs. Charlotte 49ers
North Texas road games have featured very limited scoring, as the team ranks 337th in points per possession away from home. They are last among the 365 Division I teams in 3-point shooting away from home at 23%. On defense, the team is 11th in points per possession allowed away from home and second in turnovers per possession generated away from home on defense. Both teams are playing at a slow tempo with Charlotte 331st in total possessions per game and North Texas is 265th.
Picks: Charlotte +1.5 and Under 137.5 (Greg’s Handicap Charlotte -2.5 and 126.5)
Wright State Raiders vs. Fort Wayne Mastodons
Fort Wayne has been winning the turnover battle in their games, but not much else as the team is 42nd in turnovers per possession and 47th in turnovers per possession generated on defense. They are at a massive disadvantage on the glass as they rank 363rd in rebound percentage. Wright State ranks 90th and is ninth in road 3-point shooting percentage at 39.3% and 44th overall in points per possession away from home. Fort Wayne is 190th in points per possession on offense and 353rd in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 37.8%.
Pick: Wright State -2.5 (Greg’s Handicap Wright State -6)
Navy Midshipmen vs. Loyola MD Greyhounds
Navy is shutting opponents down as they rank ninth in the country in points per possession allowed away from home. They do so while playing at a very slow pace, ranking 320th in possessions per game. Loyola MD ranks 223rd in points per possession on offense, while Navy has large home and away splits with their 3-point shooting, making 40.3% from 3-point range at home compared to 31.3% away from home.
Pick: Navy vs. Loyola MD Under 146.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 136.5)
Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raiders
Lafayette has struggled on both ends of the court, ranking 293rd in points per possession on offense and 289th in points per possession allowed on defense. Colgate is 140th in points per possession on offense and is 49th in 3-point shooting percentage at home at 38.2%. Lafayette is 296th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 36.1%. Colgate is doing the little things well as they are 52nd in turnover percentage possession on offense and 138th in free throw shooting percentage at 74%. Lafayette is 317th in free throw shooting percentage at 69%.
Pick: Colgate -8.5 (Greg’s Handicap Colgate -13.5)
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Boston U Terriers
Scoring chances will be at a premium with these teams being two of the slowest in the nation. Holy Cross is 338th in total possessions per game while Boston U is 329th. Boston U is 10th in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.2%. Holy Cross has done a solid job of guarding the 3-point arc with teams making 33.4% of their 3-point shots, which ranks 146th in the nation. Second chances to score on either side are unlikely as Holy Cross is rebounding 19.3% of their missed shots as an offensive rebound, which ranks 360th, while Boston U is 247th in offensive rebound percentage, but also 40th in defensive rebound percentage, with only 24.8% of opponents’ missed shots becoming an offensive rebound.
Pick: Holy Cross vs. Boston U Under 142.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 137)
Wofford Terriers vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
East Tennessee State has been strong on defense as they are 62nd in points per possession allowed. They cut down further on opponent scoring chance with ranking 56th in turnovers per possession generated and 34th in defensive rebound percentage. Wofford hasn’t given opponents too many second chances to score either, as they are 121st in defensive rebound percentage. Neither team is playing at a fast pace, with East Tennessee State ranking 275th in possessions per game while Wofford is 215th.
Pick: Wofford vs. East Tennessee Under 152.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 144.5)
7:30 PM Eastern
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Tulane Green Wave
Tulsa is one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country, ranking 12th in points per possession and 12th in 3-point shooting percentage at 39.4%. Tulane is 217th in points per possession on offense, which drops to 292nd at hole as the team shoots 35.9% from 3-point range away from home compared to 30% at home, ranking 332nd in home 3-point shooting percentage. Tulane is not giving themselves second chances to score as they are rebounding only 19.7% of their missed shots as an offensive rebound, which ranks 355th in the country.
Pick: Tulsa -4.5 (Greg’s Handicap Tulsa -8.5)
8:00 PM Eastern
Drake Bulldogs vs. Valparaiso Beacons
While Drake has struggled on defense, ranking 272nd in points per possession allowed, that does improve to 152nd away from home. Valparaiso has had issues making shots as they are 355th in 2-point shooting percentage at home and are 256th in points per possession. On offense, Drake is maximizing possessions by taking care of the ball, ranking 48th in turnovers per possession, but may not get many good outside looks as Valparaiso is 66th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage at 31.9%.
Pick: Drake vs. Valparaiso Under 148.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 141.5)
South Florida Bulls vs. Rice Owls
Embed from Getty ImagesWhile Rice has struggled on the inside with their offense, ranking 347th in 2-point shooting percentage, they have a nice edge along the perimeter as they make 34.9% of their 3-point shots, which ranks 131st in the nation. South Florida is allowing teams to make 35.2% of their 3-point shots, which ranks 253rd. On offense, South Florida is 226th in 3-point shooting at 33.2%. Both teams are doing a nice job of giving themselves second chances, as South Florida is 16th in offensive rebound percentage while Rice is 52nd in a game that should feature tons of scoring chances. South Florida leads the country in possessions per game.
Picks: Rice +11.5 and Over 156.5 (Greg’s Handicap Rice +6.5 and Total 160.5)
8:30 PM Eastern
UL Monroe Warhawks vs. South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama is daring teams to shoot from 3-point range with 67.9% of opponent field goal attempts coming from 3-point range at home. No other team forces more than 53.2% of field goal attempts to be 3-point shots in home games, and UL Monroe is shooting just 32.3% from 3-point range away from home. They are not getting second chances to score as they are 341st in percentage of missed shots that become an offensive rebound.
Picks: South Alabama -14.5 and Under 154.5 (Greg’s Handicap South Alabama -19 and Total 151)
9:00 PM Eastern
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears
California is doing the little things well as they rank 17th in the country in free throw shooting percentage at 77.8%. They are 55th in turnovers per possession and should get plenty of second chances to score. SMU is 192nd in defensive rebound percentage and are overall 142nd in points per possession allowed. California is 64th and is shooting 38% from 3-point range, which is 21st in the nation.
Pick: SMU +2.5 (Greg’s Handicap SMU -2.5)
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
Grand Canyon has been strong on defense, ranking 33rd in the nation in points per possession allowed. UNLV has had issues taking care of the ball, as they are 179th in turnovers per possession and are overall 112th in points per possession on offense. Grand Canyon ranks just 330th in 3-point shooting percentage at 30.3% and is 263rd in turnovers per possession on offense. They are looking to slow this game down as UNLV is 56th in possessions per game while Grand Canyon is 212th.
Picks: Grand Canyon -7.5 and Under 153.5 (Greg’s Handicap Grand Canyon -11.5 and Total 147.5)
11:00 PM Eastern
Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Both teams are strong on defense and at generating turnovers as Utah State ranks fourth in the country in turnovers per possession generated on defense in games played away from home and are 28th in points per possession allowed away from home. San Diego State is 10th overall in turnovers per possession generated on defense and is 28th in points per possession allowed in home or road games. On offense, San Diego State ranks just 161st in points per possession. Utah State is playing at a pretty moderate tempo, as they are 197th in total possessions per game.
Picks: Utah State vs. San Diego State Under 147.5 (Greg’s Handicapped Total 141.5)
Santa Clara Broncos vs. St. Mary’s Gaels
St. Mary’s is playing at a slow pace, ranking 302nd in possessions per game. They are capable of taking away Santa Clara’s strength, as Santa Clara is grabbing 35.2% of their missed shots as an offensive rebound, which is 19th in the country. St. Mary’s is third in the nation in defensive rebound percentage, with only 21.4% of their missed shots as an offensive rebound. They are 17th in points per possession allowed on defense. Santa Clara is 60th in points per possession allowed and are doing a great job of generating turnovers, ranking 16th in turnovers per possession.
Pick: Santa Clara vs. St. Mary’s Under 152.5(Greg’s Handicapped Total 145.5)
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