MLB Picks Today:
Expert baseball handicapper Greg Peterson shares his top MLB picks today for Sunday, June 22.
Check out Greg’s Daily MLB Lines and his Baseball Betting Show Podcast. Also, check out our MLB Betting Splits.
1:35 PM Eastern
Texas Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Pirates starting pitcher Bailey Falter has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his past nine starts. He has a 3.49 ERA this season and faces a Rangers lineup whose 3.6 runs per game is 26th in the league. The Pirates’ 3.2 runs per game on offense are last in MLB. Rangers starting pitcher Jack Leiter looks to keep them at bay, providing a 4.40 ERA overall this season. He is backed up by a Rangers bullpen whose 3.30 ERA ranks fourth in the league.
MLB Pick: Texas Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Under 9 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total 7.8)
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
White Sox starting pitcher Adrian Houser has dazzled in his first five starts with a 2.15 ERA and just two home runs allowed in 29 1/3 innings. Blue Jays starting pitcher Chris Bassitt has a 3.75 ERA with one home run and 2.1 walks per nine innings allowed. Since May 1, the Blue Jays’ bullpen ERA is sixth in the league at 3.41
MLB pick: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Under 9 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total 8.4)
2:10 PM Eastern
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins
Brewers starting pitcher Quinn Priester enters in good form, posting a 3.49 ERA with two runs or fewer allowed in each of his past five starts. Twins starting pitcher Davis Festa owns a 4.76 ERA, but is getting 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with his main issue being that he has allowed 1.4 home runs per nine innings. That should be aided by the Brewers ranking 25th in the league in home runs per at-bat.
MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Under 10 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total 9.2)
2:15 PM Eastern
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Reds starting pitcher Andrew Abbott has allowed zero or one earned runs in 10 of his 12 starts this season with a 1.84 ERA overall. Cardinals starting pitcher Miles Mikolas has a 4.35 ERA with only 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings, but is doing a good job of not beating himself with only 0.7 home runs and 2.2 walks per nine innings.
MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Under 9 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total 8.3)
3:10 PM Eastern
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Rockies starting pitcher Antonio Senzatela owns a 6.72 ERA with 14.3 hits per nine innings allowed, but has allowed zero earned runs in two of his past three starts. Diamondbacks starting pitcher Brandon Pfaadt owns a 5.38 ERA with 1.8 home runs per nine innings. He faces a Rockies lineup whose 4.2 runs per game at home ranks 19th in the league.
MLB Picks: Diamondbacks Run Line -1.5 -137 and Under 12.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap, Diamondbacks -1.5 -158 and Total 12.2)
4:05 PM Eastern
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
Guardians starting pitcher Slade Cecconi owns a 4.15 ERA this season, but a 4.69 fielding independent with 1.8 home runs and 3.3 walks per nine innings. Athletics starting pitcher JP Sears has a 6.89 ERA with 3.6 home runs per nine innings allowed at home and an overall ERA of 5.45. He is supported by an Athletics bullpen whose 6.10 ERA is last in the league.
MLB Pick: Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics Over 9.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicapped Total 10.2)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Angels starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks owns a 4.74 ERA with 1.4 home runs per nine innings allowed. He is backed up by a bullpen whose 5.32 ERA ranks 27th in the league. Astros starting pitcher Ryan Gusto has a 4.31 ERA with 1.2 home runs and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. He has behind him an Astros bullpen whose 3.21 ERA ranks third in the league.
MLB Pick: Astros Moneyline -120 (Greg’s Handicap Astros -149)
4:10 PM Eastern
Kansas City Royals vs. San Diego Padres
Padres starting pitcher Randy Vasquez owns a 3.70 ERA despite allowing 1.4 home runs and 4.3 walks per nine innings. His ERA drops to 3.25 at home. Vasquez will face a Royals lineup that is last in the American League in scoring with 3.4 runs per game. Royals starting pitcher Seth Lugo owns a 3.05 ERA, but had a 4.53 fielding independent with 1.4 home runs per nine innings allowed.
MLB Picks: Padres Moneyline -105 and Under 8.5 Runs (Greg’s Handicap Padres -124 and Total 8.3)
7:00 PM Eastern
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Phillies starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo has struggled recently, allowing four runs or more in three of his past four starts. He has a 2.15 ERA and three runs or fewer allowed in each of his first 11 starts of the season and should return to form. Mets starting pitcher David Peterson has been a master at inducing soft contact, posting a 2.60 ERA with 0.4 home runs allowed per nine innings.
MLB Picks: Phillies Moneyline -110 and Under 9 Runs (Greg’s Handicap Phillies -132 and Total 8.3)
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