Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for March 27. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.

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Friday Player Prop Best Bets

Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Friday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.

Kyle Freeland Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-140) vs. Marlins

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Rockies at Marlins – 7:10 pm ET

Last year, Freeland had at least four strikeouts in 12 of his 18 starts outside of Coors Field. One of those outings was a four-strikeout performance in Miami, and I think we can expect to see another four from the southpaw here. The projected lineup for the Marlins features four players that had strikeout percentages of 25.9% or higher last year when facing left-handed pitchers. And for what it’s worth, Freeland had at least four strikeouts in his final four road starts last year. He also ended last season having struck out at least five batters in six of his final nine starts. Of course, that was a very long time ago at this point. But still, it shows you what Freeland is capable of as a swing-and-miss guy. Freeland also threw 63 pitches in his final Spring Training start, so I don’t think we’re looking at a very short leash here. He should be capable of throwing 80 or so on Friday.

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115) vs. Braves

Royals at Braves – 7:15 pm ET

Witt really struggled towards the end of Spring Training, going hitless in his final seven at-bats. However, the Kansas City superstar is always a threat to come up big against left-handed starters, and I’ll take my chances with him at plus-money odds here. Chris Sale has been one of the top pitchers in baseball in each of the last two years, so this isn’t the perfect matchup. However, Witt can make things happen against anyone, and Truist Park is a hitter-friendly ballpark. Witt is also highly productive against fastballs, breaking balls, and offspeed stuff, according to his Baseball Savant profile. He shouldn’t be too flabbergasted by what he’ll see from Sale.

Nolan Schanuel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+110) vs. Astros

Angels at Astros – 8:15 pm ET

Last season, Schanuel averaged 1.3 combined hits, runs, and RBIs per game against lefties. However, that number went up to 1.9 when he faced right-handed pitching. Schanuel also averaged 2.1 HRR in road games against righties, setting up nicely for this meeting with Michael Burrows in Houston. These just seem like the best possible circumstances to look to back Schanuel, and his Over is available at plus-money odds. Schanuel also does his best work at the plate against fastballs, while the four-seamer is Burrows’ go-to pitch. I also like that Schanuel homered on Thursday. He’s feeling good early in this new season.

Framber Valdez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+135) vs. Padres

Tigers at Padres – 9:40 pm ET

Last year, Valdez had only two strikeouts in an appearance against the Padres, but that’s not enough to turn me off an Over tonight. While there could be some jitters with Valdez starting his first game for the Tigers, the lefty did pitch 6.1 innings in his final Spring Training start. He should be capable of working somewhat deep in this game, and I think there’s a chance he racks up some strikeouts. The Padres were good at keeping their strikeout percentage down against lefties last year, and you don’t see a lot of high K% stuff when looking at the expected lineup. However, hitters 3-6 had high Chase %s against lefties last year, and Freddy Fermin also goes out of the zone quite a bit. That said, this could be a sneaky spot to expect good stuff from Valdez.

Additional Plays

I’m also going to tail the OptaAI projections below with a play on Cam Schlittler Over 4.5 Ks.

Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges

Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.

Luke Raley Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140) vs. Guardians

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.71 combined HRR, suggesting these odds should be -451 — a +23.5% edge to the Over.

Carlos Santana Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-139) vs. Dodgers

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.59 combined HRR, suggesting these odds should be -391 — a +21.5% edge to the Over.

Cam Schlittler Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-114) vs. Giants

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 6.18 strikeouts, suggesting these odds should be -282 — a +20.6% edge to the Over.

The post MLB Player Prop Picks Today: Top Prop Bets for Friday, March 27 appeared first on VSiN.