Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from points and rebounds to assists and combo lines — using matchup data, recent performance, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for the top NBA player prop picks for March 23. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.

MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!

Monday Player Prop Best Bets

Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Monday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.

Justin Edwards Over 10.5 Points (+100) vs. Thunder

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Thunder at 76ers – 7:00 pm ET

In the last six games that Edwards has played without Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, and Kelly Oubre Jr., the wing is averaging 17.2 points per game. Also, in the two home games in that span, the smooth-shooting southpaw is averaging 20.0 points per game. With that in mind, I trust that Edwards’ volume is going to be there on Monday. He’s just a confident player, which will be needed against an elite Oklahoma City defense. Speaking of that defense, I won’t argue against the Thunder being the best defensive team in the NBA. All of the numbers available to the public back that up, plus Jalen Williams returns tonight to amplify all of it. However, Oklahoma City is a team that occasionally struggles to defend spot-up/catch-and-shoot jumpers, and Edwards is a 36.9% 3-point shooter. So, as long as Philadelphia plays Edwards close to 30 minutes tonight, I see him scoring at least 11 — and probably closer to 15.

Victor Wembanyama Over 2.5 Blocks (-140) vs. Heat

Spurs at Heat – 7:00 pm ET

This is now going to be even more juiced if you want to take Over 2.5, making 3.5 the better-priced option. However, I’d just look to grab an alternate of 3+ parlayed with a moneyline side you’re extremely confident in. Parlaying Wembanyama to have at least three blocks with Hawks moneyline gets you down to -141, and that’s just at one prominent shop. You might be able to do better if you look around.

Why do I like Wembanyama to have three blocks? Well, let’s start with the fact that he had five the last time he faced Miami. That was back on October 30, but I don’t see any reason he can’t do that again. Bam Adebayo, who Wembanyama will be covering a lot tonight, has a usage rate of over 30% over the last 10 games. That means Wembanyama should spend a lot of time around the basketball this evening.

Wembanyama is also averaging 3.9 blocks per game over the last 16 games, and he has gone Over 2.5 blocks in 12 of those 16. On top of that, in the last 13 games that the Spurs have played with spreads of +7.5 to -7.5, Wembanyama is averaging 4.0 blocks per game and has gone Over in 10 of them. He steps up in the games that are expected to be somewhat tight.

Gary Payton II Over 10.5 Points (-110) vs. Mavericks

Warriors at Mavericks – 9:30 pm ET

I wanted to go Over on Payton the other night, but he ended up being ruled out for the game. Well, Payton is healthy this evening, so I’m taking another shot on him continuing his recent scoring surge. Payton has scored at least 12 points in seven consecutive games, and he’s averaging 12.6 points per game over the last 17 contests. Now, Payton will be going to work against a Mavericks team that is near the bottom of the league when it comes to defending at the rim — and defending inside 10 feet. That means Payton should thrive as a cutter, roller, and driver. Then, if he can add an open 3 or two, this becomes a game in which he really impacts things as a scorer. Of course, it’s a little risky backing players with low usage rates — and inconsistent minutes — but Payton tends to find ways to contribute.

Darius Garland Over 20.5 Points (-115) vs. Bucks

Bucks at Clippers – 10:30 pm ET

Garland has played only one game without Kawhi Leonard this year, scoring 25 points in that one. He’s also averaging 24.0 points per game in the six games he has played with Leonard, going Over tonight’s point total in five of those contests. That said, I’m not sure it matters whether or not Leonard plays tonight. Garland should have plenty of opportunities to make plays. The matchup tonight also happens to be excellent. While a blowout is on the table — meaning Garland might not see big fourth-quarter minutes — this is a Bucks team that is the second-worst group in the NBA defending above-the-break 3s. Garland feasts from that area of the floor. Also, Garland should have plenty of success going to the basket here.

Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges

Check out the OptaAI Player Props pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.

Rob Dillingham Under 8.5 Points (-115) vs. Rockets

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 3.67 points.

John Collins Under 6.5 Rebounds (+113) vs. Bucks

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 5.12 rebounds.

Walter Clayton Jr. Over 4.5 Assists (-148) vs. Hawks

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him projected for 6.00 assists.

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The post NBA Player Prop Picks Today: Top Prop Bets for Monday, March 23 appeared first on VSiN.