I only have a few plays for the light NBA slate on Monday, March 2. So, while I normally break things down with two separate articles, I’m bringing everything under one roof instead of splitting up sides/totals and player props — a streamlined look at my favorite bets for the day’s slate. Keep reading for my NBA picks and predictions for Monday.

RELATED: Check out the Pro Picks page for more selections from our talented VSiN hosts and analysts!

NBA Best Bets Today

Clippers ML (-115 – 2 units) vs. Warriors

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Clippers at Warriors – 10:00 pm ET

This is the second leg of a back-to-back for Los Angeles, so there’s a chance Kawhi Leonard doesn’t play tonight. However, he did play only 29 minutes in last night’s blowout win over New Orleans, and he didn’t exactly have to play very hard defensively in that one. With that in mind, I’m hoping we see the superstar out there, as I put a big play on the Clippers to get the job done.

Since the trade deadline, Los Angeles is 5-4 with a net rating of +2.6, while Golden State is 4-5 with a net rating of -2.8. The Warriors continue to play without Steph Curry — in addition to Kristaps Porzingis and Jimmy Butler — and they look miserable offensively. This season, with Curry on the floor, Golden State is scoring 119.4 points per 100 possessions (82nd percentile in NBA). With Curry off the floor, the Warriors are scoring just 112.5 points per 100 possessions (30th percentile in NBA). I simply don’t trust Golden State to generate efficient offense against Los Angeles — especially with the amount of defensive specialists in Ty Lue’s rotation.

The Clippers will also be getting Darius Garland back tonight, and his debut should add some much-needed firepower and juice against a good Warriors defense.

Los Angeles is also 7-4 straight-up as a road favorite this year, while Golden State is just 2-4 SU as a home underdog.

NBA Player Props Today

Reed Sheppard Over 5.5 First Quarter Points (+125) vs. Wizards

Rockets at Wizards – 7:00 pm ET

Sheppard has scored at least six points in the opening quarter in three of the last four contests, and I can see him getting hot early in Monday’s meeting with the Wizards. Washington is 27th in the NBA when defending catch-and-shoot jumpers, and Sheppard is absolutely lethal when he has time to set his feet. Sheppard is also scoring 51% of his points on above-the-break 3s this year, and the Wizards are 26th in the NBA defending that area of the floor. Washington also happens to be 28th defending inside 10 feet, where Sheppard is plenty capable of making his mark. I’ll also add that Sheppard is good in transition, where the Wizards also struggle.

Of course, taking Sheppard to go Over on points for the game is also an option. However, Houston is favored by 15.5 in this game. There’s a chance the Rockets bench their starters for most of the fourth quarter, so I’d rather take Sheppard to do well in the first. He has played at least nine minutes in the first quarter in two of the last three games.

Ryan Rollins Over 5.5 Assists (+132) vs. Celtics

Celtics at Bucks – 7:30 pm ET

Over the last 12 games, Rollins is averaging 5.7 assists, 11.7 potential assists, and 6.8 adjusted assists per game. Rollins continues to do good work as a playmaker, despite having to share the ball with Kevin Porter Jr. Rollins has actually had at least seven assists in two of the last three games, and he had seven dimes against this Celtics team on February 1. Well, with Giannis Antetokounmpo not yet set to return, I don’t see any reason Rollins can’t have another good game as a passer. Boston actually has been much better defensively since the start of 2026, but the team does have some weak spots — like guarding above-the-break 3s and keeping dynamic guards from making plays in pick-and-roll actions. Well, with this being a home game, I expect the Bucks to knock down some shots — as long as they can flush yesterday’s miserable loss to the Bulls. That could result in an Over for Rollins.

Additional Plays (Late Adds, Parlays, Teasers, Futures)

Nothing yet.

2025-26 NBA Record: 363-352 (-1.19 units)

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