Game: Clemson Tigers vs. Stanford Cardinal

Date: February 4th at 10:00 PM ET

Where to Watch: ACC Network

Clemson continued its strong season with an impressive home win over Pitt on Saturday, pulling away late to leave little doubt about the outcome. Wednesday night presents a much different challenge, however, as the Tigers hit the road to face Stanford in a late-night matchup on the West Coast.

Clemson enters this contest at 18–4 overall with an outstanding 8–1 record in ACC play. With Stanford currently ranked 77th in the NET, this qualifies as a Quad 2 matchup for Clemson, a quadrant in which the Tigers are 6–1 this season. Offensively, Clemson is averaging 76.5 points per game (147th in Division I) while boasting one of the nation’s top defenses, allowing just 64.5 points per game (10th nationally).

Stanford, on the other hand, comes in riding a four-game losing streak, dropping its record to 14–8 overall and 3–6 in ACC play. With Clemson sitting 31st in the NET rankings, this also qualifies as a Quad 2 matchup for the Cardinal, a quadrant in which they are 2–2 this season. Stanford is averaging 75.9 points per game (156th in Division I) while allowing 73.5 points per game (148th).

While Stanford may not be Clemson’s most formidable opponent on paper, the combination of travel, time zone change, and late tip makes this a potentially tricky spot for the Tigers.

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Betting Overview

Clemson opened as a 4.5-point favorite, a number that has largely held across sportsbooks, though some have adjusted the line down to –3.5. On the moneyline, Clemson offers solid value at –175 (BetMGM), while Stanford can be found at +190 (Bet365). The total opened at 136.5 and has seen minimal movement, with most books listing it between 135.5 and 136.

KenPom Ratings

According to KenPom, Clemson ranks 32nd nationally with a +20.89 net rating, while Stanford sits at 80th with a +9.89 net rating. The Tigers carry an adjusted offensive efficiency of 117.3 (68th nationally) and an elite adjusted defensive efficiency of 96.4 (15th). Stanford owns an adjusted offensive efficiency rating of 114.6 (92nd nationally) along with an adjusted defensive efficiency rating of 104.7 (80th nationally).

Betting Trends

These teams have met just once, doing so last season in early conference play. That matchup took place at Clemson, where the Tigers came away with the win, covered the spread, and saw the over cash.

Clemson enters this game 12–8–1 ATS on the season. The Tigers are 6–5–1 in games with two to three days of rest, a perfect 5–0 on the road, and 6–2–1 in ACC play. Totals have leaned toward the under, which has hit in 13 of 21 games overall. On the road, the over has cashed in three of five games and has split evenly (2–2) when Clemson is listed as an away favorite. With two to three days of rest, the under has hit in seven of 12 contests, and in conference play, it has connected in six of nine.

Stanford comes in at 10–11–1 ATS this season. The Cardinal are 6–8 at home, 2–1 as a home underdog, 6–6–1 in games with two to three days of rest, and 3–5–1 in ACC action. Totals have also favored the under for Stanford, hitting in 13 of 21 games. At home, the under has cashed in eight of 14 games, including two of three when Stanford is a home underdog. In games with two to three days of rest, the under has hit in eight of 13, as well as six of nine conference games.

Final Thoughts

After a brief stumble against NC State a few games ago, Clemson appears to be back in rhythm. Expect that form to carry over despite the challenging trip west, as the Tigers’ defense has shown it can travel. Clemson looks well positioned to cover in this spot, and with both teams’ trends aligning, the under stands out as the preferred look on the total.