Dallas Cowboys

Coming off their second-worst record since 2020, the Dallas Cowboys have still managed to produce plenty of high-scoring games, giving them the best over record in the NFC East during this stretch. The Cowboys’ over record since 2020 stands at 47-41-0 (53.4%). Over this span, the most notable trends for overs have come in games when Dallas is a home favorite: 22-10-0 record (68.8%), games following a win: 31-19-0 record (62.0%), and division matchups: 18-12-0 record (60.0%). The areas where the under has been more common for the Cowboys include games with a rest disadvantage: 9-4-0 record (69.2%), games as an away favorite: 13-6-0 record (68.4%), and games after a loss: 19-14-0 record (57.6%). With some uncertainty in the front office and a new era under head coach Brian Schottenheimer, sportsbooks’ evaluation of the Cowboys will be fascinating to track.

New York Giants

With not only the worst over record in the NFC East, but in the entire NFL, the New York Giants hold an over record of 28-55-3 (33.7%). Unsurprisingly, given how low that mark is, there isn’t a single meaningful trend where the over has been consistent. The only category above 50% comes from a sample size of just one game, which happened to be their lone contest following a tie, and the over hit. The under, on the other hand, has been extremely reliable, with its strongest trends coming in games vs AFC opponents: 19-5-0 record (79.2%), games following a win: 21-6-0 record (77.8%), games as a home underdog: 25-8-2 record (75.8%), games with a rest disadvantage: 11-4-2 record (73.3%), and non-division games: 38-16-1 record (70.4%). Over/unders have clearly been difficult for sportsbooks to pin down with the Giants, and with yet another year of organizational changes, those same trends seem likely to continue.

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Philadelphia Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles’ over/under record since 2020 sits almost perfectly in the middle at 47-46-0, resulting in 50.5% overs and 49.5% unders. On the over side, Eagles games have most often gone that way in matchups vs AFC opponents: 16-10-0 record (61.5%), games as the home team: 26-20-0 record (56.5%), and games following a win: 32-25-0 record (56.1%). The under has been more common for Philadelphia in games after a loss: 19-11-0 record (63.3%), games with a rest advantage: 10-6-0 record (62.5%), and games on the road: 26-18-0 record (59.1%). With things staying relatively steady from the front office to the coaching staff and players, it will be interesting to see whether sportsbooks make adjustments this year or continue to value Philly the same way.

Washington Commanders

Since 2020, Washington’s over/under record has also landed near the middle, with slightly more games finishing under. Over this span, the Commanders have recorded 41 overs, 45 unders, and 2 pushes, resulting in 47.7% overs and 52.3% unders. While the overall lean has been toward the under, a few categories stand out where overs have been more consistent. The most reliable overs have come when Washington has been an away underdog: 20-13-0 record (60.6%), and in games with a rest disadvantage: 9-7-1 record (56.3%). The under has been stronger in games as an away favorite: 7-2-1 record (77.8%), games as a home underdog: 14-9-0 record (60.9%), and games following a loss: 25-19-0 record (56.8%). Given how explosive Washington’s offense was last year, sportsbooks may lean toward higher totals early on and adjust as the season progresses.