As much as many bettors would love for every game to hit the over, there’s always the other side of over/under bets—the under. If you’re a fan of old-school, defensive football and low-scoring games, betting the under can be quite appealing. It can also be a smart play when there’s clear value in a particular matchup. Over the past few college football seasons, a few Power 4 teams have shown notable consistency in their games finishing under the total. Let’s take a look at the most consistent team from each Power 4 conference since 2020, along with some of the trends behind their results.

Top Power 4 Teams for the Under since 2020

ACC: One of the newcomers to the ACC, the University of California has been a solid pick for the under since 2020. The Golden Bears have hit the under in 55.8% of their games, with a record of 29-23-2 over that span. Cal has been especially consistent in non-conference matchups and in games following a win. Against non-conference opponents, Cal games have finished under the total 71.4% of the time (10-4-1). Following a win, the under has hit 68.4% of the time, with a record of 13-6-1.

Big 10: Leading not only the Big Ten but the entire FBS in under percentage since 2020, the Nebraska Cornhuskers have been the most consistent team in this category. Nebraska games have gone under in 64.3% of contests, with a record of 36-20-1. Several trends support this, particularly games following a bye, games with a rest advantage, and non-conference matchups. After a bye week, the Cornhuskers have hit the under 81.8% of the time (9-2-0). In games with either a rest advantage or versus non-conference opponents, Nebraska has posted identical under records of 10-3-0 (76.9%).

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Big 12: The Iowa State Cyclones lead the Big 12 in under percentage since 2020, with a record of 36-27-1 (57.1%). Their games have been especially favorable for the under when they are home underdogs or have a rest advantage. As a home underdog, the under has hit 83.3% of the time (1-5-0), and with a rest advantage, it has hit 75% of the time (2-6-0). Though these specific game types are relatively infrequent, another notable trend is Iowa State’s home games overall, which have finished under 67.7% of the time since 2020 (21-10-1).

SEC: Possibly due to their high-powered offenses inflating over/under lines, the Ole Miss Rebels have surprisingly led the SEC in under percentage since 2020. The Rebels have gone under in 61.3% of their games, with a record of 38-24-0. The strongest trend by volume is when Ole Miss is favored: in those games, the under has hit 64.4% of the time (29-16-0). Another high-percentage trend, though with less data, is games in which Ole Miss has a rest advantage—the under has hit 71.4% of the time in those matchups (5-2-0).

Final Thoughts

Trends can be a valuable tool when it comes to betting, as they’re backed by real historical data. That said, trends can shift from year to year. One consistent factor for these teams, however, is coaching stability—all have had the same head coach since 2020, except for Nebraska, who brought in Matt Rhule in 2023. It’ll be interesting to see if sportsbooks adjust their lines in response, or if these trends continue into the 2025 season.