Introduction
In the same conversation as Josh Allen—meaning that he and his team can’t quite get over the hump in the playoffs—quarterback Lamar Jackson is on a mission this fall. Coming off arguably the best passing season of his career, Jackson is still working to improve his craft each and every day. Last season, he threw for 4,172 yards and 41 passing touchdowns, setting career highs in both categories.
Coached by the second longest tenured head coach in the NFL, John Harbaugh is entering his 18th season as the Baltimore Ravens head coach, and has a lot of optimism in his elusive quarterback. The Ravens also boast one of the league’s most creative offensive coordinators in Todd Monken, and life gets that much easier when you have a quarterback as dynamic as Jackson, along with a supporting cast of exceptional playmakers.
Jackson already had several weapons in the passing game last season, and now he has the Ravens’ latest wideout addition, DeAndre Hopkins. While Hopkins may no longer be in his prime, he can still play a significant role thanks to his size and elite catching ability. Add in the threat of Derrick Henry in the backfield—forcing defenses to keep track of him at all times—and the passing attack should open up even more.
Jackson is set up for another outstanding season through the air, so let’s take a look at where the sportsbooks project him and the Ravens’ passing attack this year.
Embed from Getty ImagesPlayer Prop Futures
Passing Yards
- DraftKings: 3500.5 (over -110; under -110)
- ESPN Bet: 3400.5 (over -115; under -115)
- FanDuel: 3475.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Bet365: 3499.5 (over -110; under -110)
- BetMGM: 3450 (over -120; under even)
Passing Touchdowns
- DraftKings: 28.5 (over -110; under -110)
- ESPN Bet: 28.5 (over -110; under -120)
- FanDuel: 28.5 (over -114; under -114)
- Bet365: 28.5 (over -110; under -110)
- BetMGM: 28.5 (over -110; under -110)
With a solid sample size of stats for Lamar Jackson, the sportsbooks appear to be largely in agreement. There are only minor differences in the passing yard projections—DraftKings, ESPN Bet, and Bet365 offer roughly equivalent value for the over, while DraftKings, Bet365, and BetMGM provide the best value for the under. For passing touchdown projections, all sportsbooks outside of FanDuel offer the same strong value for the over, while DraftKings, Bet365, and BetMGM again align in offering equal value for the under.
As mentioned earlier, Lamar is coming off the best passing season of his career in both yards and touchdowns. That said, it’s still important to evaluate his prior seasons and view his career through a holistic lens. In the years where Lamar has started the season, he has averaged 3,143 passing yards and 26.7 passing touchdowns per year. Based on the current lines for Lamar Jackson, he has surpassed both the passing yardage and touchdown totals in only two of his six seasons as a starter.
Conclusion
With a lot on the line this season for Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, I anticipate another strong showing from them in 2025. Jackson will likely have the best supporting cast of his career, along with plenty of continuity around him. As the saying goes, “there’s no time like the present,” and this is certainly one of those moments for our friends in Baltimore.
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