Introduction

Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coming off what many consider to be a successful season. While Tampa Bay would obviously like to be a Super Bowl contender, last year was certainly a step in the right direction. Baker finished third in total passing yards with 4,500, tied for second in passing touchdowns with 41, and threw 16 interceptions. His passer rating was more than 15 points higher than his career average.

Although the Bucs lost offensive coordinator Liam Coen to Jacksonville, things are shaping up for a strong, focused push toward a Super Bowl run. Now, let’s take a look at how sportsbooks are projecting Baker’s outlook heading into the 2025 regular season.

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Player Prop Futures

Passing Yards

  • DraftKings: 3800.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • ESPN Bet: 3750.5 (over -115; under -115)
  • FanDuel: 3825.5 (over -114; under -114)
  • Bet365: 3800.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • BetMGM: 3800.5 (over -110; under -110)

Passing Touchdowns

  • DraftKings: 29.5 (over -105; under -115)
  • ESPN Bet: 26.5 (over -150; under +120)
  • FanDuel: 30.5 (over +112; under -148)
  • Bet365: 29.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • BetMGM: 28.5 (over -120; under even)

As you can see, sportsbooks aren’t projecting Baker Mayfield to replicate last season’s success. Wide receiver Chris Godwin Jr. doesn’t appear to be at 100% heading into the 2025 season after suffering a dislocated ankle in Week 7. However, the Bucs have added a new receiving threat in Emeka Egbuka. Also on the PUP list alongside Godwin is star left tackle Tristan Wirfs, though the team remains optimistic about his status for the season.

For bettors taking the over on passing yards, ESPN Bet offers decent value with a 50-yard cushion. However, if you’re not concerned about that margin, you can find slightly better odds at DraftKings, Bet365, or BetMGM. On the flip side, for under bettors on passing yards, FanDuel is likely your best option.

When it comes to passing touchdowns, there’s noticeable discrepancy between sportsbooks. Over bettors should consider locking in early at ESPN Bet, while under bettors may want to check FanDuel before any lines are adjusted.

Conclusion

Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are gearing up for an exciting 2025 season. With the rest of the NFC South still searching for an identity, this is the perfect opportunity for the Bucs to capitalize on their continuity—and for Mayfield to deliver another strong campaign. While some lingering injuries from last season are still impacting the roster, the core of the team remains largely intact.