Introduction

In 2025, quarterback Geno Smith will be reunited with head coach Pete Carroll in Las Vegas. This will be Smith’s fifth team in his career, but only the third where he’ll begin the season as the designated starter. The Raiders as an organization have been soul-searching over the past few seasons, so this year feels like it could go in any direction. There are a lot of young pieces, particularly on offense, so it will be interesting to see how Geno handles this role in a new city—and as the guy many will be turning to for answers.

Last season, the Raiders had one of the worst wide receiving corps in the NFL and responded by drafting three receivers—one of whom, Tommy Mellott, played quarterback in college. On the brighter side, Geno and the Raiders will benefit from one of the top receiving tight ends from last season in Brock Bowers, who returns for his second year and will be a key factor in helping the offense take the next step—along with first-round pick Ashton Jeanty.

Let’s see where the sportsbooks have Geno Smith projected for this coming season.

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Player Prop Futures

Passing Yards

  • DraftKings: 3575.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • ESPN Bet: 3500.5 (over -115; under -115)
  • FanDuel: 3575.5 (over -114; under -114)
  • Bet365: 3575.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • BetMGM: 3675.5 (over +105; under -125)

Passing Touchdowns

  • DraftKings: 20.5 (over even; under -120)
  • ESPN Bet: 18.5 (over -145; under +115)
  • FanDuel: 20.5 (over -114; under -114)
  • Bet365: 20.5 (over -105; under -115)
  • BetMGM: 20.5 (over even; under -120)

As you can see, there are plenty of options to consider for Geno Smith’s passing yards and passing touchdown props. If you’re interested in the over on passing yards, the best value is available at DraftKings and Bet365. You can also get better odds on BetMGM if you’re confident Geno will perform well with the Raiders—though it does require him to throw for an additional 100 yards compared to most other sportsbooks. The best value for the under on passing yards also appears to be with DraftKings and Bet365.

For passing touchdowns, if you want a little more flexibility on the over, ESPN Bet’s current line at 18.5 is your best bet. However, better odds are available for the over at 20.5 touchdowns on DraftKings and BetMGM. The best overall value for the under on passing touchdowns is currently offered by FanDuel.

Conclusion

In five seasons as a starter, Geno Smith has averaged 3559.4 passing yards and 19.2 touchdowns per year. It’s worth noting that some of those seasons came with the New York Jets, while others were with the Seattle Seahawks. Smith’s best NFL performances have come under coach Pete Carroll, so it will be interesting to see if Carroll can get the same level of production from him once again. There’s certainly a lot to look forward to, but also a fair amount of uncertainty this season for Geno Smith and the Las Vegas Raiders.