Introduction

Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles are gearing up for another NFL season and a run back to the Super Bowl. Even with a Super Bowl win and Super Bowl MVP under his belt, there are still many doubters—from experts to fans—who believe the Eagles succeed in spite of Hurts. From a passing yards and touchdowns perspective, Hurts took a step back compared to the previous two seasons, but he still managed to post the best passer rating of his career. With Saquon Barkley in the backfield to complement the downfield passing attack, it’s understandable why last season’s passing stats didn’t quite measure up to years past. While there may have been a slight regression in the passing game, that doesn’t mean defensive schemes and Philadelphia’s offensive approach won’t evolve—potentially leading to Hurts throwing the ball more this season.

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Player Prop Futures

Passing Yards

  • DraftKings: 3200.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • ESPN Bet: 3150.5 (over even; under -130)
  • FanDuel: 3200.5 (over -114; under -114)
  • Bet365: 3200.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • BetMGM: 3200.5 (over -110; under -110)

Passing Touchdowns

  • DraftKings: 19.5 (over -135; under +110)
  • ESPN Bet: 19.5 (over -115; under -115)
  • FanDuel: 19.5 (over -122; under -108)
  • Bet365: 19.5 (over -130; under +100)
  • BetMGM: 19.5 (over -135; under +110)

It seems most sportsbooks are aligned on Jalen Hurts heading into this season. From a value standpoint, both the over on passing yards and passing touchdowns offer the best return at ESPN Bet. They provide a 50-yard buffer on the passing yards prop at even odds and slightly better odds on the over for passing touchdowns compared to other books at the moment. DraftKings, Bet365, and BetMGM offer similar value on the under for passing yards, but BetMGM stands out with the best value on the under for passing touchdowns.

Last season, Hurts threw for 2903 yards and 18 passing touchdowns. Over his four seasons as the Eagles’ starting quarterback, he has averaged 3401.5 passing yards and 19.75 touchdowns. Notably, last year marked his lowest passing attempt total as a starter, with just 361 attempts—down from 538 in 2023, 460 in 2022, and 432 in 2021.

Conclusion

Coming off the incredible season the Eagles had last year, it will be interesting to see how both they and their opponents adapt. Each new season presents fresh challenges, and I’d be surprised if the Eagles relied as heavily on the run game as they did last year. Defensive coordinators around the league will undoubtedly aim to force the Eagles into a more pass-heavy approach, so it’ll be worth watching how that shift impacts Jalen Hurts and his stats this season.