The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, March 24, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* CLEVELAND is just 16-19 SU and 10-25 ATS (28.6%) vs. teams that have winning records this season
Trend Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (-10.5 vs ORL) 

* Favorites are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the Pelicans-Knicks non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-8.5 vs NOP) 

#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the MAKINEN POWER RATINGS: DENVER -5.5 at PHX (projections have line at DEN -6.9) 

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing on road in One Day Rest scenario are 227-291 SU but 288-222-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
* CHARLOTTE is 13-38 SU and 18-32-1 ATS playing in 2 Days Rest scenario since March 2022
System/Trend Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO (+16.5 at CHA) 

* CLEVELAND is 16-3 SU and 12-7 ATS playing in the 2 Days Rest scenario since December 2024
* CLEVELAND is just 16-19 SU and 10-25 ATS (28.6%) vs. teams that have winning records this season
* CLEVELAND is 8-4 SU but 2-10 ATS (16.7%) as a double-digit home favorite this season
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES OF CLEVELAND (-10.5 vs ORL) 

* NEW ORLEANS is 15-7 Over the total (68.2%) vs. teams currently winning more than 60% of their games
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): NOP-NYK (o/u at 231.5) 

* PHOENIX is 9-7 SU and 12-4 ATS (75%) vs. teams currently scoring >118 PPG this season
Trend Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (+5.5 vs DEN)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(551) SACRAMENTO at (552) CHARLOTTE
* SACRAMENTO is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four games versus Charlotte
Trend Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO (+16.5 at CHA)

(553) NEW ORLEANS at (554) NEW YORK
* FAVORITES are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the NOP-NYK non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-8.5 vs NOP) 

(555) ORLANDO at (556) CLEVELAND
* CLEVELAND is 5-2 SU and ATS in the last seven meetings with Orlando
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-10.5 vs ORL) 

(557) DENVER at (558) PHOENIX
* DENVER is 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five trips to Phoenix
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (-5.5 at PHX) 

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons.

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 139-114 (54.9%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 266-221 (54.6%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 348-280 (55.4%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – SAC-CHA (spread -16.5, total 230.5), ORL-CLE (spread -10.5, total 231.5)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted.

Rout wins are a warning sign for the next contest for the hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20 points or more are 346-264 SU but 279-316-15 ATS (46.9%) over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE ATS): PHOENIX (+5.5 vs DEN) 

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3PT field goal attempts in a contest have responded the next time out by going just 350-360 SU and 324-378-8 ATS (46.2%) in the next game over the last five seasons.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SACRAMENTO (+16.5 at CHA), NEW YORK (-8.5 vs NOP) 

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #4:
Teams having won their last six games and are favored by >= 9 points versus a team averaging 114 PPG or more have gone just 34-9 SU but 16-27 ATS (37.2%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (FADE): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR NEW YORK vs NOP (-8.5 CURRENTLY) 

NBA Streak Betting System #7:
Teams who have lost at least their last four games and are facing an opponent on 2+ Days Rest have had their games go Over the total at a 141-107-2 (56.9%) rate since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY OVER): ORL-CLE (o/u at 231.5) 

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 117-139 SU but 143-111-3 ATS (56.3%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (+10.5 at CLE)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2025-26 season, the sample contained 633 games, and for the most part, majority bettors have lost on all six point spread, money line, and total categories. In fact, this has been the worst half-season they have endured since I started studying this subject a few years ago. Here are the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 868-785 ATS (52.5%) over the last 3+ seasons. This has produced a profit of +4.5 units and an ROI of 0.3%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. However, it is down over 20 units so far in ’25-26 so perhaps tread lightly. Even still, remember that handle is the total amount of money on a game and is generally considered sharper. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): DENVER 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-Conference games (East versus West) of the last 3+ seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been mildly successful, as they are 461-417 ATS (52.5%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed just over a 50% success rate, they were about 2.5% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +2.3 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): CHARLOTTE

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1454-663 over the last 3+ seasons but for -277.83 units and an ROI of -13.1%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 1113-757 but for -72.73 units and an ROI of -3.9%. This 9.2% disparity warrants outright fading ML majorities on home teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHARLOTTE ML, NEW YORK ML, CLEVELAND ML

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last 3+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 484-393, good for 55.2%, +51.7 units, and an ROI of +5.9% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): SAC-CHA, DEN-PHX 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 200-153 (56.7%) since January 2023 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been the most profitable angle of all in terms of ROI, producing +31.7 units of profit for 9%.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SAC-CHA

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Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches: 1. DENVER -5.5 (+1.4)
2. CLEVELAND -10.5 (+1.3)
3. CHARLOTTE -16.5 (+0.2) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: SACRAMENTO +16.5 (+0.2)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: CLEVELAND -10.5 (+0.6)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: NOP-NYK OVER 231.5 (+0.7)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORL-CLE UNDER 231.5 (-2.6)
2. SAC-CHA UNDER 230.5 (-1.9)
3. DEN-PHX UNDER 233.5 (-0.7) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: NEW ORLEANS +8.5 (+0.5) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CLEVELAND -10.5 (+2.1)
2. DENVER -5.5 (+1.5)
3. CHARLOTTE -16.5 (+0.2) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1(tie). SAC-CHA UNDER 230.5 (-2.9)
ORL-CLE UNDER 231.5 (-2.9)
DEN-PHX UNDER 233.5 (-2.9

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