Game: Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers

Date: 9/11/2025 at 8:15 PM ET

Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video

To get things started in week 2 of the NFL season, the Washington Commanders will travel to Green Bay, Wisconsin to face the Packers in a matchup between two premier NFC teams. It’s wild to think that just a year ago we would not have said that about the Washington Commanders, but after an incredible run last season, they now find themselves not only atop the NFC, but the entire NFL. Last week started on a strong note for the Commanders, as they earned a convincing win over the New York Giants. The offense still has some things to clean up, but overall wasn’t too bad, and the defense looked sharp, especially along the defensive line against an inferior offensive front. Green Bay wasn’t where they wanted to be last year, with injuries plaguing the offense, but they looked sharp last week, and quarterback Jordan Love seems to finally be back to full strength. With this game on Thursday night, and both teams having played on Sunday, it will be a short week, giving Green Bay a slight edge with home field advantage.

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Betting Overview

This Commanders vs Packers matchup opened with the Packers as a 1.5-point favorite a few weeks ago, but after their impressive opening game, the line has shifted to -3.5 at most books. The moneyline has also moved noticeably, from -120 for Green Bay to between -175 and -190, and from even odds to between +150 and +160 for the Commanders. For the total, things have stayed fairly steady in the 48–48.5 range.

At the moment, the public is backing Washington on the spread at a 55% clip, while moneyline wagers have leaned heavily toward Green Bay with 80% of current bets. For the total, the public has been overwhelmingly on the under, with 96% of tickets at this point.

Weather

The weather advantage that Green Bay typically enjoys isn’t really in play this time of year. Temperatures will be in the low 60s at kickoff before dipping into the high 50s as the game goes on. There is a 0% chance of precipitation, and wind should be almost a non-factor, averaging around 5 mph with gusts reaching up to 8 mph.

Position Group & Coaching Comparisons

Coaching: The coaching edge in this matchup leans slightly in favor of the Packers. Head Coach Matt LaFleur has been in Green Bay much longer than the Commanders’ current staff has been in Washington. He has established a strong culture and owns a 68-33 record as the Packers’ head coach. That said, the Commanders have their own strengths with defensive-minded head coach Dan Quinn and a dynamic offensive play caller in Kliff Kingsbury.

DL’s vs OL’s: Both teams looked very solid in the trenches last week, though Washington was facing an inferior opponent. The defensive lines are fairly similar, but with the addition of Micah Parsons, the Packers hold the stronger unit, and Green Bay’s offensive line is slightly deeper than Washington’s.

QB’s: Jordan Love looked very steady last week against the Lions, but Jayden Daniels has more to work with, as he excels in the pocket and is much better at extending plays. Love is still a strong quarterback, but based on last season’s performances, and with Daniels coming off an incredible rookie year, it’s hard to bet against him.

RB’s & TE’s vs LB’s: This position group battle is nearly dead even. Washington gets steady production from its running backs and has a reliable tight end at this stage of his career in Zach Ertz. Green Bay, meanwhile, has an elite running back to lean on in Josh Jacobs and solid tight end options. The difference is that Washington has superior off-ball linebackers, which could cause problems in the run game as well as in short and intermediate passing situations.

WR’s & Secondaries: The Commanders hold the edge in this category. They feature a stronger receiving corps along with a solid cornerback group. The only area of concern for Washington is at safety, where the Packers clearly have the advantage.

Betting Trends from 2024

Last season Washington was solid against the spread as an underdog, going 5-3-1. They weren’t quite as strong as an away underdog, finishing 4-3-1. The over was also a reliable play in those spots last year, as it cashed in 6 of 8 games when Washington was an away underdog.

For Green Bay, they were more middle of the road at home, posting a 5-4-0 ATS record and a 4-3-0 mark as a home favorite. The over/under split evenly at 3 apiece in games where the Packers were at home, though overall the under held the edge, hitting in 5 of 9 home contests.

Final Thoughts

Neither team has any significant injuries at this point in the season. Both are coming off wins, and the Packers hold a major home field advantage. This has the makings of a close contest, making the spread feel like somewhat of a coin flip. With the way these two defenses played last week, it will be interesting to see how this game unfolds, but I could see it turning into a high-scoring battle.