Today we wrap up the work week with a 22 game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.
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8 p.m. ET: Michigan (-1.5, 147.5) at Michigan State
Embed from Getty ImagesMichigan (19-1, ranked 3rd) has won five straight and just held off Nebraska 75-72 but failed to cover as 11.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Michigan State (19-2, ranked 7th) has won seven in a row and just edged Rutgers 88-79 in overtime but failed to cover as 14.5-point road favorites.
This line opened with Michigan listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.
The public is leaning toward laying the points with the Wolverines, who have the better ranking and are laying minuscule chalk.
However, despite receiving 57% of spread bets at DraftKings we’ve seen Michigan remain stagnant at -1.5. In addition, most of the market is juicing up the Michigan State side (+1.5 at -115), with a few other books dipping down to Michigan State +1.
Reading between the lines, we are seeing a sharp line freeze and some sneaky reverse line movement on Michigan State plus the points, as the line has either stayed the same or been juiced up and/or moved in favor of the Spartans despite the public backing the Wolverines.
At DraftKings, Michigan State is receiving 43% of spread bets but 50% of spread dollars, a sharp contrarian “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy in favor of the home dog.
The Spartans also offer “bet against the public” value as they are receiving less than half the tickets in the most heavily bet, nationally televised primetime game of the night on FOX.
Ken Pom has Michigan winning by one point (73-72), which provides value on the Spartans plus the hook (+1.5).
Many pros have also sided with the Spartans to win straight up on the moneyline (+100), as Michigan State is only receiving 33% of moneyline bets but a whopping 95% of moneyline dollars at Circa.
Michigan State has the better offensive rebound percentage (6th vs 48th), three-point shooting (68th vs 158th) and free-throw shooting (129th vs 184th).
8 p.m. ET: Wright State (-3.5, 151.5) at Milwaukee
Wright State (13-8) has won eight of their last nine and just held off Northern Kentucky 88-80, covering as 2-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Milwaukee (9-13) just snapped a three-game losing skid with a 65-64 win over Youngstown State, winning outright as 6.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Wright State listed as low as a 1.5-point road favorite.
Sharps seem to have thought that the opener was a bit short and have gotten down hard on Wright State minus the points, steaming the Raiders up from -1.5 to -3.5.
At DraftKings, Wright State is receiving 79% of spread bets and a whopping 90% of spread dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” bet discrepancy in favor of the road chalk from both sharps and the betting public alike.
Ken Pom has Wright State winning by two points (76-74). He also has the Raiders ranked much higher (143rd vs 245th).
With this in mind, many pros have looked to add some cushion by playing Wright State on the moneyline at -160.
At Circa, Wright State is taking in 67% of moneyline bets but a hefty 99% of moneyline dollars, a massive split in favor of a straight up Raiders victory from the wiseguys in the desert.
Wright State has the better offensive efficiency (119th vs 207th), defensive efficiency (195th vs 278th), effective field goal percentage (52nd vs 262nd), three-point shooting (54th vs 256th) and free-throw shooting (102rd vs 322nd).
9 p.m. ET: Boise State at Grand Canyon (-1.5, 139.5)
Boise State (13-8) has won four in a row and just crushed San Jose State 89-58, easily covering as 12.5-point road favorites. On the other hand, Grand Canyon (13-7) just saw their three-game win streak come to an end, falling to Nevada 66-60 in overtime and failing to cover as 3.5-point road dogs.
This line opened with Grand Canyon listed as low as a 1-point home favorite.
Sharps have pounced on the Lopes laying short chalk at home, driving Grand Canyon up from -1 to -1.5.
At DraftKings, Grand Canyon is takin in 73% of spread bets and 87% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” one-way Pro and Joe bet split in their favor.
Ken Pom has Grand Canyon winning by two points (69-67).
With this in mind, many pros have looked to protect themselves by targeting the Lopes on the moneyline at -125.
At DraftKings, Grand Canyon is taking in 69% of moneyline bets and 81% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of heavy pro money banking on a straight up victory for the Lopes.
Grand Canyon has the better defensive efficiency (19th vs 47th), force more turnovers on defense (133rd vs 219th) and limit their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (28th vs 175th).
Grand Canyon is 9-2 at home this season. Boise State is 3-3 on the road.
The post Top Picks from the CBB Betting Splits for Friday January 30th appeared first on VSiN.

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