Today we kick off Valentine’s Day weekend with a loaded 132 game College Basketball slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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1 p.m. ET: Kansas at Iowa State (-7.5, 147.5)

Kansas (19-5, ranked 9th) has won eight in a row and just took down Arizona 82-78, winning outright as 5.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, Iowa State (21-3, ranked 5th) just saw their five-game win streak come to an end, falling to TCU 62-55 and losing outright as 7.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Iowa State listed as a 5.5-point home favorite.

The public thinks this line is way too high and 75% of spread bets at DraftKings are rushing to the window to take the points with Kansas.

However, despite Kansas receiving such lopsided support we’ve seen the line move further toward Iowa State, with the Cyclones ticking up from -5.5 to -7.5 across the market.

Why would oddsmakers hand out more points to the public when they’re already hammering the Jayhawks to begin with? Because respected smart money has faded trendy dog Kansas and laid the points with Iowa State, triggering sharp reverse line movement in favor of the Cyclones at home.

Iowa State is one of the top “bet against the public” plays of the day as the Cyclones are only receiving 25% of spread bets in one of the most heavily bet, nationally televised games on ABC.

At DraftKings, Iowa State is taking in 25% of spread bets but 45% of spread dollars. At Circa, Iowa State is receiving 48% of spread bets and 59% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp contrarian bet split in favor of the Cyclones.

Iowa State has the better offensive efficiency (17th vs 41st), defensive efficiency (5th vs 9th), effective field goal percentage (10th vs 74th), offensive rebound percentage (13th vs 252nd), three-point shooting (4th vs 89th) and force more turnovers on defense (8th vs 344th).

5 p.m. ET: Purdue (-1.5, 142.5) at Iowa

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Purdue (20-4, ranked 13th) has won three straight and just took down Nebraska 80-77 in overtime, winning outright as 1.5-point road dogs. On the other hand, Iowa (18-6) just saw their six game win streak come to an end, falling to Maryland 77-70 and losing outright as 10.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Purdue listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.

The public can’t believe this line is so short and 79% of spread bets at DraftKings are hammering the Boilermakers minus the points.

This lopsided betting pushed Purdue up from -1.5 to -2.5. That’s when wiseguys pounced on Iowa as an inflated +2.5 dog, dropping the line back down to Purdue -1.5. Essentially, we are looking at a sharp line freeze in favor of Iowa, as the line is right back to the opener despite the public pounding the Boilermakers.

At DraftKings, Iowa is only taking in 21% of spread bets (but 34% of spread dollars), making the Hawkeyes one of the top contrarian plays of the day in a heavily bet, nationally televised early evening game on FOX.

Ken Pom has Purdue winning by one point (72-71), which provides actionable value on Iowa +1.5.

Iowa has buy-low value as an unranked conference dog off a loss against a sell-high ranked favorite off a big upset win.

Iowa has the better free-throw shooting (32nd vs 141st) and forces more turnovers on defense (10th vs 204th).

8:30 p.m. ET: Texas at Missouri (-2.5, 150.5)

Texas (15-9) has won three in a row and just dismissed Ole Miss 79-68, covering as 9.5-point home favorites. Similarly, Missouri (17-7) has also won three straight and just edged Texas A&M 86-85, winning outright as 6.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Missouri listed as a 1.5-point home favorite.

The public is split down the middle and doesn’t know who to take.

However, despite this roughly 50/50 ticket split at DraftKings we’ve seen Missouri creep up from -1.5 to -2.5.

Normally, in a vacuum, a line shouldn’t move at all if the bets are even because, theoretically, the oddsmakers have balanced action and no need to adjust the price. So, based on the line move we can infer that the bigger, sharper wagers have sided with Missouri at home.

At DraftKings, Missouri is taking in 48% of spread bets but a whopping 77% of spread dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in thei favor.

Many pros have looked to mitigate some risk in the event of a close game by playing Missouri on the moneyline at -140.

At DraftKings, the Tigers are receiving 63% of moneyline bets and 71% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of pro money backing Missouri to earn a straight up victory on their home court.

Missouri has the better effective field goal percentage (38th vs 48th), defensive efficiency (88th vs 103rd), and three-point shooting (125th vs 175th).

Missouri is 13-1 at home. Texas is 3-4 on the road.

The post Top Picks from the CBB Betting Splits for Saturday February 14th appeared first on VSiN.