Today March Madness continues with another pair of First Four NCAA Tournament matchups to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for both games using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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6:40 p.m. ET: Prairie View vs Lehigh (-3.5, 141.5)

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Both of these teams are 16-seeds and the winner will advance to face 1-seed Florida.

Prairie View (18-17) has won seven straight and just upset Southern 72-66 to win the SWAC tournament, winning outright as 3.5-point neutral site dogs. Similarly, Lehigh (18-16) has won six in a row and just upset aside Boston University 74-60 to win the Patriot League tournament, winning outright as 2.5-point neutral site dogs.

This line opened with Lehigh listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite.

Sharps have gotten down hard on the Mountain Hawks, steaming Lehigh up from -2.5 to -3.5.

At DraftKings, Lehigh is taking in 54% of spread bets and 60% of spread dollars. At Circa, Lehigh is receiving 63% of spread bets and a whopping 92% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet discrepancy in favor of the Mountain Hawks, especially the wiseguys in the desert.

Ken Pom has Lehigh winning by one point (75-74). He also has Lehigh ranked slightly higher (284th vs 288th).

With this in mind, many pros have elected to pay some juice and protect themselves by playing Lehigh on the moneyline at -165.

At Circa, Lehigh is taking in 75% of moneyline bets and a hefty 97% of moneyline dollars, further evidence of Vegas smart money backing a straight up victory for the Mountain Hawks.

Lehigh has the better offensive efficiency (290th vs 311th), effective field goal percentage (91st vs 315th), three-point shooting (39th vs 224th), allow fewer offensive rebounds to their opponents (243rd vs 332nd) and hold their opponents to a better three-point shooting percentage (109th vs 250th).

Lehigh also enjoys a “rest vs tired” advantage, as the Mountain Hawks last played on March 11th while the Panthers last played on March 13th and 14th.

Sharps are also expecting a lower scoring game, as the total has been bet down from as high as 146 to 141.5.

At DraftKings, the under is taking in 37% of bets and 54% of dollars. At Circa, the under is receiving 44% of bets and a whopping 82% of dollars. Both books are showing a wiseguy split in favor of the under.

9:15 p.m. ET: Miami Ohio vs SMU (-7.5, 163.5)

Both of these teams are 11-seeds and the winner will advance to face 6-seed Tennessee.

Miami Ohio (31-1) just suffered their first loss of the season in the MAC tournament quarterfinal, falling to Massachusetts 87-83 and losing outright as 6.5-point neutral site favorites. Meanwhile, SMU (20-13) has dropped five of their last six and just came up short against Louisville 62-58 in the second round of the ACC tournament but managed to cover as 6.5-point neutral site dogs.

This line opened with SMU listed as an 8.5-point neutral site favorite.

Sharps have jumped on Miami Ohio and the points, dropping the RedHawks from +8.5 to +7.5, with some books falling as low as +6.5.

At Circa, Miami Ohio is taking in 82% of spread bets and 78% of spread dollars, a one-way Pro and Joe bet split from the wiseguys in the desert in favor of the RedHawks covering the number.

Ken Pom has SMU winning by seven points (86-79), which provides actionable value on Miami Ohio plus the hook (+7.5).

Miami Ohio has the better effective field goal percentage (5th vs 26th), free-throw shooting (80th vs 121st), two-point field goal percentage (2nd vs 48th) and commit fewer turnovers on offense (40th vs 128th).

Additionally, the RedHawks limit their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (148th vs 184th), allow fewer offensive rebounds (71st vs 230th) and force more turnovers on defense (125th vs 142nd).

Miami Ohio offers additional value as a “dog who can score” system match (91 PPG), thereby increasing the chances they can keep pace or earn a back door cover.

Miami Ohio is likely to enjoy a friendly crowd and some de-facto home court advantage, as their campus is roughly a one-hour drive from Dayton where tonight’s game will be played.

Sharps have also hit the under, dropping the total from 165.5 to 162.5.

At DraftKings, the under is receiving 62% of bets and 68% of dollars. At Circa, the under is receiving 69% of bets and a whopping 90% of dollars. Both books are showing a wiseguy “low bets, higher dollars” bet split in favor of a lower scoring game.

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