Today we have a loaded slate of College Basketball on tap with 45 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN CBB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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7 p.m. ET: Indiana State vs Valparaiso (-3.5, 136.5)

This is the first round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament.

Indiana State (11-20) is the 10-seed and just snapped a six-game losing skid with a 79-63 win over Illinois Chicago, winning outright as 3.5-point home dogs. On the other hand, Valparaiso (17-14) just saw their four-game win streak come to an end, falling to Evansville 80-79 and losing outright as 5.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with Valparaiso listed as a 2.5-point neutral site favorite.

Sharps have laid the wood with the Beacons, steaming Valparaiso up from -2.5 to -3.5.

At DraftKings, Valparaiso is receiving roughly 70% of spread bets and dollars, indicating one-way Pro and Joe support in their favor.

Ken Pom has Valparaiso winning by three points (72-69). He also has the Beacons ranked much higher (155th vs 204th).

With this in mind, many sharps have elected to gain some added cushion by playing the Beacons on the moneyline at -170.

At DraftKings, Valparaiso is taking in 78% of moneyline bets and a whopping 88% of moneyline dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet split in favor of a straight up victory for the Beacons.

Valparaiso has the better offensive efficiency (176th vs 230th), defensive efficiency (139th vs 178th), offensive rebound percentage (113th vs 328th), three-point shooting (189th vs 299th), free-throw shooting (228th vs 327th) and commit fewer turnovers on offense (96th vs 334th).

The Beacons are 11-9 in conference play. The Sycamores are 4-16.

Valparaiso also enjoys a one-day rest advantage, having last played on February 28th while Indiana State last played on March 1st.

8 p.m. ET: Western Kentucky (-2.5, 152.5) at Missouri State

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Western Kentucky (18-11) has won six in a row and just dominated UTEP 97-65, easily covering as 9.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Missouri State (13-16) has dropped seven straight and just fell to Sam Houston 86-81 but managed to cover as 6.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with Western Kentucky listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.

Sharps have jumped on the red-hot Hilltoppers laying short chalk, driving Western Kentucky up from -1.5 to -2.5.

Ken Pom has Western Kentucky winning by one point (74-73). He also has the Hilltoppers ranked higher (139th vs 213th).

As a result, many pros have attempted to mitigate some risk by playing Western Kentucky on the moneyline at -145.

At DraftKings, the Hilltoppers are taking in 78% of moneyline bets and 85% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” one-way split in favor of a straight up Western Kentucky victory.

Western Kentucky has the better offensive efficiency (180th vs 199th), defensive efficiency (110th vs 218th), free-throw shooting (44th vs 330th), and hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (115th vs 239th).

The Hilltoppers also grab more rebounds per game (40 vs 35).

Western Kentucky is 11-7 in conference play. Missouri State is 7-11.

9 p.m. ET: Arkansas Pine Bluff (-2.5, 146.5) at Alcorn State

Arkansas Pine Bluff (12-18) has dropped five of their last six and just came up short against Jackson State 81-78, losing outright as 1.5-point road favorites. On the other hand, Alcorn State (8-21) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 67-64 win over Mississippi Valley State but failed to cover as 9.5-point home favorites.

This line opened with Pine Bluff listed as a 1.5-point road favorite.

Sharps have jumped on Pine Bluff laying short chalk, steaming the Golden Lions up from -1.5 to -2.5.

At DraftKings, Pine Bluff is receiving 57% of spread bets and 80% of spread dollars. At Circa, Pine Bluff is taking in 67% of spread bets and over 90% of spread dollars. Both books are showing a wiseguy “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet split in favor of the Golden Lions.

This line movement and bet split is especially important considering this is a tiny “added/extra” game with a 6-digit rotation number (306587-306588). In other words, it’s an overlooked, low-bet matchup that the public is largely ignoring. However, based on the market reaction we can infer that sharps have taken a keen interest and sided with the road team.

Ken Pom has Pine Bluff winning by one point (76-75). He also has the Golden Lions ranked higher (325th vs 345th).

With this in mind, many pros have looked to protect themselves by targeting Pine Bluff on the moneyline at -150.

At DraftKings, Pine Bluff is taking in 53% of moneyline bets and 67% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, Pine Bluff is receiving 50% of moneyline bets and 98% of moneyline dollars.

Pine Bluff has the better offensive efficiency (281st vs 340th), effective field goal percentage (263rd vs 306th), free-throw shooting (77th vs 233rd) and hold their opponents to a better effective field goal percentage (259th vs 346th).

The post Top Picks from the CBB Betting Splits for Thursday March 5th appeared first on VSiN.