Today we kick off the weekend with a loaded 15 game MLB slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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2:20 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (-145, 6.5)

The Pirates (8-5) stole yesterday’s series opener 2-0, coming through as +130 road dogs.

In this afternoon’s rematch, the Pirates hand the ball to righty Braxton Ashcraft (1-1, 2.25 ERA) and the Cubs (6-7) tap fellow righty Edward Cabrera (1-0, 0.00 ERA).

This line opened with Chicago listed as a -135 home favorite and Pittsburgh a +115 road dog.

Sharps have jumped on the Cubs to bounce back at Wrigley, steaming Chicago up from -135 to -145.

At Circa, Chicago is only receiving 33% of moneyline bets but a whopping 83% of moneyline dollars, a massive “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in their favor from the wiseguys in the desert.

Saturday home favorites, like the Cubs here, are 14-8 (64%) with a 6% ROI this season.

The Cubs have correlative betting value as a favorite in a super low total game (6.5), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win.

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3:07 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays (-120, 8)

The Blue Jays (6-7) took last night’s series opener 10-4, cruising as -160 home favorites.

In this late afternoon rematch, the Twins (7-7) send out righty Joe Ryan (1-1, 4.40 ERA) and the Blue Jays counter with lefty Eric Lauer (1-1, 4.91 ERA).

This line opened with Minnesota listed as a short -115 road favorite and Toronto a -105 home dog.

Sharps have gotten down hard on the Blue Jays, flipping Toronto from a -105 home dog to a -120 home favorite. In other words, we are seeing wiseguy “dog to favorite” line movement on the Blue Jays at home.

At DraftKings, Toronto is taking in 64% of moneyline bets and 68% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, the Blue Jays are receiving 63% of moenyline bets and 67% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a “low bets, higher dollars” Pro and Joe bet split in favor of the Jays at home.

Non-division home favorites off a win priced -150 or less, like Toronto here, are 10-7 (59%) with a 5% ROI this season and 113-73 (61%) with an 8% ROI since 2025. Saturday home favorites are 14-8 (64%) with a 6% ROI this season.

The Blue Jays have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win.

Toronto is 6-4 at home this season. Minnesota is 2-5 on the road.

7:10 p.m. ET: Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers (-180, 8)

The Nationals (5-8) took yesterday’s series opener 7-3, cashing as hefty +165 road dogs.

In tonight’s rematch, the Nationals tap lefty Foster Griffin (1-0, 2.70 ERA) and the Brewers (8-5) go with fellow southpaw Kyle Harrison (1-0, 2.61 ERA).

This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a -165 home favorite and Washington a +150 road dog.

Sharps are expecting the Brew Crew to get back on track, steaming Milwaukee up from -165 to -180.

At Circa, Milwaukee is receiving 75% of moneyline bets and a whopping 91% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in favor of the home chalk from the wiseguys in the desert.

Saturday home favorites are 14-8 (64%) with a 6% ROI this season. If priced -170 or more, they improve to 6-2 (75%) with an 11% ROI this season.

Home favorites who made the playoffs the previous season and lost Game 1 of a new series but are receiving line move in their favor in Game 2, like the Brewers here, are 32-17 (65%) with a 4% ROI since 2025.

The Brewers have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win.

The post Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Saturday April 11th appeared first on VSiN.