Today we have a smaller than usual MLB slate on tap with only three games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for all three matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

Become a VSiN Pro subscriber today and get a full year for just $199 PLUS a copy of The Everything Guide to Sports Betting by Josh Appelbaum >> Go here and use promo code BOOK to sign up.

2:10 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals (-155, 9.5)

The Royals (3-2) have taken the first two games of this three-game set, winning the opener 3-1 as -165 home favorites and then winning again yesterday 13-9 as -105 home dogs.

In this afternoon’s series finale, the Twins (1-4) hand the ball to righty Taj Bradley (0-0, 2.08 ERA) and the Royals turn to lefty Cole Ragans (0-1, 9.00 ERA).

This line opened with Kansas City listed as low as a -145 home favorite and Minnesota a +130 road dog.

Sharps are jumping on the Royals to complete the sweep, driving Kansas City up from -145 to -155.

At Circa, Kansas City is receiving 36% of moneyline bets but a whopping 64% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp contrarian split in their favor from the pro bettors out in Vegas.

Sharps have also leaned on the Royals run-line (-1.5 at +125), as Kansas City is taking in 77% of spread bets and 87% of spread dollars at DraftKings.

Home favorites are 43-24 (64%) with a 3% ROI this season.

The Royals have the better batting average (.244 vs .210) and team ERA (4.36 vs 5.05).

The Twins are hitting just .183 against lefties this season, ranking 25th out of 30 MLB teams.

Kansas City is 2-0 in day games. Minnesota is 1-3.

9:40 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (-120, 9) at Arizona Diamondbacks

The Braves (4-2) just took two of three against the Athletics, winning yesterday’s series finale 5-1 as -235 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks (3-3) just swept the Tigers, winning 1-0 yesterday as +130 home dogs.

In tonight’s series opener, the Braves send out righty Reynaldo Lopez (0-0, 1.50 ERA) and the Diamondbacks go with fellow righty Ryne Nelson (0-0, 7.71 ERA).

This line opened with Atlanta listed as a -125 road favorite and Arizona a +105 home dog.

The public is leaning toward Atlanta, with the Braves receiving 55% of moneyline bets at DraftKings.

However, despite receiving a majority of tickets we’ve seen Atlanta fall from -125 to -120. This signals sharp reverse line movement on Arizona, as the line has moved toward the Diamondbacks (+105 to +100), despite the public backing the Braves.

At Circa, Arizona is taking in 55% of moneyline bets and a hefty 78% of moneyline dollars, a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” split on the Snakes from the pros in the desert.

When both teams are coming off a win, as is the case here, the home team is 117-75 (61%) with an 11% ROI since 2025. Short home dogs +120 or less are 291-258 (53%) with an 8% ROI since 2025.

Arizona has correlative betting value as a dog in a high total game (9), with the more expected runs scored leading to more variance and upset opportunities.

The Diamondbacks are 3-0 at home this season. Meanwhile, the Braves are playing their first road game.

9:45 p.m. ET: New York Mets (-125, 7.5) at San Francisco Giants

Embed from Getty Images

The Mets (3-3) just dropped two of three against the Cardinals, losing yesterday’s series finale 2-1 in extra innings as -165 road favorites. On the other hand, the Giants (2-4) just took two of three against the Padres but failed to complete the sweep, losing 7-1 yesterday as +125 road dogs.

In tonight’s series opener, the Mets go with lefty David Peterson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and the Giants tap fellow southpaw Robbie Ray (0-1, 3.38 ERA).

This line opened with New York listed as high as a -130 road favorite and San Francisco a +110 home dog.

The public is laying the chalk with New York, as the Mets are taking in 60% of moneyline bets at DraftKings.

However, despite receiving a majority of tickets we’ve seen New York fall from -130 to -125. This signals sharp reverse line movement on the Giants as the line has moved in their favor (+110 to +105) despite the public supporting the Mets.

At Circa, the Giants are taking in 55% of moneyline bets and a hefty 84% of moneyline dollars, a heightened “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split from the wiseguys in the desert.

Short home dogs +120 or less are 291-258 (53%) with an 8% ROI since 2025. When both teams are coming off a loss, as is the case here, the home dog is 38-40 (49%) since 2025 but has generated an 8% ROI due to the plus money payouts.

San Francisco is hitting .200 against lefties (23rd) while New York is hitting just .167 (26th).

The post Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Thursday April 2nd appeared first on VSiN.