Today we have a loaded MLB slate on tap with 15 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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1:10 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians (-120, 6.5)

The Royals (5-5) won yesterday’s series opener 4-2, coming through as +105 road dogs.

In this early afternoon rematch, the Royals send out lefty Noah Cameron (1-0, 1.80 ERA) and the Guardians (6-5) tap righty Gavin Williams (1-1, 2.25 ERA).

This line opened with Cleveland listed as a -115 home favorite and Kansas City a -105 road dog.

Wiseguys have gotten down on the Guardians to bounce back with a victory, pushing Cleveland up from -115 to -120.

At DraftKings, the Guardians are receiving 68% of moneyline bets and 76% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, Cleveland is taking in 73% of moneyline bets and a massive 93% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a one-way “low bets, higher dollars” Pro and Joe bet split in favor of the short home chalk.

Home favorites off a loss, like the Guardians here, are 24-14 (63%) with a 5% ROI this season. Home favorites facing an opponent who missed the playoffs the previous season are 44-22 (67%) with an 8% ROI this season.

Cleveland has additional correlative betting value as a favorite in a super low total game (6.5), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win.

The Guardians have the edge in the bullpen, sporting an ERA of 4.39 compared to 6.17 for the Royals.

We could also be looking at a low scoring game, as the total has ticked down from 7 to 6.5 across the market with some shops even inching down to 6.

At DraftKings, the under is taking in 38% of bets but 53% of dollars. At Circa, the under is receiving 36% of bets and 51% of dollars.

Weather is a big factor here, as the forecast calls for frigid low 30s with 10 MPH winds blowing directly in from center.

3:10 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (-145, 7) at Chicago White Sox

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The Orioles (4-6) took yesterday’s series opener 2-1, hanging on as -140 road favorites.

In this late afternoon rematch, the Orioles start lefty Trevor Rogers (2-0, 1.38 ERA) and the White Sox (4-6) rebuttal with righty Shane Smith (0-2, 19.29 ERA).

This line opened with Baltimore listed as a -135 road favorite and Chicago a +115 home dog.

Sharps are going back to the well with Baltimore, steaming the Orioles up from -135 to -145.

At DraftKings, the Orioles are receiving 81% of moneyline bets and 87% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, Baltimore is taking in 80% of moneyline bets and over 90% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a one-way “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in favor of the road chalk.

Sharps have also gotten down hard on the Orioles run-line (-1.5 at +125), as Baltimore is receiving 50% of spread bets and 98% of spread dollars at Circa. The Orioles are also taking in 66% of spread bets and 78% of spread dollars at DraftKings.

Baltimore has betting system value as a non-division favorite in a low total game (7), with the lack of familiarity and fewer runs scored benefiting the “better” team who is expected to win the game.

The Orioles have the better team batting average (.246 vs .209), OBP (.321 vs .289) and team ERA (4.33 vs 5.76).

Baltimore is hitting .247 against righties (11th) and the White Sox are only hitting .216 against lefties (19th).

Wiseguys have also hit the under, dropping the total from 8 to 7.

At DraftKings, the under is receiving 40% of bets and 58% of dollars.

The forecast calls for chilly high 30s with 8 MPH winds blowing in from left center.

6:40 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins (-135, 7)

The Reds (7-3) won yesterday’s series opener 2-0, cashing as +120 road dogs.

In tonight’s rematch, the Reds hand the ball to lefty Andrew Abbott (0-1. 3.09 ERA) and the Marlins (6-4) turn to righty Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 0.00 ERA).

This line opened with Miami listed as a -125 home favorite and Cincinnati a +105 road dog.

Sharps have jumped on Miami laying modest chalk with their ace on the mound, steaming the Marlins up from -125 to -135.

At Circa, Miami is taking in 70% of moneyline bets and a whopping 90% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet discrepancy from the wiseguys in Vegas.

We’ve also seen respected sharp action back Miami on the run-line (-1.5 at +155), as the Fish are receiving only 40% of spread bets but a notable 69% of spread dollars.

Home favorites off a loss, like the Marlins here, are 24-14 (63%) with a 5% ROI this season.

Miami also has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win.

The Marlins have the better team batting average (.260 vs .210), have the higher OBP (.335 vs .290) and have scored more runs (49 vs 28).

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