To open ACC play, Week 2 features a matchup between the Virginia Cavaliers and NC State Wolfpack in Raleigh, NC. Both teams started the season with wins, though Virginia looked more dominant than NC State. Virginia kept things balanced last week against Coastal Carolina, posting 290 passing yards and 177 rushing yards while committing 0 turnovers. Defensively, UVA held Coastal to 261 total yards and forced 2 turnovers. The Wolfpack also had a fairly balanced attack with 318 yards through the air and 105 on the ground, though CJ Bailey did throw 1 interception. Defensively, NC State gave up a large chunk through the air at 383 yards but stayed stout up front, allowing just 30 rushing yards and forcing no turnovers.

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Betting Overview

This game opened with NC State as a 3-point favorite, but the line has since shifted to -2.5 (-110) at most sportsbooks. The move likely stems from UVA’s strong showing last week, with the 2.5 spread essentially reflecting home-field advantage. The moneyline opened at NC State -155 and UVA +130 but has adjusted to NC State -135 and UVA +115. The over/under currently ranges between 53.5 and 54.5 depending on the sportsbook.

Historically, these ACC programs have not faced each other often due to being in different divisions for many years. In their two most recent matchups, in 2020 and 2023, both played at Virginia, NC State came away with wins. However, they split against the spread, with one game going over and the other finishing under.

Betting Trends

Heading into this game, NC State will hold nearly a full two-day rest advantage, and last season they went 2-2 ATS in such situations. The over also proved consistent with a rest edge, hitting 3 times compared to just 1 under. On the other side, UVA was 0-1-1 ATS when playing with a rest disadvantage, and the over/under split evenly across those two games.

Final Thoughts

NC State holds a clear advantage in this matchup as the home team with two extra days of rest. UVA looked impressive in their season opener, but in past years the Cavaliers have struggled to follow up a strong win. They will need another big performance from Chandler Morris to offset NC State’s stout run defense. If the Wolfpack can establish the run more effectively this week, they will be difficult to contend with, as it would open up even more opportunities for CJ Bailey.