Week 1 College Football Betting Splits Systems and Picks:

If you haven’t been following my DK Betting Splits work over the last couple of years, these systems, and the splits, for that matter, have become popular. In short, the numbers that DK provides in this feed summarize the percentage of the money handle and number of bets there is on each side of a wagering option for the games in most major sports. I have continued tracking and updating those systems in order for bettors to focus on the best ways to use the numbers. Here are the updated numbers for this weekend’s college football action.

CFB DK Betting Splits system #1: Going back to the start of the 2022 season, when more than 75% of the handle was on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group has gone just 505-568 ATS (47.1%). This angle has produced consistently over the last few seasons, and blindly fading these majority bettors during this span has given you a small profit in three straight years.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA, PENN STATE, TEMPLE, GEORGIA, ALABAMA, USC, ARIZONA, NOTRE DAME 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #2: When 76%+ of the number of bets were on the home side of an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone just 192-220 ATS (46.6%). In 2022, it was 46.5%, in 2023 it was 46.7%, and in 2024, it was 46.6%. This is incredible consistency. Again, if you see the big green lights on the VSiN betting splits number of bets page 75% or higher, it is best to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA, GEORGIA, TEXAS A&M, OLE MISS

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CFB DK Betting Splits system #3: When the majority of the handle was on road favorites for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group is just 263-297 ATS (47%). Recreational bettors love road favorites because they are most often the better team. The point spread is the great equalizer. Bettors improved slightly on this system in 2024, but there is still plenty of reason to believe in and fade these over-backed road favorites.
System Matches (FADE ALL): FLORIDA ATLANTIC, TEMPLE, ALABAMA, GEORGIA SOUTHERN, UTAH, NOTRE DAME, TCU 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #4: When a 58% or greater majority of the handle has been on road underdogs for an ATS wager since the start of the 2022 season, this majority group has gone 132-113 ATS (53.9%). This is less than the usual systems I like to present to readers, but this is a nice advantage against the usual majority win rates, and goes to show that being on the side of majority handle when it goes against the grain can pay off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): TOLEDO, EASTERN MICHIGAN, RICE, COLORADO STATE 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #5: When a majority of 55% or more of number of bets has backed road underdogs for an ATS wager over the past three seasons, this majority group has gone 129-106 ATS (54.9%). This is even better than the handle numbers in #4, and it suggests that following public bettors getting behind road dogs can be an actionable strategy.
System Match (PLAY): TOLEDO 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022-24 seasons record was 213-163 (56.6%)! This goes to show that public bettors can be better performers with fewer games to choose from. A lot of times, their mistake proves to be taking too many games on a Saturday.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SOUTH CAROLINA, NOTRE DAME, NORTH CAROLINA

CFB DK Betting Splits system #7: Contrary to popular belief, majority handle bettors have been very good when getting behind huge home favorites, specifically those favored by 27.5 points or more. Typically, I would fear this as a prototypical public bet, but these groups are 60-40 ATS (60%) over the last three seasons.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PENN STATE, GEORGIA, MICHIGAN, USC, OLE MISS 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #8: The average college football total has steadied at about 53. In games since the start of the 2022 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, when majority handle bettors favored the Under, they have been relatively sharp, going 61-47 (56.5%). This is pretty rare, as it occurred in only 108 of 2364 games.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): UTEP-UTAH STATE 

CFB DK Betting Splits system #9: Since the start of the 2022 season, on games with totals of 49 or lower, 72%+ super majority handle bettors siding with the Under have gone 57-42 (56.7%). Because not many public bettors embrace betting Unders, this doesn’t produce a lot of plays, but the super handle majority has been sharp.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): RICE-LOUISIANA

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