This week on the PGA Tour marks the inaugural playing of the Cadillac Championship, which is being played at the famous Trump National Doral – Blue Monster Course. It won’t be the first-ever tournament played at Doral, but it will be the first time they’ve made a stop here since the 2016 WGC-Cadillac Championship. It also is the start of back-to-back weeks the PGA Tour will have Signature events, as we quickly approach the second major of the year in the PGA Championship. The Carolinas are represented well this week, as they are pretty much every week on tour, so let’s dive in to see how each guy is playing, and what kinds of odds they have this week. 

Tom Hoge

After some up-and-down starts for Tom Hoge, he has potentially found something. Alongside Billy Horschel last week at the Zurich Classic, they managed to place in a tie for 6th, which will hopefully build some momentum for Hoge the rest of the year. He has now made 7 of 12 cuts this season, and has 2 top 10s, as well as another top 25.

Stats-wise, not much has changed for Hoge, as he still struggles in just about every category outside of strokes gained approach. He has seen some progress in the putting department but really needs to work on his metrics off the tee. This week Hoge is currently +500 for a top 20 finish (including ties), +1600 for a top 10 finish (including ties), and +75000 to win outright. Given Doral is a bomber’s paradise, I think Hoge is going to have a hard time scoring this week.

Ben Griffin

Ben Griffin comes into this tournament making 75% of cuts in events he has played in this year. He has finally cracked the top 10 this year, coming last week in the Zurich Classic, and has 2 other top 25s, so he’s still looking for his first solo top 10.

This may not be the week he will do so, as he is currently 128th in strokes gained off the tee, losing 0.231 strokes to the tour average, and continues to struggle in strokes gained approach, losing 0.258 strokes to the tour average at 126th. He will need an impeccable week around the greens to have a chance, and he will still need the driver to be effective.

There’s decent optimism about him making a top 20 finish this week, as he is +135 (including ties), and sits at +390 for a top 10 finish (including ties). He isn’t too crazy of a long shot to win at +7000. You can also find a tournament-long prop where he is -120 against Jason Day.

Akshay Bhatia

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Last week Akshay Bhatia enjoyed the week off, following a T16 finish at the RBC Heritage. This season as a whole, he has managed to make 6 of 9 cuts, and has his 1 win, with 1 top 5, a top 10, and 3 other top 25s.

His kryptonite has been the tee ball, as that is the only strokes gained category where he has lost strokes to the tour average, as he ranks 100th, losing 0.059 strokes per round off the tee. He’s obviously playing well as a whole, as he’s gaining 1.515 strokes gained total, which ranks 7th on tour.

This week at Doral, he sits at even odds to finish in the top 20 (including ties), +270 to finish inside the top 10 (including ties), and is +4000 to win. He has an 18-hole matchup bet against Harris English, where he’s the underdog at -110 versus -125, as English has been significantly better off the tee, ranking 35th on tour in that strokes gained category. It will be interesting to see if the rest of Bhatia’s game can pick him up this week on such a long course.

Jacob Bridgeman

Jacob Bridgeman has already put together an impressive 2026 PGA Tour season, as he’s still perfect on cuts made, and has his 1 win, 2 top 5s, a top 10, and 4 additional top 25 finishes.

He’s gaining strokes in every strokes gained category, excluding strokes gained around the green, where he ranks 118th, losing 0.192 strokes per round to the field. He is now 4th in strokes gained total, as he has gained 1.740 strokes per round on the PGA Tour average.

We currently see him at -105 to finish in the top 20 (including ties), +270 to finish inside the top 10 (including ties), and +4000 to win. There are 2 matchup props for him, one being a full 72-hole match bet against Harris English, where he’s -110 compared to English’s -120, and he has an 18-hole match bet against Jordan Spieth where they’re both -112. I think this course could set up well for Bridgeman, so I expect him to put together a pretty solid week.

J.T. Poston

It has been a ho-hum season for J.T. Poston up to this point in the year, as he has made 6 of 9 cuts, and has just 1 top 25. He’s losing strokes to the PGA Tour average in every category except strokes gained off the tee, where he’s only gaining 0.001 strokes per round, which is 87th on tour.

In strokes gained total, he currently sits at 115th, which has him losing 0.350 strokes per round to the field average. Sportsbooks don’t have a super positive outlook on him this week, as he is +260 for a top 20 (including ties), +750 for a top 10 (including ties), and +15000 to win this week.

Given his inconsistencies this year, and his recent T60 finish in Harbour Town, I don’t see Poston making a ton of noise this week.

Lucas Glover

2026 continues to be a struggle for Lucas Glover, as he has made just 3 cuts in the 8 events he’s played in, some of which have been no-cut events. He has just 1 top 25 this year, which came back in early March at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Statistically, he is losing strokes in every strokes gained category, with the only category he is somewhat close to the tour average being strokes gained approach, where he is 114th, losing 0.195 per round. As for his strokes gained total, he is losing 1.280 strokes per round, which puts him at 151st on tour.

In the odds department, he is +550 for a top 20 (including ties), +1600 for a top 10 (including ties), and +75000 to win this week. The outlook obviously isn’t great for Glover, and until we see some improvement, he’s an easy fade this week.

Andrew Novak

Andrew Novak has had himself a steady 2026 season up to this point, as he has made 8 cuts in 12 events played. He cracked the top 10 again last week alongside Ben Griffin in the Zurich Classic, making it his second top 10 this year.

He has managed to record 2 other top 25 finishes this year as well, with a recent solo finish in a tie for 16th at the RBC Heritage. Novak is hovering around tour average in every strokes gained category and will need to improve off the tee this week to be competitive with some of the longer, straighter hitters in the field this week.

In the strokes gained total department, he ranks 97th, losing 0.111 strokes per round to the PGA Tour average. We see Novak at +195 for a top 20 (including ties), +550 for a top 10 (including ties), and +10000 to win this week. If he can simply find some more consistency off the tee this week, he should be pretty competitive come Sunday.

Ryan Gerard

Overall, 2026 has been a great year for Ryan Gerard, but as of late he hasn’t been quite as dominant as he was earlier on. His recent finishes include a T33 at the RBC Heritage, and a 34th finish last week at the Zurich Classic.

He still has 2 runner-up finishes with 2 additional top 25s this year and looks to get back on track this week. Gerard is still gaining strokes in every strokes gained category excluding strokes gained around the green, where he’s losing 0.249 strokes per round to the tour average.

In strokes gained total, he currently ranks 24th on tour, gaining 0.861 strokes per round on the tour average. We see Gerard at +130 for a top 20 (including ties), +390 for a top 10 (including ties), and +6500 to win.

If he’s able to control the driver like he has been, and have decent proximity to the hole this week, Gerard will have a fantastic opportunity to be in contention over the weekend.