Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies 6:40 PM ET

Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases (+104 per DraftKings)

Philadelphia is now coming off back-to-back series wins, and returns home after their 4-game series in Miami. Phillies star Bryce Harper has been a lot more consistent at the plate from mid-April to now, as his batting average is up to .271, which is close to his career average of .280.

Harper performed really well in the Marlins series as well, accumulating 5 hits in 15 at-bats, as well as 11 total bases. In the last 10 games, we’ve seen Harper go north of 1.5 total bases in 6 of those games, some of which were off of 1 hit, meaning he’s getting better contact and getting in the XBH column.

The Athletics will have Luis Severino on the mound today, who Harper has hit very well, with 2 homers in 5 ABs. Severino has been a little bit above his career average in the ERA department at 4.46 versus 3.94.

We will also see some high winds blowing out directly to center field in Citizens Bank Park, which is already the 7th most hitter friendly ballpark since 2024.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins 6:40 PM ET

Sandy Alcantara Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-115 per DraftKings)

Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara will be taking the mound tonight for the 8th time this season at home against the Baltimore Orioles. Alcantara has been really impressive thus far with a 3.04 ERA, 31 K’s, and a 1.16 WHIP.

Over his last 3 starts, we’ve seen him allow under 2.5 runs in 2 of the 3, and on the season he has only had 2 starts out of his 7 where he has been over the 2.5 earned runs allowed mark. Being that the Orioles are in the AL, the Marlins don’t play them too often, and a lot of guys in Baltimore’s lineup haven’t seen Alcantara before, and those that have haven’t been too effective against him.

Only one guy, Adley Rutschman, is batting over .300 against him, and that’s off of just 3 ABs. Pete Alonso has gone against Alcantara far and away the most, as he has 40 ABs against him, and he has a .150 average against him and a .569 OPS.

I fully expect Alcantara will keep the ball rolling on his 2026 campaign, and it will be a long night at the plate for Baltimore.

Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals 6:45 PM ET

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Washington Nationals Over 4.5 Runs (+105 per DraftKings)

You might look at this game and say, how could this possibly be a high-scoring game with the pitchers on the mound? On one end you have Taj Bradley, who currently has a 2.85 ERA this year, and Cade Cavalli on the other, who has a 3.82 ERA.

The first thing I see is the game total sitting at 9.5, indicating sportsbooks foresee a high number of runs. Secondly, I see relatively high temperatures in D.C., along with strong winds blowing out to center field.

The Nationals aren’t coming off their best series in the run-scoring department against the Brewers, but they have shown time and time again this year that they can score runs in bunches. Washington is currently tied for 6th in the entire MLB for runs scored this season at 180, which has them averaging 5.14 runs per game.

The Twins’ bullpen also has the 3rd-highest ERA in the MLB at 5.31, so if they can get Bradley out of the game relatively early, they will be in a great spot offensively in this one.

Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners 9:40 PM ET

Atlanta Braves Under 3.5 Runs (-115 per DraftKings)

Atlanta lost a hard-fought battle last night against the Seattle Mariners, and Game 2 has them facing stud George Kirby, who has been lights out at home this season. Kirby has an overall ERA of 3.00, which is already impressive, but has an incredible 2.84 ERA at home this season, only allowing batters a .228 batting average.

His numbers are even more impressive in night games this year, with a 2.70 ERA and allowing just a .188 batting average. Much of the Braves lineup has not played well against Kirby, outside of Sean Murphy, who does not appear to be playing tonight, as he just returned from his minor league assignment.

T-Mobile Park is also the 2nd-least hitter-friendly ballpark in the MLB since 2024, so I expect tonight to be a low-scoring affair.