The PGA Tour will be in Charlotte this week, as the Truist Championship takes place at Quail Hollow Club this Thursday through Sunday. This will be the first time this tournament will be under the Truist sponsorship in Charlotte, though last year the event was played in Philadelphia at the Philadelphia Cricket Club, where Sepp Straka picked up the win.

To nobody’s surprise, there are plenty of Carolinians in the field this week, many of whom are gearing up and fine-tuning parts of their game as they prepare for next week’s second major of the year. Let’s dive into each Carolinian in the field this week and see how they fare in the odds department.

Lucas Glover

We saw Lucas Glover put together easily his best tournament of the year last week at the Cadillac Championship, where he finished in a tie for 14th and closed with a strong final-round 67. That marked his second top-25 finish of the year, and his first since the beginning of March.

Since the strokes gained statistics utilize full-season performance, Glover still is not particularly strong in most categories. However, he has now climbed into positive territory in strokes gained approach, ranking 83rd while gaining 0.033 strokes per round on the Tour average with his iron play. That improvement could have a meaningful impact on the trajectory of the rest of his 2026 season.

Glover has played in this tournament 21 times, making the cut 14 times, though this week’s event has no cut. He has won the event once, along with 2 other top-5 finishes, 2 additional top-10s, and another 2 top-25 finishes.

As it currently stands, he is +410 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +1200 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +35000 to win this week. Given Glover’s experience at Quail Hollow and the momentum from last week, he could be in for another strong showing. It will just become difficult if he struggles off the tee on another long golf course.

Andrew Novak

Andrew Novak is not coming off a great week at the Cadillac Championship, finishing tied for 65th. The season as a whole has been fairly average, as he has 2 top-10 finishes and 2 additional top-25s.

He continues to be strong around the greens, gaining 0.175 strokes per round in that category, which ranks 50th on Tour, while also gaining 0.085 strokes gained approach. Overall, he currently ranks 106th in strokes gained total, losing 0.281 strokes per round to the field average.

This week will mark just the third time Novak has played in this event, where he has 1 top-25 finish and 1 missed cut. The top-25 came last season when the tournament was not played at Quail Hollow.

Novak currently sits at +310 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +950 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +17500 to win this week. Considering this is not a course Novak is overly familiar with, I’m not overly optimistic about his chances this week, though I still expect him to perform much better than he did last week.

J.T. Poston

The mediocre season continues for J.T. Poston, as last week we saw him finish tied for 49th at 3-under-par. Really, the only thing that prevented it from being a solid week was his third-round 78. That performance leaves him with only 1 top-25 finish this season.

Poston’s only positive strokes gained category is off the tee, which is not a bad category to excel in given the modern state of the game. If he can improve the short game even slightly, he should begin competing more consistently.

Poston has played in this tournament 8 times, making the cut in 5 of them. He has 1 top-10 finish and 2 additional top-25s. He also played well at Quail Hollow during last year’s PGA Championship, though the setup this week will be slightly different.

Poston currently sits at +220 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +650 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +12500 to win outright this week. It hasn’t been consistently bad golf that has plagued Poston this season — it has been a handful of disastrous rounds mixed into otherwise solid play. If he can simply avoid that one bad round, he could quickly turn this season around.

Tom Hoge

Tom Hoge did not build off the momentum from the Zurich Classic last week at the Cadillac Championship, as he finished over par in a tie for 62nd. On the season, Hoge has 2 top-10 finishes and 1 additional top-25 finish in 13 events played.

It remains the same story as in recent weeks, as Hoge’s only positive strokes gained category is approach play, where he gains just 0.043 strokes per round on the Tour average. He now ranks 139th in strokes gained total, losing 0.980 strokes per round to the field.

We have not seen Hoge play well in this tournament historically, as he does not have a single top-25 finish in 8 appearances. Hoge currently sits at +500 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +1600 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +50000 to win outright.

Unfortunately for Hoge, he does not hit the ball far enough to consistently thrive on a course like Quail Hollow, so this feels like a difficult setup for him once again.

Ryan Gerard

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Ryan Gerard has not quite maintained the same level of form he showed earlier in the season. That is not to say he has been playing poorly, because he certainly has not — he just has not been able to keep pace with the elite players in recent weeks.

Gerard still has 2 runner-up finishes this season, along with 2 additional top-25s. At the moment, the only strokes gained category where he is losing ground to the field is around the green, where he is losing 0.296 strokes per round. He currently ranks 28th in strokes gained total, gaining 0.779 strokes per round on the Tour average.

In the lone Truist Championship he played in Charlotte, Gerard missed the cut, though he did finish tied for 42nd last season in Philadelphia. This week, he currently sits at +145 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +460 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +7000 to win outright.

While he has not performed especially well in this tournament historically, he did record a top-10 finish at Quail Hollow during last year’s PGA Championship, which suggests the course could still suit his game well this week.

Akshay Bhatia

Last week, Akshay Bhatia put together a pretty solid showing at the Cadillac Championship, finishing tied for 23rd and adding to his season total of 7 top-25 finishes. He still has his 1 win on the year, along with another top-5 finish and 1 top-10.

Similarly to Ryan Gerard, Bhatia only has one major weakness statistically, which happens to be strokes gained off the tee. He currently ranks 124th on Tour in that category, losing 0.220 strokes per round to the field average. However, he remains 9th on Tour in strokes gained total, gaining 1.360 strokes per round overall.

This tournament has not historically been Bhatia’s best, though he has made the cut in 3 of his 4 appearances. We have yet to see him crack the top 25 at this event, however.

Bhatia currently sits at +130 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +370 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +6500 to win outright. He also has a 72-hole matchup against Gary Woodland where both players are listed at -112.

Unfortunately for Bhatia, the one strokes gained category where he struggles is arguably the most important skill set needed at Quail Hollow Club. Maybe he can grind out a top-20 finish, but overall, I would probably lean toward fading him this week.

Ben Griffin

Last week went really well for Ben Griffin, as he secured his first top-5 finish of the year with a solo 3rd-place finish. He also has 1 top-10 finish this season, along with 2 additional top-25s.

Griffin’s game relies heavily on his expertise around the greens and his putting ability, as he is not especially strong off the tee or with his irons compared to the rest of the Tour. He currently ranks 46th in strokes gained total, gaining 0.418 strokes per round on the field average.

His lone Truist Championship appearance at Quail Hollow resulted in a missed cut, though he did finish solo 8th at last year’s PGA Championship held at the same venue.

Griffin currently sits at -105 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +280 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +4000 to win outright. Given his recent form and previous success at Quail Hollow during the PGA Championship, there’s a solid case for him to put together another strong week here.

Jacob Bridgeman

Last week did not go especially well for Jacob Bridgeman, as he finished tied for 65th and over par at +2. Even so, he still has an impressive 8 top-25 finishes, 4 top-10s, 3 top-5s, and 1 win this season, which should still provide plenty of confidence moving forward.

Statistically, Bridgeman continues to gain strokes in every category except around the greens, where he is losing roughly 0.147 strokes per round to the field average. In strokes gained total, he currently ranks 8th on Tour, gaining 1.384 strokes per round overall.

Bridgeman has only played at Quail Hollow once, back in 2022, where he missed the cut. This week, he sits at +135 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +400 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +6500 to win outright.

Bridgeman has certainly shown he can compete with elite fields this season, though I do hesitate slightly given the dip in form we’ve seen over the last few weeks.

Webb Simpson

Webb Simpson has not been playing a full PGA Tour schedule in recent years, but this is still the tournament in his backyard. This season, he has made 2 of 5 cuts while recording 1 top-25 finish. He also has not played enough events to officially qualify for strokes gained statistics.

Simpson has played this tournament 14 times, making the cut in 9 appearances. While he has never won the event, he does have a runner-up finish, 2 top-5s, 2 top-10s, and 6 top-25 finishes here.

He currently sits at +450 for a top-20 finish (including ties), +1400 for a top-10 finish (including ties), and +35000 to win outright this week.

While Quail Hollow is essentially Simpson’s home course and primary practice facility, he simply has not played enough competitive golf recently to realistically contend with many of the top players on Tour right now.