The San Antonio Spurs travel to the Paycom Center for a massive Game 5 against the Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2025-26 Western Conference Finals. The Spurs just blew out the Thunder in Game 4, so they do enter this game with some momentum. Can Oklahoma City steal it back? Find out in our Spurs vs. Thunder betting preview. Also check out our VSiN NBA Playoffs Betting Hub for all of our NBA postseason content.

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have!

How To Watch Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5

When: 8:40 pm ET on Tuesday, May 26

Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Channel: NBC/Peacock

Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of 11:30 pm ET on Sunday, May 17

Moneyline: Thunder -180, Spurs +150

Spread: Thunder -4.5 (-115), Spur +4.5 (-105)

Total: Over 216.5 (-110), Under 216.5 (-110)

Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 Picks

Embed from Getty Images

The line movement in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals has been interesting. Oklahoma City was a 5.5-point favorite when this spread first became available. However, Tuesday morning, things changed pretty drastically. San Antonio is now a 4.5-point underdog, meaning this has moved through a key NBA number.

There’s no clear reason for the move. The Spurs are clearly taking money, but the injury report hasn’t changed. We already know Ajay Mitchell is out for the Thunder, while Jalen Williams is more on the doubtful end of questionable.

Heading into the game, it is a little hard not to lean towards the Oklahoma City side of things. Game 4 was brutal for the Thunder, as they lost by 21 points and shot a combined 6 for 33 from three. However, the Spurs aren’t changing the way they’re covering them. San Antonio is blitzing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, looking to get the ball out of his hands and make his teammates knock down open shots. In Game 4, the Oklahoma City role players weren’t able to do that. Jared McCain going 1 for 10 from the floor and 0 for 5 from deep was one of the standout poor performances, but it’s not like anyone else was much better. However, playing at the Paycom Center should give those shooters some confidence, so I’m expecting a bit of a bounceback performance. And we have already seen a few times that the Thunder offense can look remarkable when guys are doing their jobs.

If there’s any major difference from the last few games, it’s that the Thunder are missing some secondary creation. With no Mitchell or Williams, there’s too much pressure on Gilgeous-Alexander. That’s why it’s imperative that McCain is better in Game 5. But I’m just not too worried about that one performance. That was a game San Antonio had to have, and this still feels like a series that could easily be 3-1 in favor of OKC. That said, if you have to jump on a side tonight, I’d suggest playing the Thunder. Under Mark Daigneault, Oklahoma City is 2-1 both straight-up and against the spread in Game 5s. The team is also 44-28 ATS when coming off a game in which the group failed to score 100 or more points. The Thunder can be relied on to recover.

I do, however, have just one play I’d suggest making right now. That’s Isaiah Hartenstein to go Over 14.5 combined points and rebounds. Since looking unplayable in Game 1, Hartenstein is averaging 9.0 points per game and 9.3 rebounds per game over the last three contests. He has been much more reliable on both ends of the floor, and it’s hard to imagine Daigneault turning way from him with Chet Holmgren having failed to really look the part of a true No. 2 option. As long as Holmgren isn’t doing his job of spacing the Spurs out and making Victor Wembanyama guard away from the basket, Daigneault will have minutes for the tougher, more physical Hartenstein. And playing in Oklahoma City, Hartenstein should have a better whistle than he had in Game 4, when he picked up two fouls in the first quarter.

Once the injury report is solidified, I might revisit some things. If Gilgeous-Alexander is going to be the only reliable ball handler for the Thunder in this one, the Over on his assist total will be intriguing — and possibly worth laddering. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 10.0 assists per game in this series, which isn’t some kind of mistake. The Spurs are aggressively trapping and doubling him, so Gilgeous-Alexander has open teammates to find if he’s reading the game quick enough. Well, he has done exactly that through four games, so it might be worth looking at again.

Bet: Hartenstein Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)

The post Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 Pick: 2025-26 NBA Playoffs Predictions and Odds appeared first on VSiN.