Introduction

There were a lot of questions surrounding Joe Burrow’s effectiveness heading into last season, as he was coming off a season-ending wrist injury in 2023. Burrow not only answered those questions—he did so emphatically by putting together the best statistical season of his NFL career.

Of course, Burrow would prefer team success over individual accolades. You can be sure he’ll do everything in his power to ensure the Bengals are performing up to standard heading into the 2025 season.

Offensively, Burrow will benefit from two new additions to the offensive line, as well as the recent acquisition of tight end Noah Fant. Beyond that, he’ll still have his elite group of skill players—Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins on the outside, and Chase Brown in the backfield.

The question now is: Can Joe Burrow maintain this high level of play, or will he take a step back in the 2025 regular season?

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Player Prop Futures

Passing Yards

  • DraftKings: 4150.5 (over -120; under even)
  • ESPN Bet: 4000.5 (over -140; under +110)
  • FanDuel: 4200.5 (over -114; under -114)
  • Bet365: 4199.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • BetMGM: 4200.5 (over -110; under -110)

Passing Touchdowns

  • DraftKings: 33.5 (over -115; under -105)
  • ESPN Bet: 32.5 (over -120; under -110)
  • FanDuel: 33.5 (over -122; under -108)
  • Bet365: 33.5 (over -115; under -105)
  • BetMGM: 33.5 (over -120; under even)

The sportsbooks clearly believe Joe Burrow is poised for another incredible season in 2025. The best value for the over on Burrow’s passing yards can be found at ESPN Bet, though Bet365 and BetMGM offer slightly better odds. For the under, DraftKings presents the best value, despite offering 50 fewer yards as a buffer.

When it comes to passing touchdowns, ESPN Bet currently provides the best value on the over, while BetMGM offers the top value on the under.

In his statistically phenomenal season last year, Burrow threw for 4918 yards and a whopping 43 passing touchdowns. Over his first five seasons in the NFL, he has averaged 3800 passing yards and 28 touchdowns. However, it’s worth noting that two of those seasons were cut short by injury, with Burrow playing only 10 games each time. If you believe he’ll stay healthy for a full season, he should have no problem hitting the over on both his current yardage and touchdown projections.

Conclusion

The 2025 season feels like a make-or-break year for head coach Zac Taylor. Fortunately for him, he has one of the best—if not the best—quarterbacks in the NFL in Joe Burrow. Burrow certainly has a lot on his plate, but if he gets solid support from the offense around him and even modest improvement from the defense, the Bengals should be a legitimate contender in the AFC—and Burrow could be in for yet another incredible season.