Player props have become one of baseball’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value well beyond the moneyline, run line, or game total. Each day, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from strikeouts and hits to total bases and pitcher outs recorded — using matchup data, recent form, and betting trends to identify edges. Keep reading for the top MLB player prop picks for May 14. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the MLB, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.

MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!

Thursday Player Prop Best Bets

Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Thursday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record. I’ll write three up per day, but I’ll add additional ones in an “Additional Best Bets” section. I go lighter on baseball than I do other sports. My MLB units are 50% of what my normal units are.

Matt Olson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-118) vs. Cubs

Cubs at Braves – 7:15 pm ET

As long as Olson isn’t being priced outrageously, it’s hard to turn him down to go Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs (HRR). That’s especially true when the star is going up against right-handed starters. Well, it’ll be righty Ben Brown on the mound for the Cubs tonight. So, this is the type of matchup that Olson wants. Olson comes into this game having gone Over 1.5 HRR in 17 of the last 19 games he has played against right-handed starters. In that span, he’s averaging 3.3 HRR per game. Olson has also gone Over 1.5 HRR in each of the last 11 home games in which he has seen a righty starter, averaging 3.4 HRR per game in those games. At some point, the 32-year-old will cool down. But until then, we need to ride this gravy train.

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+120) vs. White Sox

Embed from Getty Images

Royals at White Sox – 7:40 pm ET

I haven’t had too much success playing the Over on 2.5 HRR this year, but it’s hard not to get involved with Witt tonight. Witt has had at least three HRR in seven of the last nine games, averaging 3.4 HRR per game in that span. On the year, Witt is batting .324 with a triple, four doubles, a homer, and four RBIs when facing left-handed pitching, and this is after a 2025 season in which he hit .328 and crushed southpaws. Witt is just extremely dangerous against lefties, and Anthony Kay isn’t exactly an intimidating one.

Kyle Tucker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100) vs. Giants

Giants at Dodgers – 10:10 pm ET

Tucker didn’t get off to too hot of a start for this Los Angeles team, but he has been pretty reliable at the plate recently. Over the last 19 games, Tucker has gone Over 1.5 HRR on 13 occasions. The lefty slugger is also averaging 2.1 HRR per game in that span, and it almost feels like there’s more Tucker can do. He hasn’t hit right-handed starting very well to start the year, but that’s bound to change very soon. This is a guy that has always crushed righties. Of course, Tucker has struggled against Landen Roupp, going 0 for 6 with three strikeouts against the righty. However, that’s still too small of a sample size to completely turn me off. This is a good price for a good hitter.

Additional Best Bets

Michael McGreevy Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-150 – 1.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 5+ (+133 – 0.5 units) & Alt Strikeouts 6+ (+285 – 0.25 units)

Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges

Check out the BRAND NEW OptaAI Player Props MLB pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.

Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-156) vs. Padres

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him going for 1.77 hits, runs, and RBIs, suggesting these odds should be -486 — a +22.0% edge to the Over.

Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases (+160) vs. Dodgers

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 2.01 total bases, suggesting these odds should be -147 — a +21.1% edge to the Over.

Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases (+152) vs. Brewers

Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 1.97 total bases, suggesting these odds should be -142 — a +19.0% edge to the Over.

The post Best MLB Player Props Today (May 14, 2026): Picks & Predictions appeared first on VSiN.