The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Saturday, June 6, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

Trend: MIN is 23-6 (+12.95 units) vs teams with a winning pct of <42% with starter Joe Ryan since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-157 vs KC)

* Heavy underdogs of +210 or more who lost their last game by only one run have gone 41-137 SU for -40.32 units (ROI: -22.7%) in the follow-up game since the start of the 2020 season.
System Match (FADE): LA ANGELS (+291 at LAD)

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Trend: Underdogs are on 18-5 (78.3%, +18.33 units) surge in SEA-DET h2h series
– The ROI on this trend is 79.7%
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+113 vs SEA)

MLB Bullpen Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.

Back teams with both a better SM bullpen rating AND starting pitcher rating if that team has an even or worse record
In the 2025 regular season, I found that teams with an even or worse record on the season but showing a better Steve Makinen Bullpen Rating AND starting pitcher rating have gone 207-139 for +48.41 units, and an ROI of +14.0%! The 2-year record on this angle is now 396-266 for +83.41 units and an ROI of 12.6%. This has proven to be a very good foundational angle to follow since the prices aren’t that high typically. It should be a part of your handicapping routine going forward. For 2026, these teams are off to a modest 111-85 start for -0.94 units and an ROI of -0.5%.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON (+104 at NYY)

STARTER/BULLPEN CORRELATION SYSTEMS

Teams with elite starting pitchers (SM rating higher than 25) and a NEGATIVE SM team bullpen rating in a game went 65-69 for -22.93 units when not matched up against similar in 2025. This represents an ROI of -17.1% and it stands as proof of my belief that the strength of a team’s bullpen HAS TO be accounted for in all games. This is a GO AGAINST angle, which can often prove as or more valuable than systems that suggest backing teams. For 2026, these teams are 17-15 for –2.20 units.
System Matches (SLIGHT FADE ALL): MINNESOTA (-157 vs KC), TAMPA BAY (-143 at MIA)

Teams with strong bullpens (SM rating of 10 or higher) and a poor starting pitcher with a SM rating of -10 or worse wound up 184-226 for -38.36 units for the season when not matched up against the same. This represents an ROI of -9.4%. This is another angle that shows that good bullpens are better support for good starting pitching. This is another GO AGAINST angle that does well. To start the 2026 season, these teams are again struggling, 36-57 for -25.49 units and an ROI of -27.4%!
System Matches (FADE ALL): PHILADELPHIA (-136 vs CWS), SAN DIEGO (+102 vs NYM)

Teams with poor bullpens (NEGATIVE SM rating) and a poor starting pitcher with a SM rating of -10 or worse went 148-267 for -34.71 units when not matched up against the same in 2025. This represented an ROI of -8.4%, another solid FADE angle! For 2026, they are off to a rare positive start, 72-86 for +8.77 units. This is lasting longer than I would expect.
System Matches (FADE ALL): HOUSTON (-120 vs ATH), WASHINGTON (+158 at AZ), COLORADO (+218 vs MIL), LA ANGELS (+291 at LAD)

BACK big favorites (-190 or more) with better bullpen ratings and winning percentage >=19% higher than opponent
A 2023 mid-season bullpen ratings discovery found that some big favorites do prove worthy of backing consistently, regardless of the high prices, because the games are absolute mismatches. After a 133-43 finish for +25 units in the 2025 season, this angle will take a 3-year record of 385-146 for +33.01 units (ROI 6.2%) into the 2026 campaign. The 2026 teams meeting this criteria are 30-17 but for -10.87 units so far.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE (-272 at COL), LA DODGERS (-375 vs LAA)

Better bullpen underdog teams were solid wagers all season long
Perhaps the most popular angle, a frequent and profitable system has arisen when the team with the better SM Bullpen Ratings played as an underdog (or pick em’). Money line underdog teams with better bullpen ratings for in the 2022-23 seasons were 701-790, but for +46.27 units. The 2024 season was below standards historically (lost -26.45 units), but we experienced a major bounce back in 2025, as the season record finished at 464-488 for +59.39 units, ROI +6.2%! The 2026 season is off to a slower start, 121-145 for -10.05 units.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): TORONTO (-110 vs BAL), MIAMI (+119 vs TB), ATHLETICS (-101 at HOU), BOSTON (+104 at NYY), CLEVELAND (-102 at TEX), SAN DIEGO (+102 vs NYM)

Worse bullpen teams continue to struggle in extending winning streaks
I have found that fading teams with a lesser SM bullpen ratings that were looking to extend winning streaks is also a strong strategy. In the 2023-2025 regular seasons, on 2-game winning streaks, the teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup have gone 648-696 for -59.7 units, an ROI of -4.4%. For 2026, they are off to a 79-92 start for -5.97 units. Worse bullpen teams on 3+ game winning streaks finished the L3 regular seasons with record of 293-318 for -26.2 units. ROI on that was -4.3%. This has been a very consistent angle historically, and the 2026 results so far show a record of 36-44 for -6.29 units and an ROI -7.9%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): 2-games – BALTIMORE (-110 at TOR), NY METS (-123 at SD)
3+ games – DETROIT (+109 vs SEA), SAN FRANCISCO (+135 at CHC)

MLB Extreme Stats Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing betting systems for teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game

“9” is a MAGIC RUN NUMBER for fading a team in the next game
Since 2018, doesn’t matter if the team is playing at home or on the road, if they scored 9 runs or more in the previous contest, they are posting a winning record at 2087-1974 (51.4%), but oddsmaker overpricing has resulted in a loss of -264.34 units. This represents an ROI of -6.5%, which is significant in the grand scheme of baseball daily betting.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAN FRANCISCO (+135 at CHC), BALTIMORE (-110 at TOR), ST LOUIS (-131 vs CIN), MILWAUKEE (-272 at COL), WASHINGTON (+134 at AZ)

ROAD TEAMS that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored 2 runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 2112-2687 (44%) for -271.57 units and an ROI of -5.7% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ATHLETICS (-101 at HOU), CLEVELAND (-102 at TEX), LA ANGELS (+291 at LAD)

Watch for HOME TEAMS that didn’t record an extra base hit
HOME TEAMS that failed to record an extra base hit in their previous game bounce back with a 636-528 (54.6%) record in the next contest when at home in that same time span. The profit there is +24.37 units, for an ROI of 2.1%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI (+119 vs TB), SAN DIEGO (+101 vs NYM)

Unusually poor pitching performances provide motivation for hosts
Home teams coming off unusually bad team pitching performances where they allowed 16 hits or more in a game are on a run of 341-304 (52.9%) for +22.34 units and an ROI of 3.5% since the start of the 2018 season.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CHICAGO CUBS (-156 vs SF), ARIZONA (-157 vs WSH)

Big underdogs after heartbreak fall flat
HEAVY UNDERDOGS of +210 or more who lost their last game by only one run have gone 41-137 SU for -40.32 units (ROI: -22.7%) in the follow-up game since the start of the 2020 season.
System Match (FADE): LA ANGELS (+291 at LAD)
When these teams are +220 or more, UNDER the total is 92-57-6 (61.7%) in their next game since the start of the 2020 season.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): LAA-LAD (o/u at 8.5)

MLB Streak Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays detail different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.

Losing Streak Betting System #7:
Teams that have lost their last four games but are getting reasonably good pitching during the skid have been solid wagers in game #5, as those that allowed 6.0 RPG or fewer during the streak are on a 300-313 run (+9.50 units, ROI: 1.5%).
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): SAN DIEGO (+102 vs NYM)

Today’s MLB Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: LA ANGELS +291 (+50 diff), SAN DIEGO +102 (+15)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: PHILADELPHIA -136 (+36 diff), ATLANTA -115 (+36)

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: MIL-COL OVER 10.5 (+0.7), SF-CHC OVER 7.5 (+0.5), PIT-ATL OVER 8 (+0.5), CLE-TEX OVER 7.5 (+0.5)

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: CIN-STL UNDER 9 (-0.5), CWS-PHI UNDER 10 (-0.5), WSH-AZ UNDER 9.5 (-0.5), ATH-HOU UNDER 9.5 (-0.5)

Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots

The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.

(901) CINCINNATI (31-31) at (902) ST LOUIS (33-28)
Trend: CIN is 22-16 (+7.92 units) vs teams with a winning record with starter Nick Lodolo in his career
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+108 at STL)

(903) SAN FRANCISCO (26-38) at (904) CHICAGO-NL (33-31)
Trend: CHC is 17-30 (-10.23 units) on the run line as a ML favorite this season
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO CUBS (-1.5 vs SF)

(905) PITTSBURGH (34-30) at (906) ATLANTA (43-21)
Trend: Under the total is 19-10-2 (+8.00 units) in ATL home games this season
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): PIT-ATL (o/u at 8)

(907) WASHINGTON (32-32) at (908) ARIZONA (33-30)
Trend: WSH is most profitable team in MLB on the ROAD this season (20-12 record, +16.66 units)
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+134 at AZ)

(911) NEW YORK-NL (28-35) at (912) SAN DIEGO (32-30)
Trend: NYM is 13-20 (-9.49 units) on the ROAD this season
Trend Match (FADE): NY METS (-123 at SD)

(913) SEATTLE (33-31) at (914) DETROIT (26-38)
Trend: SEA is 10-5 (+4.28 units) with starter Bryce Miller vs AL Central opponents in last few seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-136 at DET)

(915) KANSAS CITY (25-39) at (916) MINNESOTA (30-35)
Trend: Under the total is 18-7-1 (+10.30 units) when KC is a ML underdog this season
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): KC-MIN (o/u at 8.5)
Trend: MIN is 23-6 (+12.95 units) vs teams with a winning pct of <42% with starter Joe Ryan since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-157 vs KC)

(917) BALTIMORE (31-33) at (918) TORONTO (30-34)
Trend: BAL is 16-4 (+10.84 units) with starter Kyle Bradish against teams with a 47% or lower win pct in his career
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-110 at TOR)

(919) ATHLETICS (30-33) at (920) HOUSTON (29-36)
Trend: Over the total is 20-12-1 (+6.80 units) in HOU home games this season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): ATH-HOU (o/u at 9.5)

(921) BOSTON (27-35) at (922) NEW YORK-AL (37-26)
Trend: Ranger Suarez’s teams are 21-11 (+10.12 units) when he starts in line range -115 to +115 in L4+ seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON (+104 at NYY)

(923) CLEVELAND (36-29) at (924) TEXAS (31-32)
Trend: TEX is 10-19 (-9.02 units) when facing opponents with a >= 0.500 win pct with starter Jack Leiter since the start of the 2024 season
Trend Match (FADE): TEXAS (-118 vs CLE)

(927) TAMPA BAY (37-23) at (928) MIAMI (29-35)
Trend: Over the total is 19-5-3 (+13.50 units) when MIA is a ML underdog this season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): TB-MIA (o/u at 7.5)

Series #4: Seattle at Detroit, Fri 6/5-Sun 6/7
Trend: UNDERDOGS are on 18-5 (78.3%, +18.33 units) surge in SEA-DET h2h series
– The ROI on this trend is 79.7%
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+113 vs SEA)

Series #9: Kansas City at Minnesota, Thu 6/4-Sun 6/7
Trend: HOME TEAMS in the Royals-Twins AL Central rivalry are on a 41-15 (73.2%, +25.08 units) run in head-to-head play.
– The ROI on this trend is 44.8%
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-157 vs KC)

Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the 2023/2024 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:30 a.m. ET. These can AND WILL change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.

As a general rule, acknowledging the approximate -8.5% 3-year returns on all side majorities, and -3.4% on total majorities, if adopting the use of the betting splits this season, opt to fade majorities unless shown otherwise in one of the systems below to be a profitable follow angle.

DK MLB Betting Splits system #1: When 90% or more of the handle was on the HOME side of an MLB money line wager since the beginning of the 2023 season, this “super” majority group has fared quite well, going 282-127 (68.9%) for +27.68 units and an ROI of +6.8%. This obviously beats the overall majority handle ROI return by over 15%. If you see 90% or more of the handle backing a host in a MLB game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MINNESOTA, HOUSTON, LA DODGERS, SAN DIEGO

DK MLB Betting Splits system #3: Similarly to #2, Majority handle groups have been steady when not TOO MANY of them hop on an UNDERDOG side since the beginning of the 2024 season, and in fact, the benchmark was 51-66%. These groups have gone 289-312 (48.1%) for a very minimal -1.8 units loss and an ROI of -0.3%. This represents an improvement of 8.2% on the overall numbers, and gives bettors a chance to stay afloat when they go against the grain.
System Matches (CONSIDER ALL): CINCINNATI, BOSTON

DK MLB Betting Splits system #4: Majority handle bettors have been sound over the last three seasons when getting behind huge HOME FAVORITES of -250 or higher. This group is 300-89 (77.1%) for +40 units and an ROI of 10.3%. This is a nice rate of return and a tremendous winning percentage, but with prices like this, things can turn fast so consider the risk when backing.
System Match (PLAY): LA DODGERS

DK MLB Betting Splits system #5: For as good as Majority handle bettors have been on huge home favorites since the beginning of last season, they are equally as bad on heavy ROAD FAVORITES of -200 or higher. This group is 156-81 (65.8%) for -37.06 units and an ROI of -15.6%. This has proven to be a brutal way to drain a bankroll quickly.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE

DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in INTERLEAGUE GAMES since the start of 2023, going 1074-957 (52.9%) but for -215.64 units and an ROI of -10.6%. This is over two full percentage points worse for return on a huge sample of games and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Matches (FADE ALL): PHILADELPHIA, TAMPA BAY, LA DODGERS

DK MLB Betting Splits system #7: There has been a unique system that has developed since the start of last season when majority handle betting groups backed HOME FAVORITES with LESS WINS on the season. This is a terrible scenario for bettors, as they are just 360-329 (52.2%) for -118.41 units and an atrocious ROI of -17.2%. There’s a lot of common sense to this not doing well, since lesser team is being favored just because it is at home or has a better starting pitcher working.
System Matches (FADE ALL): HOUSTON, TEXAS

Team Specific Momentum Building/Letdown Angles

The following trends and qualifying plays are from the article entitled MLB post-rivalry series betting opportunities

NO QUALIFYING MOMENTUM ANGLES TODAY (next couple Monday, June 8)

The post Steve Makinen’s MLB Picks from Betting Splits and Systems for Saturday, June 6 appeared first on VSiN.