The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Wednesday, June 3, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

Trend: Patrick Corbin’s teams are 1-13 (-12.40 units) in his last 14 starts vs Atlanta
Trend Match (FADE): TORONTO (+123 at ATL)

Teams on winning streaks of 5 games or more and winning fewer than 50% of their games on the season have gone 79-67 (+15.93 units, ROI: 10.9%) in their last 146 tries to extend streaks.
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS (-105 at STL)

Trend: PHI is 26-2 (+22.13 units) at home against teams with a <= 0.560 win pct with starter Cristopher Sanchez since the start of the 2024 season
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-219 vs SD)

MLB Bullpen Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.

Back teams with both a better SM bullpen rating AND starting pitcher rating if that team has an even or worse record
In the 2025 regular season, I found that teams with an even or worse record on the season but showing a better Steve Makinen Bullpen Rating AND starting pitcher rating have gone 207-139 for +48.41 units, and an ROI of +14.0%! The 2-year record on this angle is now 396-266 for +83.41 units and an ROI of 12.6%. This has proven to be a very good foundational angle to follow since the prices aren’t that high typically. It should be a part of your handicapping routine going forward. For 2026, these teams are off to a modest 106-83 start for -3.51 units and an ROI of -1.9%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI (-112 at WSH), BOSTON (-156 vs BAL), TEXAS (-105 at STL), LA ANGELS (-157 vs COL)

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STARTER/BULLPEN CORRELATION SYSTEMS

Teams with elite starting pitchers (SM rating higher than 25) and a NEGATIVE SM team bullpen rating in a game went 65-69 for -22.93 units when not matched up against similar in 2025. This represents an ROI of -17.1% and it stands as proof of my belief that the strength of a team’s bullpen HAS TO be accounted for in all games. This is a GO AGAINST angle, which can often prove as or more valuable than systems that suggest backing teams. For 2026, these teams are 16-14 for –1.58 units.
System Match (SLIGHT FADE): CINCINNATI (-163 vs KC)

Teams with strong bullpens (SM rating of 10 or higher) and a poor starting pitcher with a SM rating of -10 or worse wound up 184-226 for -38.36 units for the season when not matched up against the same. This represents an ROI of -9.4%. This is another angle that shows that good bullpens are better support for good starting pitching. This is another GO AGAINST angle that does well. To start the 2026 season, these teams are again struggling, 35-51 for -19.52 units and an ROI of -22.7%!
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAN DIEGO (+179 at PHI), MILWAUKEE (-156 vs SF), CHICAGO CUBS (-136 vs ATH)

Teams with poor bullpens (NEGATIVE SM rating) and a poor starting pitcher with a SM rating of -10 or worse went 148-267 for -34.71 units when not matched up against the same in 2025. This represented an ROI of -8.4%, another solid FADE angle! For 2026, they are off to a rare positive start, 70-84 for +8.19 units. This is lasting longer than I would expect.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ST LOUIS (-115 vs TEX), COLORADO (+130 at LAA)

Fade better bullpen overpriced favorites of -190 or higher when win percentage difference of teams is <19%
In the last three regular seasons in which the team with the Steve Makinen better rated bullpen was listed as a favorite of -190 or higher and had a winning percentage less than 19% higher than the opponent, that team has owned a 427-241 record, but for -131.5 units. This has been an ROI of -19.7%! The 2025 record was 120-59 for -13.3 units. The 2026 record so far is 27-12 for -1.20 units.
System Match (FADE): LA DODGERS (-198 at AZ)

Better bullpen underdog teams were solid wagers all season long
Perhaps the most popular angle, a frequent and profitable system has arisen when the team with the better SM Bullpen Ratings played as an underdog (or pick em’). Money line underdog teams with better bullpen ratings for in the 2022-23 seasons were 701-790, but for +46.27 units. The 2024 season was below standards historically (lost -26.45 units), but we experienced a major bounce back in 2025, as the season record finished at 464-488 for +59.39 units, ROI +6.2%! The 2026 season is off to a slower start, 115-138 for -9.98 units
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): SAN DIEGO (+179 at PHI), DETROIT (+123 at TB), CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+124 at MIN), CLEVELAND (+129 at NYY), KANSAS CITY (+135 at CIN), TEXAS (-105 at STL)

Worse bullpen teams continue to struggle in extending winning streaks
I have found that fading teams with a lesser SM bullpen ratings that were looking to extend winning streaks is also a strong strategy. In the 2023-2025 regular seasons, on 2-game winning streaks, the teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup have gone 648-696 for -59.7 units, an ROI of -4.4%. For 2026, they are off to a 77-88 start for -3.82 units. Worse bullpen teams on 3+ game winning streaks finished the L3 regular seasons with record of 293-318 for -26.2 units. ROI on that was -4.3%. This has been a very consistent angle historically, and the 2026 results so far show a record of 35-43 for -6.29 units and an ROI -8.1%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): 2-games – MINNESOTA (-149 vs CWS), COLORADO (+130 at LAA)
3-games – BALTIMORE (+129 at BOS)

Worse bullpen teams can fall into lengthy losing streaks
Around midseason of 2025, I went back and found that teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup and having lost at least their last three games had prove+n to be a nice FADE system. For the full 2025 campaign, they wound up 195-269 for -29.1 units, an ROI of -6.3%. We will continue to track this angle in 2026, and it is now 62-72 for -2.49 units.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (+123 at ATL)

MLB Series Systems

The following systems are from an article posted on April 3, 2025 regarding MLB game-by-game betting, particularly the first and last games of a series.

MLB Series Betting System #2: Teams wrapping up a series and riding at least a 3-game losing streak are 436-462 but for +25.06 units and an ROI of 2.8% since the start of the 2022 season
System Match (PLAY): LA ANGELS (-157 vs COL)

MLB Series Betting System #5: Road underdogs of +101 to +187 have been a VERY good investment in the final game of a series if ending a road trip, going 382-423 but for +94.21 units and an ROI of 11.7% since the start of the 2022 season
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT (+123 at TB), COLORADO (+130 at LAA)

MLB Extreme Stats Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing betting systems for teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game

Home teams off blowout losses are solid bets to rebound versus that same opponent
Teams playing at home against the same team after a blowout loss of 7 runs or more have been solid wagers over the last 7+ seasons, going 452-434 (51%) for +19.29 units of profit. This represents an ROI of 2.2%.
System Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-149 vs DET)

“9” is a magic run number for fading a team in the next game
Since 2018, it doesn’t matter if the team is playing at home or on the road, if they scored 9 runs or more in the previous contest, they are posting a winning record at 2083-1971 (51.4%), but oddsmaker overpricing has resulted in a loss of -265.25 units. This represents an ROI of -6.5%, which is significant in the grand scheme of baseball daily betting.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CLEVELAND (+129 at NYY), PITTSBURGH (-156 at HOU)

Road teams that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored 2 runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 2106-2682 (44%) for -273.13 units and an ROI of -5.7% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAN DIEGO (+182 at PHI), ATHLETICS (+113 at CHC)

Watch for home teams that didn’t record an extra-base hit
Home teams that failed to record an extra-base hit in their previous game bounce back with a 636-526 (54.7%) record in the next contest when at home in that same time span. The profit there is +26.75 units, for an ROI of 2.3%.
System Match (PLAY): CHICAGO CUBS (-136 vs ATH)

MLB Streak Systems

The following systems and qualifying plays detail different systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.

Winning Streak Betting System #2:
Strangely, teams on winning streaks of 5 games or more and winning fewer than 50% of their games on the season have been the better investment than winning teams, as they are 79-67 (+15.93 units, ROI: 10.9%) in their last 146 tries to extend streaks.
System Match (PLAY): TEXAS (-105 at STL)

Winning Streak Betting System #3:
The teams with some of the best value in looking to extend winning streaks are actually those that don’t score a lot of runs, typically. Teams on winning streaks of 5 games and scoring less than 4.5 RPG are 189-154 (+13.38 units, ROI: 3.9%) since the start of the 2021 season.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SEATTLE (-149 vs NYM), TEXAS (-105 at STL)

Winning Streak Betting System #10:
Oddly, teams that score the most runs per game are the best to fade to see their 4-game winning streak reach five. Teams scoring 5.0 or more runs per game and riding a 4-game winning streak are just 164-159 (-59.86 units, ROI: -18.5%) in the next contest since the start of the 2021 season.
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (-156 at HOU)

Today’s MLB Strength Ratings

The following MLB betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Match: SAN DIEGO +179 (+24 diff)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: ATLANTA -149 (+29 diff), LA ANGELS -157 (+29), MINNESOTA -149 (+15)

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: MIA-WSH OVER 8 (+0.9), TOR-ATL OVER 8 (+0.5), COL-LAA OVER 8.5 (+0.5)

Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
Ratings Matches: CWS-MIN UNDER 9 (-0.9), DET-TB UNDER 8.5 (-0.8), LAD-AZ UNDER 9 (-0.5)

Team/Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots

The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s teams and starting pitchers have performed in similar spots.

(951) MIAMI (28-34) at (952) WASHINGTON (31-31)
Trend: MIA is 2-14 (-14.36 units) on the run line vs LH starters this season
Trend Match (FADE): MIAMI (-1.5 at WSH)

(953) SAN DIEGO (32-27) at (954) PHILADELPHIA (31-29)
Trend: Walker Buehler’s teams have an 0-5 record when facing Philadelphia in his career
Trend Match (FADE): SAN DIEGO (+184 at PHI)
Trend: PHI is 26-2 (+22.13 units) at home against teams with a <= 0.560 win pct with starter Cristopher Sanchez since the start of the 2024 season
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-219 vs SD)

(955) SAN FRANCISCO (23-38) at (956) MILWAUKEE (37-21)
Trend: Under the total is 19-11-2 (+6.90 units) when SF is a ML underdog this season
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SF-MIL (o/u at 8)
Trend: San Francisco has a 6-1 record vs Milwaukee with starter Logan Webb in his career
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (+129 at MIL)

(957) LOS ANGELES-NL (39-22) at (958) ARIZONA (32-28)
Trend: AZ is 19-5 (+12.07 units) in the last 24 Home Divisional starts by Zac Gallen
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA (+162 vs LAD)

(959) DETROIT (24-38) at (960) TAMPA BAY (36-22)
Trend: DET is 10-24 (-16.43 units) in road games this season
Trend: TB is 21-8 (+10.72 units) in home games this season
Trends Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-149 vs DET)

(961) CHICAGO-AL (32-29) at (962) MINNESOTA (29-33)
Trend: Erick Fedde’s teams are 3-18 (-14.83 units) in his last 21 starts as a road underdog
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+124 at MIN)

(963) BALTIMORE (29-32) at (964) BOSTON (25-34)
Trend: Chris Bassitt’s teams are 17-20 (-4.90 units) in his last 37 starts vs AL East opponents
Trend Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (+129 at BOS)

(965) CLEVELAND (35-27) at (966) NEW YORK-AL (36-24)
Trend: Gerrit Cole’s teams are 34-6 (+18.40 units) when he starts vs AL Central opponents in the last 6+ seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): NY YANKEES (-156 vs CLE)

(967) NEW YORK-NL (26-35) at (968) SEATTLE (33-29)
Trend: Under the total is 20-10-1 (+9.00 units) in NYM road games this season
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYM-SEA (o/u at 7)
Trend: SEA is 12-22 (-8.16 units) on the run line in home games this season
Trend Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-1.5 vs NYM)

(969) KANSAS CITY (23-38) at (970) CINCINNATI (31-29)
Trend: KC is 7-17 (-9.19 units) as a ML underdog this season
Trend Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (+135 at CIN)

(971) TORONTO (29-32) at (972) ATLANTA (41-20)
Trend: Patrick Corbin’s teams are 1-13 (-12.40 units) in his last 14 starts vs Atlanta
Trend Match (FADE): TORONTO (+123 at ATL)
Trend: ATL is 4-10 (-12.98 units) versus non-divisional teams with a losing record with starter Grant Holmes since the start of the 2024 season
Trend Match (FADE): ATLANTA (-149 vs TOR)

(973) TEXAS (30-31) at (974) ST LOUIS (31-28)
Trend: STL is 5-9 (-6.72 units) as a home favorite with starter Andre Pallante since the start of the 2024 season
Trend Match (FADE): ST LOUIS (-115 vs TEX)
Trend: Over the total is 11-6-2 (+4.45 units) when STL faces AL opponents with starter Andre Pallante since the start of the 2024 season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): TEX-STL (o/u at 8)

(975) ATHLETICS (29-31) at (976) CHICAGO-NL (32-29)
Trend: CHC is 17-28 (-8.23 units) on the run line as a ML favorite this season
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO CUBS (-1.5 vs ATH)

(977) PITTSBURGH (33-28) at (978) HOUSTON (27-35)
Trend: Over the total is 25-16 (+7.40 units) when PIT is a ML favorite this season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PIT-HOU (o/u at 8)

Series #23: Toronto at Atlanta, Tue 6/2-Thu 6/4
Trend: ATLANTA is 5-13 (27.8%, -11.44 units) in the last 18 games against Toronto (since mid-2020)
– The ROI on this trend is -63.6%
Trend Match (FADE): ATLANTA (-149 vs TOR)

Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the 2023/2024 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:45 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.

As a general rule, acknowledging the approximate -8.5% 3-year returns on all side majorities, and -3.4% on total majorities, if adopting the use of the betting splits this season, opt to fade majorities unless shown otherwise in one of the systems below to be a profitable follow angle.

DK MLB Betting Splits system #1: When 90% or more of the handle was on the home side of an MLB money line wager since the beginning of the 2023 season, this “super” majority group has fared quite well, going 282-127 (68.9%) for +27.68 units and an ROI of +6.8%. This obviously beats the overall majority handle ROI return by over 15%. If you see 90% or more of the handle backing a host in an MLB game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-149 vs TOR)

DK MLB Betting Splits system #3: Similarly to #2, Majority handle groups have been steady when not too many of them hop on an underdog side since the beginning of the 2024 season, and in fact, the benchmark was 51-66%. These groups have gone 289-312 (48.1%) for a very minimal -1.8 units loss and an ROI of -0.3%. This represents an improvement of 8.2% on the overall numbers and gives bettors a chance to stay afloat when they go against the grain.
System Match (CONSIDER): TEXAS (-105 at STL)

DK MLB Betting Splits system #5: For as good as majority handle bettors have been on huge home favorites since the beginning of last season, they are equally as bad on heavy road favorites of -200 or higher. This group is 156-81 (65.8%) for -37.06 units and an ROI of -15.6%. This has proven to be a brutal way to drain a bankroll quickly.
System Match (FADE): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR LA DODGERS at AZ (-198 CURRENTLY)

DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors have been at their worst overall in interleague games since the start of 2023, going 1074-957 (52.9%) but for -215.64 units and an ROI of -10.6%. This is over two full percentage points worse for return on a huge sample of games and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SEATTLE, CINCINNATI, ATLANTA, TEXAS, CHICAGO CUBS, PITTSBURGH, LA ANGELS

DK MLB Betting Splits system #7: There has been a unique system that has developed since the start of last season when majority handle betting groups backed home favorites with fewer wins on the season. This is a terrible scenario for bettors, as they are just 360-329 (52.2%) for -118.41 units and an atrocious ROI of -17.2%. There’s a lot of common sense to this not doing well, since lesser team is being favored just because it is at home or has a better starting pitcher working.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MINNESOTA (-149 vs CWS), PHILADELPHIA (-224 vs SD), BOSTON (-156 vs BAL), LA ANGELS (-157 vs COL)

DK MLB Betting Splits system #10: Over the last season-and-a-half, the average posted total in MLB games has been just about 8.5. In games with posted totals higher than that (9 or higher), majority bettors have done quite well when they’ve had the discipline to opt for Under the total. This group has gone 356-320 (52.6%) since the start of the 2023 season for +26.1 units and an ROI of +3.9%. This is again another rare positive spot for a high volume of games, and of course, is built on the foundation of going against the grain.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): BAL-BOS (o/u at 9), LAD-AZ (o/u at 9)

Team Specific Momentum Building/Letdown Angles

The following MLB betting trends and qualifying plays are from the article entitled MLB post-rivalry series betting opportunities

NO QUALIFYING MOMENTUM ANGLES TODAY (next couple Friday, June 5)

The post Steve Makinen’s MLB Picks from Betting Splits and Systems for Wednesday, June 3 appeared first on VSiN.