Today we kick off the weekend with a loaded 15 game MLB slate to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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3:07 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays (-185, 8)

The Blue Jays (17-21) won last night’s series opener 2-0, taking care of business as -165 home favorites.

In this late afternoon rematch, the Angels (15-24) start righty Jack Kochanowicz (2-1, 3.05 ERA) and the Blue Jays tap fellow righty Trey Yesavage (1-1, 0.96 ERA).

This line opened with Toronto listed as a -165 home favorite and Los Angeles a +145 road dog.

Sharps have laid the wood with the Blue Jays at home, driving Toronto up from -165 to -185.

At DraftKings, the Blue Jays are taking in 83% of moneyline bets and 87% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, Toronto is receiving only 25% of moneyline bets but a whopping 99% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a “low bets, higher dollars” sharp bet split in favor of the home chalk, especially the wiseguys in the desert.

When both teams are below .500, as is the case here, the home favorite coming off a win who made the playoffs the previous season, like Toronto here, has gone 46-21 (69%) with a 13% ROI since 2025.

Toronto has additional correlative and betting system value as a non-division favorite in a low total game (8), with the lack of familiarity and fewer amount of expected runs scored traditionally benefiting the “better” team who is expected to win.

The Angels are 0-4 in Kochanowicz’s last four starts. He has a 4.18 ERA on the road and a 6.10 ERA in the day compared to a 1.53 ERA at home and a 2.03 ERA at night.

Toronto is 11-8 at home. Los Angeles is 7-14 on the road.

6:10 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians (-120, 8)

The Guardians (21-19) won last night’s series opener 6-4, cashing as -150 home favorites.

In tonight’s rematch, the Twins (16-23) send out righty Joe Ryan (2-3, 3.72 ERA) and the Guardians tap fellow righty Tanner Bibee (0-5, 4.58 ERA).

This line opened at roughly a pick’em, with both sides listed around -110 odds.

Sharps have jumped on the Guardians at a coin flip price, pushing Cleveland up from -110 to -120.

At DraftKings, the Guardians are receiving 60% of moneyline bets but a hefty 89% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split signaling slight public support but also heavy smart money in their favor.

Cleveland offers correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win.

Saturday home favorites off a win, like the Guardians here, are 22-12 (65%) with a 6% ROI this season.

Bibee has a 1.66 ERA at home compared to 8.15 on the road. On the other hand, Ryan has a 4.64 ERA on the road compared to 2.60 at home.

The Guardians have the better bullpen as well, sporting a team ERA of 4.22 compared to 5.81 for the Twins (2nd worst in MLB).

Cleveland is 10-7 at home. Minnesota is 6-13 on the road.

9:10 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers (-170)

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The Dodgers (24-14) took last night’s series opener 3-1, coming through as -115 home favorites.

In tonight’s rematch, the Braves (26-13) hand the ball to Spencer Strider (0-0, 8.10 ERA) while the Dodgers counter with lefty Blake Snell, who is making his 2026 debut after going 5-4 with a 2.35 ERA in 2025.

This line opened with Los Angeles listed as low as a -125 home favorite and Atlanta a +105 road dog.

Once the pitching matchup was confirmed with Snell making his season debut, we saw the Dodgers shoot up from -125 to -170.

At Circa, Los Angeles is taking in only 33% of moneyline bets but 54% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp contrarian split in their favor from the wiseguys in the desert.

Pro money has also come down in favor of the Dodgers run-line (-1.5 at +115), with Los Angeles taking in 57% of spread bets and 85% of spread dollars at DraftKings.

Saturday home favorites off a win, like the Dodgers here, are 22-12 (65%) with a 6% ROI this season.

Los Angeles has excelled in this spot, going 81-39 (68%) with a 14% ROI as a home favorite priced -175 or less since 2022.

The Dodgers have additional betting system value as a non-division favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the “better” team who is expected to win.

The post Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Saturday May 9th appeared first on VSiN.