Today we have a loaded slate of MLB action on tap with 15 games to choose from. Let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of matchups using our VSiN MLB Betting Splits, which are updated every 5 minutes and come directly from DraftKings and Circa Sports.

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6:40 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays (-125, 7)

The Rays (22-12) won last night’s series opener 5-1, taking care of business as -130 home favorites.

In tonight’s rematch, the Blue Jays (16-19) hand the ball to righty Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.10 ERA) and the Rays counter with fellow righty Drew Rasmussen (2-1, 2.64 ERA).

This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a -120 home favorite and Toronto a +100 road dog.

Sharps have once again come down in favor of the Rays laying short chalk at home, driving Tampa Bay up from -120 to -125, with a few other shops touching -130.

At Circa, the Rays are receiving 70% of moneyline bets and 80% of moneyline dollars, a “low bets, higher dollars” Pro and Joe bet split in their favor from the Vegas sharps.

We’ve also seen smart money back Tampa Bay on the run-line (-1.5 at +165), as the Rays are taking in 44% of spread bets but a hefty 81% of spread dollars at DraftKings.

The Rays have correlative betting system value as a favorite in a low total game (7), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the “better” team who is expected to win.

Gausman has a 4.86 ERA on the road compared to 1.88 at home. Meanwhile, Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA at home compared to a 3.86 ERA on the road.

Tampa Bay is 12-4 at home and 12-6 in night games. Toronto is 6-11 on the road and 8-10 in night games.

7:05 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers at New York Yankees (-125, 8.5)

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The Rangers (16-18) just dropped two of three against the Tigers, losing the series finale 7-1 as +100 road dogs. On the other hand, the Yankees (24-11) just swept the Orioles in a four-game series, winning the finale 12-1 as -240 home favorites.

In tonight’s series opener, the Rangers tap righty Jacob deGrom (2-1, 2.01 ERA) and the Yankees go with fellow righty Elmer Rodriguez (0-1, 4.50 ERA).

This line opened with New York listed as a -120 home favorite and Texas a +100 road dog.

Sharps have jumped on the Bronx Bombers laying short chalk at home, pushing New York up from -120 to -125 or even -130 across the market.

At Circa, the Yankees are taking in 80% of moneyline bets and a whopping 97% of moneyline dollars, a notable “low bets, higher dollars” sharp split in their favor from the desert wiseguys.

Pro money has also backed the Yankees on the run-line (-1.5 at +170), as New York is receiving 74% of spread bets and 85% of spread dollars at DraftKings.

The Yankees offer betting system value as a non-division favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the “better” team who is expected to win.

New York has a sizable edge at the plate, posting a .338 OBP, .453 slugging percentage and 192 runs scored compared to Texas posting a .313 OBP, .373 slugging percentage and only 127 runs scored.

The Yankees are 12-5 at home and 16-5 in night games. The Rangers are 9-10 on the road and 10-11 in night games.

9:40 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks (-130, 9)

The Pirates (19-16) just swept the Reds, winning the series finale 1-0 as -125 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks (16-17) just got swept by the Cubs, dropping the series finale 8-4 as +130 road dogs.

In tonight’s series opener, the Pirates start righty Bubba Chandler (1-3, 4.97 ERA) and the Diamondbacks rebuttal with lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (2-0, 3.03 ERA).

This line opened with Arizona listed as a -120 home favorite and Pittsburgh a +100 road dog.

Sharps have gotten down on the Snakes laying short chalk in the desert, pushing Arizona up from -120 to -130, with some shops reaching as high as -135.

At DraftKings, Arizona is taking in 54% of moneyline bets and 65% of moneyline dollars. At Circa, the Snakes are receiving only 43% of moneyline bets but a lopsided 97% of moneyline dollars. Both books are showing a sharp “low bets, higher dollars” split in favor of the Diamondbacks, especially the pros in Vegas.

When both teams are coming off a day off, as is the case here, the home favorite is 26-13 (67%) with a 12% ROI this season and 122-70 (64%) with a 4% ROI since 2025.

Arizona has buy-low value as a short favorite who just got swept against a sell-high dog who just swept their opponent.

Pittsburgh is 1-4 in Chandler’s last five starts. He has posted a 5.84 ERA in those past five starts. He has a 5.93 ERA on the road compared to 4.11 at home.

On the other hand, Arizona is 4-0 in Rodriguez’s last four starts.

The Diamondbacks are hitting .262 at home (7th best in MLB) and the Pirates are hitting .212 on the road (28th).

The post Top Picks from the MLB Betting Splits for Tuesday May 5th appeared first on VSiN.