The 2025-26 NBA Playoffs should deliver some memorable moments, and we’re going to work hard to make them as profitable as possible for all of our VSiN subscribers. So, make sure you head over to the VSiN NBA Playoffs Betting Hub for all of our postseason content. I’ll continue giving out NBA best bets and player props here throughout the playoffs, and I’ll also occasionally write up features on anything big that shakes up the league. So, make sure you check out my work over the next couple of weeks. With that out of the way, let’s get into some NBA best bets and NBA player props for Saturday, April 25. Also, make sure you check out the picks page (linked right below) before games tip off. I occasionally add picks throughout the day. That’s also where you’ll get picks from my talented VSiN colleagues.
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Game 3: Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic – 1:00 pm ET
Jalen Suggs is averaging 17.5 points per game through two games in this series. I can’t quite say I see him flirting with 20 points again here, but he’s a fearless player that will enjoy playing a massive game at home. This season, when playing in home games with lines of +5 to -5, Suggs is averaging 14.8 points per game. That’s a little over this game’s total of 13.5. Also, Suggs is likely going to play close to 35 minutes in this game, which is significant with him having played only 27.6 minutes per game during the regular season. All year long, Suggs was dealing with on-and-off injuries, and Anthony Black did a good job of filling in for him. However, with this being a massive postseason game, the training wheels are off. Suggs should see a heavy workload here, making his point total of 13.5 seem a little low. I’m going Over.
Another Over I’m playing in this game is Tobias Harris’ combined points and rebounds total of 20.5. Harris isn’t the most efficient scorer in the world — especially in a postseason setting — but he’s the second-best bucket-getter on this Pistons team. So, for better or worse, the big combo forward is going to get a good amount of shots up in this game. That should make Harris a threat to score 15 to 20 points. I also like Harris to make his mark on the glass, as he’s averaging 8.5 rebounds per game on 14.0 rebound chances per game in the series.
One last prop I like here? Ausar Thompson Over 5.5 Rebounds. This hasn’t been the best series for the youngster thus far, as he’s having trouble impacting games without being a legitimate floor-spacing threat. However, Thompson is averaging 7.5 rebounds per game thus far, and he’s doing so on 12.0 rebound chances per game. He is doing some of the dirty work for Detroit, and I think that will travel as the series moves to Florida.
Bet: Jalen Suggs Over 13.5 Points (-125)
Bet: Tobias Harris Over 20.5 Points & Rebounds (-125)
Bet: Ausar Thompson Over 5.5 Rebounds (-105)
Game 3: Oklahoma City Thunder at Phoenix Suns – 3:30 pm ET
Embed from Getty ImagesThe Suns are 12-6 against the spread when playing as home underdogs this season. They’re also 8-3 ATS when coming off two full days of rest. If that’s not enough, Phoenix has responded well to adversity this season, going 10-5 straight-up and 9-6 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive losses.
Jordan Ott has just done a great job of getting this Suns team prepared, and I see him having the group ready to go in Game 3. Does that mean Phoenix will beat Oklahoma City? Probably not. But the Suns are getting a lot of points for a home game, and they’re getting them against a Thunder team that will be playing without Jalen Williams. Phoenix was also competitive for large chunks of Game 2, and it’s clear the Suns feel they can play with the Thunder.
I also don’t think Devin Booker’s rant on the Game 2 officiating should be ignored. Booker was fined for his comments, but I’d expect the Suns to have a favorable whistle after so much attention was drawn to the Thunder’s friendly whistle last game.
This is just a game in which Phoenix should be able to avoid a double-digit loss. I also like Jalen Green Over 2.5 Assists. Green is averaging 6.5 potential assists per game in this series, and he’s also at 3.5 adjusted assists per game. So, with some better shot-making from his teammates, he’d be in slightly better shape in the assists column. Well, with the Suns playing in Phoenix, everyone should perform a little better. That means Green’s downhill attacking should go a longer way, allowing him to do better work as a distributor.
Bet: Suns +9.5 (-110)
Bet: Jalen Green Over 2.5 Assists (-125)
Game 4: New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks – 6:00 pm ET
It’s not easy going back to the well with the Knicks. I’m already in danger of losing some series plays with New York, and there hasn’t been anything impressive about the Knicks recently. However, I am a believer in trusting in season-long numbers over small sample sizes. Well, while everyone piles on New York’s defense, it’s important to note that the Knicks are seventh in the NBA in adjusted defensive rating (112.7). This team has the ability to figure this thing out, especially with regard to slowing down CJ McCollum. I understand McCollum’s off-the-dribble shooting is absolutely massive in a halfcourt setting, but New York has players that should be able to stop him.
The Knicks can also execute at a much higher level down the stretch. Jalen Brunson will always be able to go out and create offense for himself, but this team needs to involve Karl-Anthony Towns more. Everyone can see that. That said, I’m expecting a much better game plan for New York here.
Mike Brown can also be a lot tighter with his rotations. He has played some odd lineups in this series, but there’s no time for that anymore. The Knicks are down 2-1 in this series and need to go down swinging with their best players on the floor.
Of course, just because all of that stuff should happen, that doesn’t mean all of it will. However, I do think we’re getting a good price with the more talented team here. Brown is also 10-6 SU in Game 4s in his postseason coaching career. On top of that, New York is 7-2 both SU and ATS when looking for revenge off a loss as a road favorite against an opponent.
Bet: Knicks ML (-115 – 1.5 units)
Game 4: Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves – 8:30 pm ET
Since David Adelman became the head coach of the Nuggets, Denver is 2-0 both SU and ATS when trailing in a playoff series. Under Adelman, the Nuggets are also 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS when coming off two or more consecutive losses, and they’re facing a Timberwolves team that is just 35-36 SU as a home underdog under Chris Finch. That second record doesn’t seem all that bad, but it does make back-to-back upset wins seem a little unlikely.
Like the Knicks play, this is a scary one for me. I do have Nuggets series action, plus I played Denver to win the NBA title earlier in the season. So, I’m already pretty invested in this Nuggets group — which feels a little better considering I also have some Minnesota tickets. Denver is also dealing with some injuries, as Peyton Watson remains out and Aaron Gordon is questionable. However, I still have a strong trust in Nikola Jokic and Co. to keep this series from getting out of hand.
Jokic is coming off one of the worst games I’ve ever seen him play, and people are rushing to say that Rudy Gobert can lock him up. But Jokic absolutely dominated Gobert during the regular season, and you can doubt the Serbian at your own peril. He should really bounce back here, and Jamal Murray should do the same. I think it’s as simple as Jokic catching the ball a little closer to the basket, meaning he’ll have to fight for position earlier. Denver must also look to run a little more, and utilizing Christian Braun as a screener could be a productive move in the halfcourt. Minnesota is hiding weaker defenders on him, so Braun being involved in the action will drag those players into uncomfortable spots.
Anthony Edwards was also very banged up towards the end of Game 3, and if he isn’t close to 100% then the Timberwolves offense might not be able to take advantage of the shaky Nuggets defense.
Bet: Nuggets ML (-108 – 1.5 units)
Additional Plays
Nothing yet.
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