Introduction

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys are coming off yet another disappointing season in 2024. In Week 9, Prescott suffered an unfortunate hamstring avulsion that required surgery and ended his season. Through eight games, he totaled 1978 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. This resulted in a passer rating of 86.0—12.1 points below his career average of 98.1. Projected over a full 17-game season, those numbers would have put him at 4203 passing yards and 23 touchdowns.

The good news heading into this season is that Prescott now has a new elite weapon on the outside in George Pickens, along with a versatile threat in the backfield in Javonte Williams. Will this be a bounce-back year for Dak Prescott and the Cowboys, or another disappointment in Jerry World? Let’s see what the sportsbooks have to say.

Embed from Getty Images

Player Prop Futures

Passing Yards

  • DraftKings: 3850.5 (over -110; under -110)
  • ESPN Bet: 3750.5 (over -115; under -115)
  • FanDuel: 3875.5 (over -114; under -114)
  • Bet365: 3825.5 (over -130; under even)
  • BetMGM: 3800.5 (over -130; under even)

Passing Touchdowns

  • DraftKings: 26.5 (over -105; under -115)
  • ESPN Bet: 24.5 (over -140; under even)
  • FanDuel: 26.5 (over -102; under -130)
  • Bet365: 26.5 (over even; under -130)
  • BetMGM: 26.5 (over even; under -120)

As you can see, ESPN Bet is offering the most cushion on both the over for passing yards and passing touchdowns. Of the two, the better value lies with the passing yards projection. The best value for the under on his passing yards can be found on FanDuel, while the best value for the under on passing touchdowns is with DraftKings.

This will be Dak Prescott’s 10th NFL season. Of the nine seasons he has played, he would have hit the over on the current passing yards line 4 times. Prescott has thrown for over 25 touchdowns in only 3 seasons, and it’s also worth noting that he has played a full season in just 6 of his 9 NFL seasons.

Conclusion

As the upcoming season approaches, it’s clear that this is a pivotal year for Dak Prescott. He’s had a long offseason to regroup and return to full health. The Cowboys have promoted offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer to the head coaching role, and it will be fascinating to see if this move provides the spark the team needs to turn things around. Prescott’s success this season will largely depend on improved protection from his offensive line and his ability to be more decisive with the football.