San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies 6:40 PM ET

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Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases (+128 per DraftKings)

Following a successful road trip in which the Phillies picked up four wins in six games, they return home to begin a series against the San Diego Padres, one of the teams they faced last week. It wasn’t the best trip individually for Bryce Harper, who went just 2-for-17 at the plate, but this sets up as a strong bounce-back opportunity.

Harper has been strong at Citizens Bank Park this season, batting .260 with a .490 slugging percentage. His numbers improve even further in night games, where he’s hitting .291 with a .528 slugging percentage. He’s also been excellent against right-handed pitching, posting a .292 batting average and a .592 slugging percentage in those matchups.

Tonight he’ll face right-hander Randy Vásquez, a pitcher he has enjoyed success against throughout his career. Harper is batting .600 against Vásquez with a staggering 2.067 OPS. After a travel day and a return to his home ballpark, this feels like the ideal spot for Harper to get his swing back on track and put together a strong offensive performance.

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals 6:45 PM ET

Miami Marlins Under 4.5 Runs (-130 per DraftKings)

The Marlins took Game 1 of this three-game series against the Nationals last night, and while the plus-money price on Miami to score over 4.5 runs may be tempting, there are several factors pointing toward the under.

For starters, the wind is expected to be blowing in from center field, which could suppress offense and make it more difficult for fly balls to carry. Miami has also struggled to consistently produce runs recently, scoring fewer than 4.5 runs in seven of its last ten games and three of its last five.

Washington is expected to send Miles Mikolas to the mound. While his overall season numbers remain underwhelming with a 6.08 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, he quietly put together a strong month of May, posting a 3.52 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. Additionally, the Marlins’ projected lineup has not had much success against him historically.

Considering the recent offensive trends, weather conditions, and Mikolas’ improved form, this looks like a spot where Miami could struggle to generate enough offense to reach five runs.

CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

CJ Abrams continues to be one of the hottest hitters in the Nationals lineup. Over his last seven games, he’s batting .333 with a .542 slugging percentage while recording eight hits, four runs scored, and two RBIs.

Even in last night’s loss, Abrams contributed by going 1-for-4 and scoring a run. He has eclipsed the 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs mark in four of his last five games and six of his last 10, showing consistent production across multiple categories.

Miami is expected to use a bullpen game tonight, beginning with right-hander Lake Bachar. Abrams has only faced Bachar twice but managed to draw a walk in one of those plate appearances. More importantly, Abrams has been outstanding against right-handed pitching all season, batting .302 with a .597 slugging percentage.

Given his recent form, favorable platoon split, and the uncertainty that comes with facing a bullpen game, this is another strong opportunity for Abrams to continue his productive stretch against a division rival.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves 7:15 PM ET

Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (+150 per DraftKings)

Yesterday served as a much-needed reset day for Austin Riley, who enters this series mired in a slump after going hitless in each of his last five games. Fortunately for Riley, a new month and a new series present an excellent opportunity to get back on track.

Riley has been noticeably better at home this season, batting .240 with a .370 slugging percentage, and tonight he’ll face a pitcher he has enjoyed success against throughout his career. The Blue Jays are expected to start Kevin Gausman, against whom Riley is batting .667 with a home run, two RBIs, and a 1.834 OPS in six career at-bats.

Weather conditions could also provide a boost for hitters. While there is a chance of rain before first pitch, the resulting humidity and winds blowing out toward right field should create favorable hitting conditions. Although that wind direction tends to benefit left-handed hitters more, any wind blowing away from home plate can help hard-hit balls carry a little farther.

Between the fresh start of a new month, a favorable pitching matchup, and hitter-friendly weather conditions, this sets up as an excellent bounce-back spot for Riley. At +150 odds, there is plenty of value if he can find his swing again.

New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners 9:40 PM ET

Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120 per DraftKings)

After a quiet night offensively in the series opener, Juan Soto and the Mets face another difficult challenge tonight against Logan Gilbert. The Mariners right-hander has been solid all season, posting a 3.69 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP through 12 starts.

Despite the tough matchup, Soto’s recent form remains impossible to ignore. Over his last 15 games, he is batting .352 with an eye-popping .796 slugging percentage, continuing to show why he remains one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball. He has also dominated right-handed pitching throughout the season, batting .326 with a .674 slugging percentage against righties.

The biggest concern is Soto’s history against Gilbert. In 13 career at-bats, he is hitting just .077 with a .277 OPS. However, that sample size also means Soto has seen Gilbert more than most hitters, giving him a familiarity advantage that could help offset those previous struggles.

While the matchup is far from ideal on paper, Soto’s recent production and success against right-handed pitching make him difficult to fade. If he continues swinging the bat the way he has over the past two weeks, he has a strong chance to cash this total bases prop despite the challenging opponent.