Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins 6:40 PM ET

Embed from Getty Images

Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+113 per DraftKings)

One of the most consistent hitters in baseball takes the field again tonight after an off day, as the Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Miami to take on the Marlins. While Miami struggled toward the end of May, they have responded by winning their first two series of June, and Otto Lopez has been a major reason why.

Through six games this month, Lopez is batting an impressive .385 with a .654 slugging percentage. He has also surpassed the 1.5 total bases mark in four of those six contests. His consistency has been evident all season, particularly at home, where he is batting .333 with a .507 slugging percentage.

The Marlins lineup as a whole doesn’t have much experience against Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen, but Lopez has made the most of his opportunities. In three career at-bats against Gallen, he has recorded two hits and owns a 1.334 OPS.

Gallen has also been vulnerable at times this season, entering tonight with a 5.32 ERA. His 10.91 H/9 is dramatically higher than his career average of 7.73, showing that opposing hitters have been finding plenty of success against him.

Given Lopez’s current form, his success at home, and Gallen’s struggles preventing hits, this sets up as another strong opportunity for Lopez to continue his productive start to June.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays 7:07 PM ET

Zack Wheeler Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+117 per DraftKings)

Philadelphia Phillies ace Zack Wheeler has been excellent through his first eight starts of the season, posting a 2.31 ERA, a 0.83 WHIP, and 48 strikeouts. While those numbers are certainly impressive, the strikeout production hasn’t been quite as dominant as we’ve seen in recent years.

Wheeler currently owns an 8.53 K/9, down from his career average of 9.45 and well below the double-digit K/9 rates he posted in each of the last two seasons.

Although Wheeler has gone over this strikeout number more often than not this season, tonight’s matchup presents a unique challenge. The Blue Jays are one of the toughest teams in baseball to strike out, currently tied for the second-fewest strikeouts in MLB. They’ve also played four more games than the Tampa Bay Rays, the only team with fewer strikeouts on the season.

Toronto’s lineup features several hitters with prior experience against Wheeler, and four projected starters own batting averages above .230 against him. Even if Wheeler delivers another quality outing, this feels like a spot where he’ll be forced to pitch to contact more frequently than usual.

With Toronto’s disciplined approach at the plate and Wheeler’s strikeout rate trending below his recent standards, the under on 5.5 strikeouts offers solid value.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets 7:10 PM ET

New York Mets Over 3.5 Total Runs (-135 per DraftKings)

After a fairly successful West Coast road trip, the Mets return home to begin a series against the St. Louis Cardinals. The offense has shown signs of life recently, producing far more consistently than it did earlier in the season.

New York has scored at least four runs in three of its last five games and in seven of its last ten overall, a clear indication that the lineup is beginning to find its rhythm.

The Cardinals are expected to hand the ball to Dustin May, who has struggled to find consistency this season. May enters tonight with a 4.59 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP, both of which sit above his career averages. He has also allowed at least three earned runs in seven of his 12 starts and typically works between five and six innings before turning the game over to the bullpen.

While many hitters in the Mets lineup have little experience facing May, that unfamiliarity can work both ways. If May is even slightly off with his command, this Mets offense has enough firepower to capitalize.

Given New York’s recent offensive surge and May’s tendency to allow traffic on the bases, the Mets appear well-positioned to score at least four runs and cash this team total.

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox 7:40 PM ET

Michael Harris Over 1.5 Total Bases (-118 per DraftKings)

Michael Harris has been one of the hottest hitters in the Braves lineup over the last couple of weeks. Over his last seven games, he is batting .292 with a .417 slugging percentage, and over his last 15 games, those numbers improve to an impressive .339 batting average and .610 slugging percentage.

Harris has surpassed the 1.5 total bases mark in four of his last five games, with the lone exception coming in a game where he received just one pinch-hit opportunity. His recent consistency at the plate has been a major factor in Atlanta’s offensive success.

The White Sox are expected to start right-hander Erick Fedde tonight, a pitcher Harris has handled well throughout his career. In nine career at-bats against Fedde, Harris is batting .667 with a 1.445 OPS. While Fedde’s numbers this season are relatively in line with his career averages, he still enters the matchup with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP across 58.1 innings.

Harris has also excelled against right-handed pitching this season, posting a .312 batting average and a .539 slugging percentage. After having Monday off and not playing a full game on Sunday, he should be well-rested and in a strong position to continue his recent run of success.

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants 9:45 PM ET

Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits (-237 per DraftKings)

The Washington Nationals opened their series against the Giants with a victory on Monday night, and Daylen Lile played a key role in the win, recording a hit and an RBI in four at-bats.

Lile has been swinging the bat well recently, carrying a .296 batting average and a .407 slugging percentage over his last seven games. As his confidence continues to grow, he has become a more reliable contributor near the bottom of the Nationals lineup.

Tonight, Washington faces right-hander Adrian Houser, a pitcher Lile has already seen in his young career. In five at-bats against Houser, Lile owns a .600 batting average and a 1.400 OPS, giving him some familiarity heading into this matchup.

The splits also favor Lile. He has been significantly better on the road this season, batting .278 compared to .225 at home. He has also performed slightly better against right-handed pitching, hitting .258 against righties versus .243 against left-handers.

With a favorable matchup, recent momentum at the plate, and prior success against Houser, Lile appears well-positioned to record at least one hit and extend his productive stretch.