Week 9 of this year’s college football season provided some intriguing top 25 matchups, aside from Texas A&M blowing out LSU. We’re onto a new week, and while it isn’t the most exciting slate, we still have three top 25 games, the same as last week. To kick things off, Vanderbilt heads to Austin, TX, to face Texas in the noon ET slot. We’ll then get a bit of a break in the action before the night slate, where Oklahoma visits Tennessee at 7:30 PM ET, and lastly, we have a Big 12 matchup between Cincinnati and Utah at 10:15 PM ET. Let’s check out the QB props available in these matchups.

(9) Vanderbilt vs. (20) Texas

Diego Pavia:

  • Props
    • Passing Yards: 171.5 (over -114; under -114)
    • Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over +162; under -220)
    • Rushing Yards: 50.5 (over -114; under -114)

We’ve seen a lot of Diego Pavia in these top 25 matchups recently. He isn’t exactly a stat-stuffer, but he has been an integral part of Vanderbilt’s success. Through eight games, he’s averaged 212.3 passing yards per game, along with 1.8 passing touchdowns and 57.2 rushing yards per game. The Longhorns’ defense has allowed 219.6 passing yards per game and just 80.8 rushing yards per game. They’ll certainly make it difficult for Pavia to find success on the ground, but I could see him surpassing his current passing yards projection. The over on passing touchdowns may be the smart play considering the value.

Texas QB?: With the concussion Arch Manning sustained last week against Mississippi State, his status for this game remains uncertain, and there are no QB props available at the moment.

(18) Oklahoma vs. (14) Tennessee

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John Mateer:

  • Props
    • Passing Yards: 240.5 (over -114; under -114)
    • Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over +106; under -140)
    • Rushing Yards: 32.5 (over -114; under -114)

We’ve seen John Mateer back for three games now since his surgery, and he just hasn’t quite looked the same. In the seven games he’s played, he has averaged 255.7 passing yards per game, with 1.1 passing touchdowns and 32.3 rushing yards per game. Tennessee has struggled defensively, particularly against the pass, allowing 281.1 yards per game through the air. They’ve been a bit better against the run, giving up 146.9 rushing yards per game. If there’s a time for Mateer to get things clicking again in the passing game, it’s in this spot. There isn’t enough value in the passing touchdowns projection to take it, but the over on passing yards seems enticing—though I’d avoid the rushing yards prop.

Joey Aguilar:

  • Props
    • Passing Yards: 268.5 (over -114; under -114)
    • Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over -148; under +112)

Joey Aguilar has been slinging it since making his debut for Tennessee this season. In eight contests, he has averaged 293 passing yards per game, along with 2.3 passing touchdowns per game. He’ll be facing one of the best pass defenses in the FBS, as Oklahoma has allowed just 172.7 yards per game through the air. Even with how good Aguilar has been, 268.5 passing yards is a lot, and the passing touchdowns prop doesn’t offer enough value on either side.

(17) Cincinnati vs. (24) Utah

Brendan Sorsby:

  • Props
    • Passing Yards: 207.5 (over -114; under -114)
    • Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over +152; under -205)
    • Rushing Yards: 45.5 (over -114; under -114)

For the first time this season, we see Cincinnati in a top 25 matchup, and it comes in a tough road test against Utah. Brendan Sorsby has put together an impressive season, averaging 230.3 yards per game through the air, along with 2.5 passing touchdowns and 53.1 rushing yards per game. This Utah defense has been very strong against the pass, allowing only 147.4 yards per game through the air, but it has struggled against the run, giving up 146.9 rushing yards per game. Cincinnati hasn’t used Sorsby as heavily in the passing game against strong defenses, so I would lean toward the under on his passing yards and avoid the passing touchdowns prop. The over on his rushing yards could be a smart play, though.

Devon Dampier:

  • Props
    • Passing Yards: 183.5 (over -114; under -114)
    • Passing TD’s: 1.5 (over -110; under -120)
    • Rushing Yards: 48.5 (over -114; under -114)

We haven’t seen Devon Dampier be a prolific passer this season, which is part of the reason his passing yards projection sits below 200. On the year, he has averaged 196.4 yards per game through the air, along with 1.8 passing touchdowns and 63.1 rushing yards per game. This week against Cincinnati, he’ll face a defense that has struggled against the pass, allowing 254.9 yards per game through the air and 151.3 yards on the ground. If Utah uses him the way they did against BYU a few weeks ago, he should have no problem surpassing his passing yards projection, though there isn’t enough value on either side of the passing touchdowns prop. As for the rushing yards, I would lean toward him covering that line.